MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
JP Sears
Emmet Sheehan
41.5%
58.5%
+196
-219
+195
-220
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
3.89
4.77
8.66
o10-110
u10-110
o10-110
u10-105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Ranger Suarez
Ryan Johnson
50.6%
49.4%
-155
+140
-152
+143
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
5.36
5.29
10.65
o8-110
u8-106
o8-105
u8-110
Games for Jul 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
54.1%
45.9%
+120
-132
+122
-129
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-160
-1½+155
9.21
o8-110
u8-109
o8-115
u8½-110
FINAL
FINAL
7
6
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
59.8%
40.2%
-113
+103
-116
+107
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+134
+1½-140
8.47
o9+100
u8½-105
o9+100
u9-105
8th
BOT
3
2
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
55.8%
44.2%
-113
+103
-112
+110
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
9.47
o13-105
u13-105
o13-105
u13+105
8th
BOT
6
4
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
39.7%
60.3%
+105
-116
+110
-117
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
9.14
o10-110
u10-107
o9½-110
u10-115
7th
TOP
8
0
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
54.2%
45.8%
-105
-105
+110
-106
+1½-225
-1½+189
+1½-190
-1½+195
9.66
o7½+107
u7½-115
o7½+100
u7½-115
7th
TOP
0
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
42.0%
58.0%
+219
-247
+225
-250
+1½+107
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-120
6
7
-0.36491-0.35820-0.54445
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
34.3%
65.7%
+167
-182
+175
-187
+1½-120
-1½+101
+1½-115
-1½+102
4
2
-1.00179-1.02669-1.07020
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
47.5%
52.5%
-114
+104
-110
+105
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
5
1
-0.65243-0.65817-0.74459
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
40.2%
59.8%
-113
+103
-113
+106
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
5
6
-0.73091-0.73854-0.51421
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
48.5%
51.5%
+148
-162
+152
-161
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+120
5
6
-0.50206-0.49671-0.66382
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
52.7%
47.3%
-188
+172
-188
+176
-1½-110
+1½-103
-1½-105
+1½+100
14
7
-0.44674-0.44150-0.64046
Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays
37.2%
62.8%
+121
-132
+123
-125
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+163
8
1
-0.81423-0.80598-0.99004
San Diego Padres
Boston Red Sox
44.3%
55.7%
+124
-135
+126
-134
+1½-164
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+148
11
1
-0.82716-0.83037-0.81308
Oakland Athletics
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.7%
46.3%
+169
-185
+173
-184
+1½-125
-1½+106
+1½-122
-1½+110
0
3
-0.45279-0.44812-0.77059
Houston Astros
New York Mets
52.7%
47.3%
-101
-109
+105
-110
+1½-195
-1½+180
-1½+168
+1½-180
9
6
-0.71192-0.72940-0.64124
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
49.3%
50.7%
-115
+105
-108
+107


7
2
-0.64814-0.65772-0.70824
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
38.8%
61.2%
+106
-116
+106
-114
+1½-198
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
5
3
-0.74492-0.74068-0.94734
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
27.4%
72.6%
+127
-138
+126
-132
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+163
1
2
-0.56518-0.57531-0.32021
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
36.7%
63.3%
+219
-247
+227
-235
+1½+110
-1½-128
+1½+110
-1½-120
3
2
-1.18502-1.19208-1.00114
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
-119
+109
-120
+117
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-154
3
9
-0.75877-0.78100-0.64304
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
49.6%
50.4%
+177
-194
+175
-187
+1½-120
-1½+102
+1½-125
-1½+110
9
4
-1.03950-1.02669-0.70197
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1911-8 (0.579)0-0.67282 
Sportsbooks1911-8 (0.579)0-0.67242 
DRatings1910-9 (0.526)0-0.71833
-0.04551
-0.04590

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.