MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Cristopher Sanchez
Noah Cameron
53.1%
46.9%
-190
+171
-175
+161
-1½-110
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½-105
4.76
4.43
9.19
o8½+105
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cam Schlittler
Griffin Jax
47.1%
52.9%
+101
-110
+101
-107
+1½-220
-1½+186

4.35
4.66
9.01
o7½-102
u7½-118
o7½-105
u7½-115
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mike Burrows
Miles Mikolas
56.3%
43.7%
+113
-125
+111
-118
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+143
4.87
4.22
9.09
o10-105
u10-115
o10-110
u9½+110
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Freddy Peralta
Reynaldo Lopez
40.0%
60.0%
+115
-127
+115
-120
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.18
5.23
9.41
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Shane Drohan
Dustin May
52.9%
47.1%
-112
+102
-109
+103
-1½+149
+1½-169
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.42
4.12
8.54
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
-102
-108
+100
-110

+1½-200
-1½+175
3.27
4.96
8.23
o9+110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-103
-106
-108
+100
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.39
4.76
9.15
o8+103
u8-115
o8+110
u8-120
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+182
-202
+180
-197
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.26
5.98
10.24
o10½-105
u10½-105
o10½-105
u10+100
Games for Jul 5, 2026
Games for Jul 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.5%
46.5%
-125
+115
-125
+120
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
4
5
-0.78592-0.79851-0.76608
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
35.5%
64.5%
-123
+113
-119
+117
-1½+140
+1½-156

7
9
-0.77696-0.77892-0.43868
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
50.5%
49.5%
-104
-106
+105
-107
+1½-208
-1½+178
+1½-190
-1½+189
5
7
-0.68852-0.66458-0.70395
Texas Rangers
Milwaukee Brewers
36.5%
63.5%
-105
-105
-104
-105

+1½-200
-1½+176
1
3
-0.69315-0.69081-0.45394
Miami Marlins
Kansas City Royals
48.2%
51.8%
+166
-182
+176
-182
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-113
-1½+100
2
1
-0.99943-1.02290-0.72983
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago White Sox
52.6%
47.4%
-208
+190
-205
+190
-1½-134
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+115
4
3
-0.41252-0.41412-0.64205
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
36.8%
63.2%
+227
-257
+233
-260
+1½+105
-1½-123
+1½+105
-1½-120
2
5
-0.35404-0.34770-0.45822
New York Yankees
New York Mets
56.9%
43.1%
-135
+124
-133
+128
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-138
7
9
-0.82716-0.83354-0.84276
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
51.1%
48.9%
+120
-130
+119
-126
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+160
9
4
-0.80802-0.79795-0.67101
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
35.1%
64.9%
+115
-125
+115
-124
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+170
9
5
-0.78592-0.78397-1.04646
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
40.8%
59.2%
-124
+114
-121
+116
-1½+134
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
3
11
-0.78145-0.78054-0.52351
Philadelphia Phillies
Detroit Tigers
55.8%
44.2%
-113
+103
-112
+104
-1½+148
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-160
1
4
-0.73091-0.73126-0.81577
Cleveland Indians
Baltimore Orioles
53.7%
46.3%
+139
-152
+144
-150
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
10
8
-0.89265-0.90177-0.62228
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
38.1%
61.9%
-112
+102
-109
+102
-1½+155
+1½-169
-1½+155
+1½-165
4
5
-0.72619-0.71953-0.47957
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
41.3%
58.7%
+167
-183
+176
-181
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+117
6
7
-0.45692-0.44629-0.53328
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
49.9%
50.1%
+126
-137
+129
-135
+1½-166
-1½+146
+1½-165
-1½+155
1
5
-0.56840-0.56539-0.69111
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks156-8 (0.433)1-0.72931 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.72676 
DRatings156-9 (0.400)0-0.74085
-0.01155
-0.01409

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.