MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
+110
-121
+112
-118
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.28
4.95
8.23
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8-115
u8½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-107
-103
-103
+100
-1½+150
+1½-171
-1½+155
+1½-170
4.35
4.73
9.08
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+210
-233
+210
-225
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
4.27
5.99
10.26
o10-105
u10-115
o10+100
u10-105
Games for Jul 5, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
56.3%
43.7%
-102
-108
+104
-108
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+165
9.06
o10-110
u10-107
o10+100
u10-110
9th
TOP
11
12
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
40.0%
60.0%
+110
-121
+113
-117
+1½-185
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+165
9.41
o9-110
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
7th
BOT
2
3
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
52.9%
47.1%
-120
+109
-114
+107
-1½+141
+1½-161
-1½+143
+1½-160
8.54
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8+100
7th
TOP
0
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
49.1%
50.9%
+148
-162
+145
-155
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
0
9
-0.50206-0.51371-0.67440
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
44.1%
55.9%
+144
-157
+151
-160
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
1
6
-0.51336-0.49921-0.58184
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
37.2%
62.8%
+113
-120
+112
-118
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
10
5
-0.77096-0.76430-0.98797
San Diego Padres
Kansas City Royals
57.1%
42.9%
+102
+104
+110
-113


7
3
-0.68824-0.74862-0.56110
Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
46.9%
53.1%
+151
-164
+147
-155
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
4
-0.49551-0.51046-0.63324
Texas Rangers
Miami Marlins
42.8%
57.2%
+101
+108
+107
-110
-1½+158
+1½-150
-1½+165
+1½-170
7
0
-0.67617-0.73443-0.84980
Oakland Athletics
Atlanta Braves
46.9%
53.1%
+262
-300
+275
-310
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+150
-1½-145
11
9
-1.31237-1.34427-0.75675
Washington Nationals
Cleveland Indians
46.8%
53.2%
+128
-135
+133
-136
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+148
2
3
-0.56729-0.55661-0.63143
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
37.2%
62.8%
+103
-107
+104
-108
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+164
+1½-170
3
6
-0.66935-0.66479-0.46536
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
38.7%
61.3%
+110
-120
+110
-116
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+176
2
5
-0.62755-0.63482-0.48890
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
61.5%
38.5%
+146
-159
+148
-156
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+134
5
9
-0.50811-0.50785-0.95446
Pittsburgh Pirates
Toronto Blue Jays
32.9%
67.1%
+138
-143
+137
-142
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
8
1
-0.87570-0.87158-1.11073
New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants
47.1%
52.9%
-134
+123
-128
+122
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-143
6
2
-0.57834-0.58909-0.75377
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
49.1%
50.9%
+141
-154
+148
-155
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+139
4
5
-0.52140-0.50886-0.67440
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.7%
65.3%
+286
-330
+290
-325
+1½+140
-1½-158
+1½+145
-1½-150
4
1
-1.37682-1.38186-1.05722
Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
46.8%
53.2%
+160
-175
+169
-167
+1½-136
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+130
5
12
-0.47276-0.46647-0.63119
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.85563 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.84656 
DRatings20-2 (0.000)0-0.75501
0.10062
0.09155

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.