MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Cristopher Sanchez
Noah Cameron
53.1%
46.9%
-165
+149
-165
+152
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
4.73
4.40
9.13
o8½+105
u8-105
o8-115
u8+100
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cam Schlittler
Griffin Jax
47.1%
52.9%
+102
-112
+100
-107
+1½-215
-1½+183

4.35
4.66
9.01
o7-125
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-115
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mike Burrows
Miles Mikolas
56.3%
43.7%
+118
-130
+125
-129
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.87
4.22
9.09
o9½-120
u9½+100
o9½-120
u9½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Freddy Peralta
Reynaldo Lopez
40.0%
60.0%
+108
-119
+115
-120
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.18
5.23
9.41
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Shane Drohan
Dustin May
52.9%
47.1%
-109
-101
-109
+100
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.39
4.08
8.47
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
-105
-105
-105
-105

-1½+150
+1½-170
3.28
4.95
8.23
o9+100
u9-120
o9+100
u9-120
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-108
-102
-108
+100
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.39
4.76
9.15
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-105
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+154
-170
+165
-170

+1½-110
-1½+100
4.26
5.98
10.24
o10½-115
u10½-105
o10½-115
u10½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 5, 2026
Games for Jul 7, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
41.5%
58.5%
+195
-214
+192
-210
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
8.66
o10-110
u10-104
o10-110
u10-105
7th
BOT
5
0
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
50.6%
49.4%
-160
+145
-147
+148
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
10.65
o8-110
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
1st
BOT
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
New York Mets
52.9%
47.1%
-102
-108
+100
-107

-1½+160
+1½-170
2
7
-0.67930-0.67666-0.75186
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
48.8%
51.2%
-103
-107
+102
-106

-1½+160
+1½-175
16
5
-0.70249-0.71266-0.71711
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
48.5%
51.5%
+104
-114
+101
-107
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-195
-1½+175
1
2
-0.65243-0.67421-0.66382
Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays
39.0%
61.0%
+164
-179
+170
-173
+1½-136
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
3
-0.46399-0.46024-0.49379
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
42.0%
58.0%
+200
-213
+198
-209
+1½+100
-1½-114
+1½+100
-1½-105
0
2
-0.39866-0.40288-0.54445
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
43.9%
56.1%
-152
+139
-147
+140
-1½+108
+1½-115
-1½+112
+1½-125
0
5
-0.89265-0.88719-0.57830
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
49.3%
50.7%
-106
-104
-107
+103
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-160
1
2
-0.69780-0.71752-0.67828
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
49.6%
50.4%
+130
-142
+130
-138
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+146
11
4
-0.85426-0.84742-0.70197
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.8%
52.2%
-124
+117
-118
+122
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
2
9
-0.78902-0.78920-0.65038
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
44.9%
55.1%
+178
-195
+180
-190
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
2
11
-0.43448-0.43510-0.59584
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
36.2%
63.8%
+262
-300
+263
-285
+1½+118
-1½-135
+1½+130
-1½-135
7
4
-1.31237-1.30486-1.01677
Atlanta Braves
Chicago White Sox
45.5%
54.5%
-266
+235
-270
+250
-1½-175
+1½+155
-1½-180
+1½+165
0
1
-1.23392-1.26808-0.60719
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
38.1%
61.9%
-110
+100
-105
+100
-1½+155
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-175
5
3
-0.67015-0.68116-0.96509
Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks
55.2%
44.8%
-110
+106
-111
+104


13
6
-0.65583-0.65846-0.59388
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
38.1%
61.9%
-110
+105
-101
-105

+1½-200
-1½+190
3
4
-0.72940-0.68363-0.47957
Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.5%
46.5%
-118
+108
-111
+115
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-152
8
3
-0.63563-0.63346-0.62517
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks146-7 (0.464)1-0.69088 
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.68853 
DRatings146-8 (0.429)0-0.72060
-0.02972
-0.03207

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.