MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Cristopher Sanchez
Noah Cameron
53.1%
46.9%
-199
+179
-195
+181
-1½-130
+1½+112
-1½-120
+1½+110
4.76
4.43
9.19
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cam Schlittler
Griffin Jax
47.1%
52.9%
-104
-106
-101
-107
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+185
4.35
4.66
9.01
o7½+105
u7½-120
o7½+100
u7½-120
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mike Burrows
Miles Mikolas
56.3%
43.7%
+105
-116
+108
-115
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
4.86
4.19
9.05
o10+100
u10-115
o10+100
u10-115
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Freddy Peralta
Reynaldo Lopez
40.0%
60.0%
+113
-125
+116
-119
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.18
5.23
9.41
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Shane Drohan
Dustin May
52.9%
47.1%
-105
-105
-102
-105

-1½+160
+1½-175
4.42
4.12
8.54
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8+100
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
+113
-123
+112
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.28
4.95
8.23
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-106
-104
-103
+100
-1½+155
+1½-171
-1½+155
+1½-170
4.39
4.76
9.15
o7½-115
u8-110
o7½-120
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+197
-220
+200
-224
+1½-102
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-118
4.26
5.98
10.24
o9½-120
u9½+100
o9½-120
u9½+105
Games for Jul 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
45.5%
54.5%
+104
-114
+108
-115
+1½-199
-1½+174
+1½-200
-1½+176
3
0
-0.73560-0.74790-0.78706
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.6%
70.4%
+170
-186
+179
-170
+1½-121
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+115
3
1
-1.01377-1.01404-1.21581
Los Angeles Angels
Arizona Diamondbacks
55.7%
44.3%
+180
-198
+176
-185
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+107
1
11
-0.43017-0.44351-0.81419
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
52.4%
47.6%
+105
-115
+104
-103
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-223
-1½+205
3
2
-0.74028-0.71054-0.64653
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
52.1%
47.9%
+242
-275
+252
-270
+1½+120
-1½-138
+1½+122
-1½-135
2
6
-0.33557-0.32881-0.73603
Philadelphia Phillies
Boston Red Sox
48.6%
51.4%
-104
-106
-101
-106

-1½+155
+1½-175
3
9
-0.68852-0.68136-0.66567
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
42.4%
57.6%
+190
-200
+185
-197
+1½-110
-1½-106
+1½-115
-1½+100
2
3
-0.41690-0.42460-0.55146
Chicago Cubs
Tampa Bay Rays
38.1%
61.9%
-108
-102
-105
-101
-1½+157
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-170
2
3
-0.70719-0.70275-0.48010
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
37.7%
62.3%
-118
+108
-114
+107
-1½+140
+1½-158

3
4
-0.75417-0.74322-0.47260
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
57.5%
42.5%
-162
+148
-159
+152
-1½-117
+1½+100
-1½-109
+1½+100
3
4
-0.92958-0.93491-0.85567
Washington Nationals
Detroit Tigers
54.2%
45.8%
+137
-149
+142
-150
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-145
-1½+130
2
7
-0.53363-0.52396-0.78143
Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles
55.8%
44.2%
-102
-108
+100
-104
+1½-195
-1½+172
+1½-200
-1½+180
6
3
-0.70719-0.70289-0.58332
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.8%
70.2%
+147
-160
+151
-160
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
3
2
-0.92425-0.93397-1.20986
Los Angeles Angels
Arizona Diamondbacks
55.1%
44.9%
+137
-149
+138
-145
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
8
3
-0.88303-0.87904-0.59660
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
54.0%
46.0%
+218
-245
+227
-244
+1½+102
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
1
2
-0.36661-0.35848-0.77609
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
57.5%
42.5%
-156
+143
-159
+155
-1½-115
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½+105
11
5
-0.51601-0.49397-0.55339
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks156-8 (0.433)1-0.72931 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.72676 
DRatings156-9 (0.400)0-0.74085
-0.01155
-0.01409

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.