MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Cristopher Sanchez
Noah Cameron
53.1%
46.9%
-202
+182
-175
+170
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½+105
4.73
4.40
9.13
o8½+105
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cam Schlittler
Griffin Jax
47.1%
52.9%
-101
-109
+101
-107
+1½-220
-1½+186

4.35
4.66
9.01
o7½+100
u7½-118
o7½+100
u7½-115
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mike Burrows
Miles Mikolas
56.3%
43.7%
+111
-119
+110
-118
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-160
-1½+155
4.87
4.22
9.09
o10-105
u10-105
o10-110
u9½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Freddy Peralta
Reynaldo Lopez
40.0%
60.0%
+114
-126
+115
-120
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.18
5.23
9.41
o9-105
u8½+103
o8½-120
u8½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Shane Drohan
Dustin May
52.9%
47.1%
-118
+107
-109
+110
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
4.42
4.12
8.54
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
+100
-110
+100
-110

+1½-200
-1½+175
3.28
4.95
8.23
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-112
+103
-108
+100
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.39
4.76
9.15
o8+105
u7½-105
o8+110
u8-120
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+182
-202
+180
-197
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.26
5.98
10.24
o10½-103
u10½-105
o10½-105
u10+100
Games for Jul 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.6%
38.4%
-102
-108
+103
-108
+1½-208
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+186
3
4
-0.67930-0.66719-0.95631
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
49.5%
50.5%
+131
-143
+133
-138
+1½-164
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
0
6
-0.55137-0.55399-0.68401
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
37.5%
62.5%
+231
-260
+226
-250
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
1
12
-0.34946-0.35729-0.46956
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
51.1%
48.9%
-121
+111
-120
+114
-1½+125
+1½-142

1
8
-0.76791-0.77347-0.71601
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
53.8%
46.2%
+109
-119
+110
-114
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+175
4
9
-0.63156-0.63864-0.77111
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.8%
42.2%
+148
-162
+152
-159
+1½-140
-1½+126
+1½-140
-1½+126
5
1
-0.92958-0.93491-0.54851
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.5%
66.5%
+153
-167
+166
-165
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
3
2
-0.94874-0.97692-1.09306
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
40.7%
59.3%
-145
+133
-141
+139
-1½+115
+1½-132
-1½+115
+1½-120
5
6
-0.86669-0.87476-0.52329
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
48.9%
51.1%
+145
-158
+142
-150
+1½-154
-1½+135
+1½-160
-1½+141
5
9
-0.51073-0.52396-0.67101
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
46.4%
53.6%
-120
+110
-118
+114
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-135
11
5
-0.62755-0.62235-0.76888
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
31.4%
68.6%
-150
+138
-140
+135
-1½+104
+1½-115
-1½+107
+1½-120
11
14
-0.88707-0.86325-0.37702
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
52.0%
48.0%
+132
-144
+134
-138
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
6
-0.54834-0.55217-0.73380
Boston Red Sox
Cincinnati Reds
49.2%
50.8%
-110
+100
-106
-102
-1½+140
+1½-160
+1½-205
-1½+190
2
5
-0.71668-0.70261-0.67820
Seattle Mariners
Miami Marlins
54.2%
45.8%
-166
+152
-165
+156
-1½+100
+1½-116
-1½-103
+1½-110
2
3
-0.94492-0.95319-0.78145
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
54.5%
45.5%
+114
-124
+118
-121
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
7
-0.61201-0.60859-0.78726
Atlanta Braves
New York Yankees
44.7%
55.3%
-108
-102
-105
+100

-1½+160
+1½-165
8
1
-0.67930-0.68116-0.80623
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks156-8 (0.433)1-0.72931 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.72676 
DRatings156-9 (0.400)0-0.74085
-0.01155
-0.01409

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.