MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Cristopher Sanchez
Noah Cameron
53.1%
46.9%
-212
+190
-176
+191
-1½-128
+1½+110
-1½-110
+1½+115
4.73
4.40
9.13
o8-115
u8½-120
o8-115
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cam Schlittler
Griffin Jax
47.1%
52.9%
-101
-109
+105
-107
+1½-215
-1½+195
+1½-210
-1½+185
4.35
4.66
9.01
o7½+100
u7+105
o7½+105
u7½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mike Burrows
Miles Mikolas
56.3%
43.7%
+105
-116
+110
-115
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-160
-1½+160
4.87
4.22
9.09
o9½-115
u10-115
o10+100
u9½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Freddy Peralta
Reynaldo Lopez
40.0%
60.0%
+115
-127
+115
-120
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.18
5.23
9.41
o9-107
u9-110
o9-105
u8½+100
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Shane Drohan
Dustin May
52.9%
47.1%
-109
-101
-110
+105
-1½+150
+1½-171
-1½+150
+1½-167
4.42
4.12
8.54
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8+100
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
+102
-112
+100
-110
+1½-202
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.28
4.95
8.23
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-109
-101
-108
+102
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.39
4.76
9.15
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-110
u7½+100
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+192
-214
+195
-200
+1½-104
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
4.26
5.98
10.24
o10+105
u9½-105
o10+105
u10+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.6%
42.4%
+161
-176
+165
-170
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+115
1
4
-0.47053-0.46959-0.85715
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
40.6%
59.4%
+107
-117
+113
-117
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+176
7
3
-0.74957-0.76475-0.90214
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
49.0%
51.0%
-147
+135
-148
+142
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-120
7
6
-0.53941-0.52616-0.71368
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
50.8%
49.2%
+175
-192
+176
-190
+1½-109
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-103
2
9
-0.44021-0.44020-0.70970
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
53.0%
47.0%
+178
-195
+185
-200
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
7
8
-0.43448-0.42286-0.75472
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
48.8%
51.2%
-137
+126
-137
+132
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
3
9
-0.83570-0.85062-0.66978
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.5%
66.5%
+231
-262
+235
-245
+1½+115
-1½-133
+1½+112
-1½-130
0
3
-0.34883-0.35091-0.40810
Chicago White Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks
61.5%
38.5%
+159
-174
+159
-170
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-133
-1½+120
5
12
-0.47499-0.47823-0.95514
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
41.5%
58.5%
+130
-142
+134
-138
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
0
5
-0.55443-0.55217-0.53556
Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco Giants
41.3%
58.7%
+146
-159
+150
-149
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+130
6
13
-0.50811-0.51191-0.53346
Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies
39.6%
60.4%
-107
-103
-105
+106
-1½+130
+1½-146
-1½+135
+1½-145
8
2
-0.68389-0.66668-0.92733
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
52.1%
47.9%
+186
-205
+190
-200
+1½-114
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
2
6
-0.41885-0.41690-0.73603
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
34.3%
65.7%
+148
-162
+151
-152
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
1
4
-0.50206-0.50713-0.42003
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
44.0%
56.0%
+134
-146
+134
-141
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-157
-1½+140
4
5
-0.54235-0.54837-0.58053
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
48.7%
51.3%
-144
+132
-134
+130
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
6
11
-0.86254-0.84033-0.66662
Cleveland Indians
Toronto Blue Jays
39.7%
60.3%
+103
-113
+110
-115
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
6
7
-0.65676-0.63673-0.50514
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks156-8 (0.433)1-0.72931 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.72676 
DRatings156-9 (0.400)0-0.74085
-0.01155
-0.01409

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.