Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (54-69) Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) | Nate Pearson Aaron Nola | 36.0% 64.0% | +154 -168 +155 -170 | +1½-137 -1½+117 +1½-138 -1½+120 | 3.47 4.95 | 8.42 | o8-110 u8-110 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| Boston Red Sox (69-54) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Tanner Houck Chris Bassitt | 46.7% 53.3% | +104 -114 +108 -114 | +1½-208 -1½+178 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 4.86 5.21 | 10.07 | o8-110 u8-110 o7½-120 u7½+100 | |||
| Seattle Mariners (65-56) Houston Astros (70-50) | Bryce Miller Hunter Brown | 37.9% 62.1% | +141 -154 +140 -144 | +1½-156 -1½+136 +1½-154 -1½+145 | 3.84 5.11 | 8.95 | o7½-120 u7½+100 o7½-115 u7½+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| San Francisco Giants (78-43) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Hayden Birdsong Eduardo Rodriguez | 60.5% 39.5% | +152 -166 +152 -164 | +1½-140 -1½+120 +1½-136 -1½+125 | 4.60 3.50 | 8.10 | o9-115 u9-105 o9-110 u9-105 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets Colorado Rockies | 51.5% 48.5% | -146 +134 -140 +132 | -1½-105 +1½-115 -1½+105 +1½-118 | 3 6 | -0.87079-0.85583 | -0.72381 | |
| Boston Red Sox Kansas City Royals | 55.5% 44.5% | +112 -122 +116 -122 | +1½-182 -1½+162 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 6 5 | -0.77245-0.78255 | -0.58825 | |
| Minnesota Twins Chicago Cubs | 48.6% 51.4% | -105 -105 -103 -104 | -1½+173 +1½-190 | 3 7 | -0.69315-0.69079 | -0.66635 | |
| Houston Astros Texas Rangers | 61.1% 38.9% | -126 +116 -123 +116 | -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+136 +1½-150 | 4 2 | -0.60453-0.60941 | -0.49303 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays St. Louis Cardinals | 53.7% 46.3% | +131 -143 +139 -146 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-160 -1½+158 | 3 4 | -0.55137-0.53357 | -0.77037 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Atlanta Braves | 53.6% 46.4% | +120 -130 +122 -125 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 10 0 | -0.80802-0.80350 | -0.62274 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Toronto Blue Jays | 33.0% 67.0% | -141 +133 -148 +141 | -1½+120 +1½-131 -1½+110 +1½-125 | 2 5 | -0.86003-0.89126 | -0.39996 | |
| San Francisco Giants Washington Nationals | 54.9% 45.1% | -116 +106 -111 +105 | -1½+140 +1½-156 -1½+141 +1½-155 | 5 11 | -0.74492-0.73162 | -0.79540 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Miami Marlins | 51.7% 48.3% | -126 +116 -127 +120 | -1½+128 +1½-145 -1½+131 +1½-140 | 8 2 | -0.60453-0.59470 | -0.65911 | |
| San Diego Padres Pittsburgh Pirates | 58.9% 41.1% | -157 +144 -152 +152 | -1½+105 +1½-120 -1½+105 +1½-110 | 6 0 | -0.51336-0.50556 | -0.52880 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Los Angeles Dodgers | 42.3% 57.7% | +125 -136 +128 -132 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-175 -1½+165 | 3 5 | -0.57167-0.57146 | -0.54913 | |
| Chicago White Sox Oakland Athletics | 48.0% 52.0% | +179 -197 +181 -200 | +1½-120 -1½+100 +1½-110 -1½+100 | 1 5 | -0.43201-0.42776 | -0.65437 | |
| Boston Red Sox Kansas City Royals | 53.1% 46.9% | +112 -122 +119 -124 | +1½-169 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+150 | 9 5 | -0.77245-0.79405 | -0.63307 | |
| Minnesota Twins Chicago Cubs | 46.0% 54.0% | -114 +104 -112 +105 | -1½+148 +1½-168 -1½+146 +1½-155 | 3 0 | -0.65243-0.65406 | -0.77727 | |
| Houston Astros Texas Rangers | 59.5% 40.5% | -102 -108 -102 -105 | -1½+155 +1½-170 | 3 4 | -0.67930-0.68605 | -0.90374 | |
| San Francisco Giants Washington Nationals | 50.9% 49.1% | -165 +151 -161 +153 | -1½+100 +1½-115 -1½+104 +1½-110 | 4 1 | -0.49462-0.49517 | -0.67507 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 9-7 (0.562) | 0 | -0.64571 | |
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 8-8 (0.500) | 0 | -0.64310 | |
| DRatings | 16 | 12-4 (0.750) | 0 | -0.64183 | 0.00388 0.00126 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.