MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cam Schlittler
Griffin Jax
47.1%
52.9%
-118
+107
-120
+113
-1½+149
+1½-170

4.35
4.66
9.01
o7½+105
u7½-120
o7½+105
u7½-125
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mike Burrows
Miles Mikolas
56.3%
43.7%
+105
-116
+106
-115
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.86
4.20
9.06
o10-101
u9½+100
o10+100
u10-115
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Freddy Peralta
Reynaldo Lopez
40.0%
60.0%
+115
-127
+116
-121
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.18
5.23
9.41
o9-110
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Shane Drohan
Dustin May
52.9%
47.1%
-105
-105
-102
-105
-1½+155
+1½-172
-1½+160
+1½-175
4.42
4.12
8.54
o8-110
u8-107
o8-110
u8+100
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
+113
-125
+112
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.28
4.95
8.23
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-105
u8½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-106
-104
-103
+100

-1½+155
+1½-170
4.35
4.73
9.08
o7½-120
u8-115
o7½-120
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+201
-225
+203
-229
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-118
4.26
5.98
10.24
o9½-120
u9½+102
o9½-125
u9½+105
Games for Jul 5, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
53.1%
46.9%
-211
+189
-207
+185
-1½-135
+1½+115
-1½-135
+1½+125
9.19
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
8th
BOT
1
13

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
36.3%
63.7%
+121
-132
+124
-130
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
3
10
-0.58515-0.58212-0.45168
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
52.9%
47.1%
-153
+140
-151
+144
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+107
+1½-125
7
1
-0.52415-0.51955-0.63584
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
+163
-178
+170
-180
+1½-134
-1½+120
+1½-128
-1½+115
5
8
-0.46614-0.45497-0.59437
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
49.5%
50.5%
-116
+106
-116
+108
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
9
10
-0.74492-0.75001-0.68349
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
45.7%
54.3%
-102
-108
-103
+102
+1½-208
-1½+190
+1½-215
-1½+190
2
7
-0.67930-0.70552-0.61037
San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers
58.3%
41.7%
-116
+106
-115
+110
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
5
2
-0.64392-0.63673-0.53979
Cleveland Indians
Miami Marlins
47.9%
52.1%
-107
-103
-106
+100
-1½+155
+1½-174
-1½+160
+1½-170
2
3
-0.70249-0.70761-0.65135
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
42.1%
57.9%
+122
-133
+121
-128
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+160
2
3
-0.58173-0.59111-0.54688
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
53.4%
46.6%
-153
+140
-143
+143
-1½+105
+1½-124
-1½+115
+1½-125
2
1
-0.52415-0.53021-0.62828
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
31.0%
69.0%
-107
-103
-105
+100
-1½+150
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-165
6
3
-0.68389-0.68116-1.17122
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
52.9%
47.1%
-205
+186
-200
+190
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+120
1
2
-1.07236-1.07614-0.75366
Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers
57.7%
42.3%
+100
-110
+100
-108
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
10
0
-0.71668-0.71219-0.55016
Minnesota Twins
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.0%
44.0%
-122
+112
-121
+114
-1½+135
+1½-153
-1½+144
+1½-150
0
3
-0.77245-0.77551-0.82137
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
33.8%
66.2%
-103
-107
+105
-104
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+185
4
3
-0.70249-0.71545-1.08480
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
46.9%
53.1%
-230
+206
-230
+215
-1½-149
+1½+130
-1½-140
+1½+130
14
2
-0.38450-0.37533-0.75670
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
+195
-217
+198
-220
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
3
2
-1.10506-1.11474-0.80276
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.80544 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.80430 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.78027
0.02517
0.02403

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.