MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Cristopher Sanchez
Noah Cameron
53.1%
46.9%
-178
+161
-168
+158
-1½-105
+1½-111
-1½-110
+1½-110
4.73
4.40
9.13
o8½+105
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cam Schlittler
Griffin Jax
47.1%
52.9%
+105
-116
+100
-107
+1½-216
-1½+184

4.35
4.66
9.01
o7-125
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-115
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mike Burrows
Miles Mikolas
56.3%
43.7%
+118
-130
+120
-129
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.87
4.22
9.09
o10-105
u10-115
o10-105
u10-115
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Freddy Peralta
Reynaldo Lopez
40.0%
60.0%
+112
-123
+115
-120
+1½-188
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.18
5.23
9.41
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Shane Drohan
Dustin May
52.9%
47.1%
-112
+102
-109
+103
-1½+149
+1½-169
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.39
4.08
8.47
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
-103
-107
+100
-110

+1½-200
-1½+175
3.28
4.95
8.23
o9+110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-103
-107
-108
+100
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.39
4.76
9.15
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-105
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+180
-200
+180
-200
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.26
5.98
10.24
o10½-105
u10½-105
o10½-105
u10+100
Games for Jul 5, 2026
Games for Jul 7, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
50.6%
49.4%
-160
+145
-147
+148
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
10.65
o8-110
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
7th
TOP
6
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.5%
46.5%
-118
+108
-111
+115
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-152
8
3
-0.63563-0.63346-0.62517
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago White Sox
52.7%
47.3%
-164
+150
-158
+152
-1½-106
+1½-105
-1½+100
+1½-110
4
0
-0.49707-0.49956-0.63997
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
51.8%
48.2%
-117
+108
-110
+107
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
1
4
-0.75211-0.73443-0.73023
New York Yankees
New York Mets
51.0%
49.0%
-120
+110
-121
+118
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-145
2
12
-0.76336-0.78553-0.71372
Cleveland Indians
Baltimore Orioles
53.7%
46.3%
+198
-220
+205
-225
+1½-106
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-113
2
4
-0.39750-0.38769-0.76942
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
41.6%
58.4%
+165
-180
+166
-180
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+119
5
8
-0.46185-0.46045-0.53818
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
50.5%
49.5%
+125
-136
+129
-133
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+150
2
5
-0.57167-0.56815-0.70395
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
51.2%
48.8%
-123
+113
-114
+110
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+142
+1½-155
6
2
-0.61582-0.63864-0.67025
Texas Rangers
Milwaukee Brewers
32.2%
67.8%
-116
+106
-109
+102
-1½+140
+1½-159
-1½+143
+1½-155
5
6
-0.74492-0.71953-0.38803
Miami Marlins
Kansas City Royals
45.8%
54.2%
+177
-194
+181
-188
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-103
1
5
-0.43638-0.43513-0.61168
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
36.8%
63.2%
+167
-183
+175
-186
+1½-125
-1½+113
+1½-120
-1½+106
1
7
-0.45692-0.44413-0.45822
Philadelphia Phillies
Detroit Tigers
56.9%
43.1%
-158
+145
-157
+152
-1½-111
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-105
6
2
-0.51073-0.50053-0.56372
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
36.4%
63.6%
+119
-129
+125
-128
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+147
6
1
-0.80365-0.81676-1.01176
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
39.2%
60.8%
-101
-108
+100
-110


5
2
-0.70966-0.71668-0.93598
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
40.7%
59.3%
+116
-126
+122
-120
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
1
5
-0.60453-0.60203-0.52187
Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.5%
46.5%
-125
+115
-125
+120
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
4
5
-0.78592-0.79851-0.76608
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks145-8 (0.393)1-0.74506 
Sportsbooks146-8 (0.429)0-0.74172 
DRatings145-9 (0.357)0-0.74512
-0.00007
-0.00340

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.