MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cam Schlittler
Griffin Jax
47.1%
52.9%
-104
-106
-101
-107
+1½-220
-1½+195
+1½-210
-1½+185
4.35
4.66
9.01
o7½+105
u7½-125
o7½+105
u7½-125
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mike Burrows
Miles Mikolas
56.3%
43.7%
+105
-116
+108
-115
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+160
4.86
4.19
9.05
o10+100
u10-119
o10+100
u10-115
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Freddy Peralta
Reynaldo Lopez
40.0%
60.0%
+115
-127
+116
-119
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.18
5.23
9.41
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Shane Drohan
Dustin May
52.9%
47.1%
-105
-105
-102
-105

-1½+160
+1½-175
4.42
4.12
8.54
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8+100
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
+113
-123
+112
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.28
4.95
8.23
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-106
-104
-103
+100

-1½+155
+1½-170
4.39
4.76
9.15
o7½-120
u8-115
o7½-120
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+199
-222
+201
-227
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-118
4.26
5.98
10.24
o9½-115
u9½-104
o9½-120
u9½+100
Games for Jul 5, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
53.1%
46.9%
-211
+189
-207
+185
-1½-135
+1½+115
-1½-135
+1½+125
9.19
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
1st
TOP
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
Milwaukee Brewers
45.8%
54.2%
-115
+105
-114
+107
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
3
0
-0.64814-0.64546-0.78126
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
55.1%
44.9%
-127
+117
-125
+120
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
10
1
-0.60086-0.59784-0.59626
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
38.9%
61.1%
-138
+127
-137
+130
-1½+126
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
2
1
-0.56518-0.56084-0.94320
Colorado Rockies
Minnesota Twins
45.0%
55.0%
+178
-195
+185
-200
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+100
5
4
-1.04299-1.06470-0.79889
Cleveland Indians
Cincinnati Reds
39.8%
60.2%
+101
-111
+100
-105

-1½+150
+1½-160
5
3
-0.72144-0.70528-0.92088
Philadelphia Phillies
Boston Red Sox
44.4%
55.6%
-155
+142
-150
+147
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+110
+1½-115
4
1
-0.51869-0.51567-0.81238
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
42.7%
57.3%
+139
-152
+142
-145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
2
-0.89265-0.88882-0.85186
Chicago Cubs
Tampa Bay Rays
38.1%
61.9%
+116
-126
+131
-128
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
5
-0.60453-0.57160-0.48010
Washington Nationals
Detroit Tigers
50.4%
49.6%
+101
-111
+102
-109
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-204
-1½+190
5
4
-0.72144-0.71953-0.68508
Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles
67.2%
32.8%
-136
+125
-137
+130
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
0
4
-0.83144-0.84567-1.11419
Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants
48.2%
51.8%
-116
+106
-110
+102
-1½+142
+1½-162
-1½+146
+1½-165
3
4
-0.74492-0.72177-0.65822
Oakland Athletics
San Diego Padres
47.8%
52.2%
+210
-230
+208
-230
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-105
1
6
-0.38037-0.38243-0.64951
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
53.9%
46.1%
+183
-202
+186
-195
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
4
8
-0.42416-0.42459-0.77371
Toronto Blue Jays
Milwaukee Brewers
46.8%
53.2%
+105
-115
+111
-116
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+185
1
3
-0.64814-0.63260-0.63074
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
57.5%
42.5%
-108
-102
-108
+100
-1½+145
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-160
4
2
-0.67930-0.67446-0.55339
Colorado Rockies
Minnesota Twins
47.2%
52.8%
+210
-235
+216
-238
+1½+104
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
0
5
-0.37834-0.37117-0.63921
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks115-5 (0.500)1-0.71796 
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.71564 
DRatings115-6 (0.455)0-0.72724
-0.00928
-0.01160

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.