MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 18, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Freddy Peralta
Cade Horton
50.7%
49.3%
+118
-118
+115
-116
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.75
4.67
9.42
o8½-105
u8½-105
o8½-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Matthew Liberatore
Eury Perez
49.0%
51.0%
+117
-129
+118
-127
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.28
4.38
8.66
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8-105
Houston Astros (70-50)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Spencer Arrighetti
Jack Flaherty
56.7%
43.3%
+124
-137
+128
-138
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
4.26
3.57
7.83
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8½-105
u8½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Kevin Gausman
Paul Skenes
61.2%
38.8%
-103
-107
+107
-108
+1½-215
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+200
5.29
4.11
9.40
o7-115
u7-105
o7-115
u7-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Logan Gilbert
Ranger Suarez
43.3%
56.7%
-110
+100
-101
-104


4.31
5.01
9.32
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-115
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Trevor Rogers
Dustin May
34.1%
65.9%
+105
-115
+106
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
4.52
6.17
10.69
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½+105
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Yoendrys Gomez
Spencer Strider
48.1%
51.9%
+175
-195
+180
-200
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-105
4.51
4.71
9.22
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Jack Leiter
Michael Wacha
44.1%
55.9%
+118
-130
+115
-125
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-185
-1½+170
5.15
5.77
10.92
o9-110
u9-110
o9-105
u9+100
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
55.0%
45.0%
+109
-131
+105
-125
+1½-195
-1½+165
-1½+158
+1½-190
4.95
4.42
9.37
o8½-105
u8½-115
o9-110
u9-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Kyle Freeland
61.1%
38.9%
-273
+242
-260
+235
-1½-180
+1½+157
-1½-170
+1½+160
6.19
5.03
11.22
o11-105
u11-110
o10½-125
u11-115
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Brady Singer
Victor Mederos
48.2%
51.8%
-108
-102
-105
-103
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.74
4.93
9.67
o9-120
u9½-125
o9-120
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Robbie Ray
Nestor Cortes
47.0%
53.0%
+125
-138
+126
-135
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+158
3.84
4.15
7.99
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Gavin Williams
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
52.6%
47.4%
-103
-117
+100
-120
+1½-185
-1½+160
-1½+158
+1½-190
4.40
4.13
8.53
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Games for Aug 17, 2025
Games for Aug 19, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
57.2%
42.8%
-119
+108
-120
+111
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
4
0
-0.63380-0.62534-0.55813
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
54.5%
45.5%
+122
-135
+130
-135
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
0
-0.82212-0.84211-0.60713
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
56.6%
43.4%
+139
-147
+137
-150
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+152
0
8
-0.53242-0.53253-0.83462
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
39.5%
60.5%
+193
-215
+200
-220
+1½-120
-1½+103
+1½-115
-1½+105
8
5
-1.09856-1.11923-0.92806
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
60.8%
39.2%
-310
+273
-291
+270
-1½-210
+1½+186
-1½-230
+1½+195
8
1
-0.30350-0.30979-0.49768
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
41.3%
58.7%
-142
+134
-151
+140
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
0
2
-0.86417-0.89355-0.53232
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
44.9%
55.1%
-152
+138
-152
+145
-1½+110
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-120
8
0
-0.52863-0.51683-0.79998
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
46.1%
53.9%
+103
-113
+110
-113
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+185
0
2
-0.65676-0.64059-0.61882
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
57.2%
42.8%
-117
+110
-127
+118
-1½+139
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-143
3
0
-0.63297-0.59878-0.55813
New York Yankees
Cincinnati Reds
51.3%
48.7%
-205
+184
-205
+187
-1½-130
+1½+119
-1½-130
+1½+120
7
1
-0.42126-0.41765-0.66842
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.5%
50.5%
+124
-137
+124
-134
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-160
-1½+150
3
7
-0.57228-0.57638-0.68338
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
53.5%
46.5%
+159
-176
+166
-180
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-134
-1½+115
3
0
-0.97517-0.99696-0.62626
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
54.5%
45.5%
+104
-112
+110
-120
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+175
4
5
-0.65643-0.62755-0.78726
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
48.5%
51.5%
-138
+127
-138
+135
-1½+119
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
7
0
-0.56518-0.55036-0.72336
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
39.1%
60.9%
+116
-128
+125
-130
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
0
1
-0.60139-0.58016-0.49651
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
50.6%
49.4%
+112
-123
+111
-119
+1½-182
-1½+160
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
5
-0.61798-0.62712-0.70540
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-7 (0.500)1-0.67383 
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.67661 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.72269
-0.04886
-0.04608

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.