MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 17, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Aaron Nola
Mitchell Parker
56.1%
43.9%
-192
+173
-195
+180
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-130
+1½+115
4.68
4.03
8.71
o10-105
u10-108
o10-110
u10-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Janson Junk
Garrett Crochet
39.6%
60.4%
+216
-242
+220
-247
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
4.62
5.72
10.34
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-115
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Nathan Eovaldi
Jose Berrios
34.8%
65.2%
+104
-115
+105
-115
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
4.54
6.13
10.67
o8+100
u8-115
o8+100
u8-120
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Jose Quintana
Andrew Abbott
50.3%
49.7%
+109
-120
+108
-116
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
4.52
4.48
9.00
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Erick Fedde
Logan Allen
52.8%
47.2%
+100
-110
+103
-111
+1½-198
-1½+173
+1½-200
-1½+175
4.16
3.87
8.03
o9+105
u9-120
o9+100
u9-120
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Dean Kremer
Cristian Javier
29.9%
70.1%
+124
-137
+128
-137
+1½-171
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
3.58
5.63
9.21
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8½+100
u8½-120
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Davis Martin
Ryan Bergert
56.7%
43.3%
+135
-149
+140
-148
+1½-145
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+135
5.47
4.77
10.24
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½+100
u9½-115
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chris Paddack
Thomas Hatch
39.8%
60.2%
-141
+128
-144
+132
-1½+115
+1½-131
-1½+110
+1½-125
4.05
5.11
9.16
o9+100
u8½-105
o9+105
u9-120
New York Yankees (69-52)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Will Warren
Miles Mikolas
54.0%
46.0%
-145
+131
-150
+137
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
4.82
4.39
9.21
o9+103
u9-120
o9+105
u9-120
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Carmen Mlodzinski
Javier Assad
40.9%
59.1%
+161
-179
+165
-177
+1½-132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
3.94
4.90
8.84
o7½+105
u7½-125
o7½+105
u7½-120
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Nabil Crismatt
Antonio Senzatela
40.9%
59.1%
-145
+131
-142
+134
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
4.27
5.23
9.50
o13+100
u12½+105
o12½-120
u12½+100
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Jose Soriano
Jeffrey Springs
43.1%
56.9%
-111
+101
-110
+100
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-158
4.55
5.28
9.83
o10-104
u10-115
o10-105
u10-115
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Ryan Pepiot
Logan Webb
48.5%
51.5%
+113
-125
+120
-124
+1½-185
-1½+163
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.26
4.42
8.68
o7-115
u7+105
o7-120
u7+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Yu Darvish
Tyler Glasnow
44.6%
55.4%
+120
-132
+125
-134
+1½-172
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+150
3.73
4.29
8.02
o8½+105
u8-105
o8½+100
u8½-120
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
George Kirby
Clay Holmes
46.8%
53.2%
-120
+109
-123
+113
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
4.49
4.83
9.32
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½+100
Games for Aug 16, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
38.4%
61.6%
+180
-200
+180
-200
+1½-115
-1½-102
+1½-115
-1½+105
6
10
-0.42898-0.42898-0.48480
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
52.2%
47.8%
-112
+102
-113
+104
-1½+150
+1½-171
-1½+150
+1½-165
7
6
-0.66116-0.65441-0.64930
San Francisco Giants
Chicago White Sox
45.5%
54.5%
-150
+136
-148
+135
-1½+110
+1½-127
-1½+115
+1½-120
3
1
-0.53428-0.53828-0.78689
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
51.3%
48.7%
+127
-140
+126
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-168
-1½+155
4
1
-0.84337-0.83218-0.66656
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
50.8%
49.2%
-125
+113
-124
+115
-1½+125
+1½-141
-1½+130
+1½-144
1
8
-0.78086-0.78397-0.70926
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
44.6%
55.4%
+157
-174
+160
-165
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+115
13
0
-0.96777-0.96273-0.80849
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Indians
47.9%
52.1%
-122
+111
-122
+114
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
5
0
-0.62187-0.61535-0.73539
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
47.8%
52.2%
+109
-120
+110
-117
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
9
0
-0.76081-0.75717-0.73777
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
44.8%
55.2%
+225
-252
+225
-250
+1½+110
-1½-124
+1½+110
-1½-125
0
3
-0.35753-0.35820-0.59339
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
61.5%
38.5%
-115
+104
-117
+115
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
8
22
-0.73771-0.76975-0.95446
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.4%
41.6%
-132
+120
-131
+125
-1½+124
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
1
9
-0.81171-0.82241-0.87777
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.5%
50.5%
+104
-114
+106
-113
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+180
0
4
-0.65243-0.64972-0.68338
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
46.1%
53.9%
+121
-133
+122
-127
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
1
10
-0.58372-0.59064-0.61882
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
37.9%
62.1%
+154
-170
+157
-168
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+130
12
5
-0.95524-0.95975-0.96919
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
64.6%
35.4%
-275
+244
-280
+255
-1½-190
+1½+165
-1½-200
+1½+190
3
1
-0.33391-0.32375-0.43731
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
-133
+122
-133
+125
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-134
3
0
-0.58173-0.57583-0.80238
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.63958 
Sportsbooks1511-3 (0.767)1-0.63104 
DRatings1511-4 (0.733)0-0.61461
0.02497
0.01643

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.