MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Kyle Bradish
Nick Lodolo
36.4%
63.6%
-112
+102
-108
+100
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-155
4.17
5.59
9.76
o9½-110
u9½-102
o9½-105
u9½+100
PostponedNew York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Nolan McLean
Martin Perez
44.1%
55.9%
-112
+102
+100
+107

+1½-190
-1½+195
4.12
4.74
8.86
o8½-103
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Joe Ryan
Ryan Weathers
39.6%
60.4%
+118
-130
+122
-130
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.71
5.81
10.52
o8-110
u8-105
o8-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Chris Murphy
Tanner Bibee
54.1%
45.9%
+121
-133
+122
-129
+1½-173
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+155
4.82
4.39
9.21
o8½-105
u8½-113
o8-115
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Matthew Liberatore
Javier Assad
48.8%
51.2%
+128
-141
+130
-140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
4.26
4.39
8.65
o8-117
u8+100
o8-110
u8+100
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Aaron Nola
Luinder Avila
53.1%
46.9%
-135
+122
-126
+122
-1½+120
+1½-132
-1½+120
+1½-134
4.67
4.35
9.02
o10-113
u10+100
o10-105
u10-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Casey Mize
Kumar Rocker
46.8%
53.2%
-121
+110
-118
+110
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+150
+1½-160
4.89
5.22
10.11
o8+100
u7½-102
o8+105
u7½+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Mason Englert
Peter Lambert
45.4%
54.6%
-101
-109
+107
-112
+1½-202
-1½+180
+1½-195
-1½+175
3.89
4.37
8.26
o9-108
u9-110
o9+100
u9-120
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Brandon Sproat
Eduardo Rodriguez
59.8%
40.2%
-117
+106
-116
+107
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-140
4.75
3.72
8.47
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Tyler Mahle
Tanner Gordon
55.8%
44.2%
-115
+104
-112
+106
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
5.04
4.43
9.47
o13+100
u13-113
o13-105
u13-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Eury Perez
Gage Jump
39.7%
60.3%
+105
-116
+106
-114
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.03
5.11
9.14
o10-105
u10-110
o9½-110
u10-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Trey Yesavage
Emerson Hancock
54.2%
45.8%
+112
-123
+118
-125
+1½-193
-1½+168
+1½-180
-1½+170
5.04
4.60
9.64
o7½+102
u7½-120
o7½+100
u7½-115
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
JP Sears
Emmet Sheehan
41.5%
58.5%
+182
-202
+180
-200
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
3.87
4.77
8.64
o9½-115
u9½-101
o9½-115
u9½+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Ranger Suarez
Ryan Johnson
50.6%
49.4%
-155
+140
-150
+140
-1½+105
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-125
5.25
5.19
10.44
o8-110
u8-105
o8-105
u8-110
Games for Jul 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
40.0%
60.0%
+129
-142
+128
-130
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+143
9.64
o10-105
u9½+105
o9½-110
u10+100
1st
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
43.1%
56.9%
-102
-108
+103
-110
+1½-198
-1½+175
+1½-197
-1½+180
0
5
-0.67930-0.66291-0.56442
San Diego Padres
Texas Rangers
57.0%
43.0%
+100
-110
+107
-110
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+190
3
1
-0.71668-0.73443-0.56231
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
51.5%
48.5%
-120
+110
-120
+111
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
2
10
-0.76336-0.76589-0.72453
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
47.8%
52.2%
-148
+136
-150
+142
-1½+110
+1½-126
-1½+105
+1½-123
6
5
-0.53652-0.52396-0.73787
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
42.3%
57.7%
+160
-175
+164
-170
+1½-123
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+117
3
12
-0.47276-0.47101-0.55057
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
54.2%
45.8%
+195
-217
+200
-220
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
4
8
-0.40226-0.39531-0.78180
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
48.4%
51.6%
-107
-103
-107
+103
-1½+145
+1½-165

5
3
-0.68389-0.66935-0.72551
Cincinnati Reds
New York Yankees
43.1%
56.9%
+157
-172
+160
-167
+1½-120
-1½+104
+1½-120
-1½+110
8
4
-0.96511-0.96553-0.84183
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.9%
45.1%
-103
-107
-105
+100
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-165
3
2
-0.70249-0.68116-0.60044
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
50.2%
49.8%
-103
-107
-105
-105
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
0
1
-0.68389-0.69315-0.69802
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
39.4%
60.6%
+131
-143
+133
-133
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+170
4
1
-0.85840-0.84588-0.93102
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
27.8%
72.2%
+182
-200
+182
-190
+1½-115
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½+102
12
4
-1.05780-1.04646-1.28186
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
43.1%
56.9%
-107
-103
-105
-101
-1½+153
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-165
0
5
-0.70249-0.70275-0.56442
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
53.7%
46.3%
-166
+152
-165
+153
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-114
+1½-104
3
0
-0.49218-0.49153-0.62209
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
57.2%
42.8%
-109
-101
-108
+102

+1½-200
-1½+192
2
4
-0.71192-0.71728-0.84929
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
45.5%
54.5%
+156
-170
+155
-165
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
9
2
-0.96006-0.95078-0.78834
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.65043 
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.64882 
DRatings148-6 (0.571)0-0.73142
-0.08099
-0.08260

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.