MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 17, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
George Kirby
Clay Holmes
46.8%
53.2%
-115
+104
-114
+105
-1½+143
+1½-163
-1½+140
+1½-160
4.49
4.83
9.32
o8½+105
u8½-121
o8½-110
u8½-105
Games for Aug 16, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
43.1%
56.9%
-105
-105
-105
-103
-1½+147
+1½-167
-1½+145
+1½-160
9.83
o10-108
u10-110
o10-105
u10-110
7th
BOT
5
5
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
44.6%
55.4%
+131
-145
+128
-135
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-165
-1½+150
8.02
o9-105
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
7th
TOP
3
4

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
50.8%
49.2%
-125
+113
-124
+115
-1½+125
+1½-141
-1½+130
+1½-144
1
8
-0.78086-0.78397-0.70926
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
44.6%
55.4%
+157
-174
+160
-165
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+115
13
0
-0.96777-0.96273-0.80849
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Indians
47.9%
52.1%
-122
+111
-122
+114
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
5
0
-0.62187-0.61535-0.73539
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
47.8%
52.2%
+109
-120
+110
-117
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
9
0
-0.76081-0.75717-0.73777
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
44.8%
55.2%
+225
-252
+225
-250
+1½+110
-1½-124
+1½+110
-1½-125
0
3
-0.35753-0.35820-0.59339
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
61.5%
38.5%
-115
+104
-117
+115
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
8
22
-0.73771-0.76975-0.95446
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.4%
41.6%
-132
+120
-131
+125
-1½+124
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
1
9
-0.81171-0.82241-0.87777
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.5%
50.5%
+104
-114
+106
-113
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+180
0
4
-0.65243-0.64972-0.68338
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
46.1%
53.9%
+121
-133
+122
-127
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
1
10
-0.58372-0.59064-0.61882
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
37.9%
62.1%
+154
-170
+157
-168
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+130
12
5
-0.95524-0.95975-0.96919
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
64.6%
35.4%
-275
+244
-280
+255
-1½-190
+1½+165
-1½-200
+1½+190
3
1
-0.33391-0.32375-0.43731
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
-133
+122
-133
+125
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-134
3
0
-0.58173-0.57583-0.80238
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
41.3%
58.7%
+134
-148
+143
-150
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+158
1
2
-0.54007-0.52227-0.53232
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
57.2%
42.8%
-119
+108
-120
+111
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
4
0
-0.63380-0.62534-0.55813
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
54.5%
45.5%
+122
-135
+130
-135
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
0
-0.82212-0.84211-0.60713
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
56.6%
43.4%
+139
-147
+137
-150
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+152
0
8
-0.53242-0.53253-0.83462
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks2213-9 (0.591)0-0.67268 
Sportsbooks2214-7 (0.659)1-0.66910 
DRatings2214-8 (0.636)0-0.69230
-0.01961
-0.02319

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.