Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (54-69) Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) | Nate Pearson Aaron Nola | 36.0% 64.0% | +156 -170 +156 -170 | +1½-138 -1½+118 +1½-138 -1½+120 | 3.47 4.95 | 8.42 | o8-115 u8-105 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| Boston Red Sox (69-54) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Tanner Houck Chris Bassitt | 46.7% 53.3% | +103 -113 +105 -114 | +1½-208 -1½+178 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 4.86 5.21 | 10.07 | o8-108 u8-112 o8+100 u8-110 | |||
| Seattle Mariners (65-56) Houston Astros (70-50) | Bryce Miller Hunter Brown | 38.2% 61.8% | +119 -129 +120 -129 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 3.85 5.10 | 8.95 | o7½-120 u7½+100 o7½-120 u7½+100 | |||
| San Francisco Giants (78-43) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Hayden Birdsong Eduardo Rodriguez | 60.5% 39.5% | +150 -164 +153 -165 | +1½-134 -1½+114 +1½-135 -1½+118 | 4.60 3.50 | 8.10 | o9-102 u9-118 o9+100 u9-120 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks Cleveland Indians | 46.1% 53.9% | -117 +107 -112 +104 | -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+155 +1½-160 | 7 6 | -0.63974-0.65643 | -0.77371 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Miami Marlins | 51.7% 48.3% | -136 +125 -134 +130 | -1½+120 +1½-135 -1½+120 +1½-135 | 10 3 | -0.57167-0.56488 | -0.65911 | |
| New York Mets St. Louis Cardinals | 49.8% 50.2% | -101 -109 -105 -104 | -1½+149 +1½-160 | 6 0 | -0.71192-0.69081 | -0.69726 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs | 48.8% 51.2% | +130 -141 +132 -140 | +1½-168 -1½+150 +1½-155 -1½+155 | 2 6 | -0.55568-0.55326 | -0.66978 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Seattle Mariners | 50.4% 49.6% | -122 +112 -121 +114 | -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+145 +1½-159 | 6 0 | -0.61967-0.61706 | -0.68530 | |
| Colorado Rockies San Diego Padres | 38.3% 61.7% | +203 -227 +205 -220 | +1½-110 -1½-110 +1½-108 -1½-105 | 2 10 | -0.38895-0.38995 | -0.48251 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Oakland Athletics | 53.8% 46.2% | -140 +129 -138 +132 | -1½+115 +1½-133 -1½+115 +1½-125 | 3 2 | -0.55881-0.55582 | -0.61941 | |
| New York Mets Los Angeles Angels | 47.1% 52.9% | -149 +137 -146 +140 | -1½+100 +1½-120 -1½+100 +1½-110 | 2 3 | -0.88303-0.88557 | -0.63680 | |
| Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers | 51.9% 48.1% | +105 -115 +108 -112 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-190 -1½+176 | 7 2 | -0.74028-0.74139 | -0.65537 | |
| Chicago White Sox Minnesota Twins | 53.3% 46.7% | +280 -323 +280 -300 | +1½+140 -1½-153 +1½+135 -1½-148 | 7 13 | -0.29612-0.30075 | -0.76153 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Houston Astros | 45.4% 54.6% | +136 -148 +142 -151 | +1½-152 -1½+135 +1½-148 -1½+130 | 1 0 | -0.87895-0.89848 | -0.79005 | |
| Kansas City Royals Detroit Tigers | 48.0% 52.0% | -132 +121 -134 +126 | -1½+122 +1½-140 -1½+125 +1½-138 | 3 2 | -0.58515-0.57251 | -0.73464 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Cleveland Indians | 43.6% 56.4% | -120 +110 -122 +116 | -1½+133 +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-150 | 9 5 | -0.62755-0.61109 | -0.82963 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees | 41.0% 59.0% | +247 -280 +250 -283 | +1½+125 -1½-142 +1½+125 -1½-137 | 3 4 | -0.33010-0.32691 | -0.52789 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Pittsburgh Pirates | 48.0% 52.0% | +148 -162 +146 -156 | +1½-145 -1½+130 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 6 5 | -0.92958-0.91592 | -0.73422 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Washington Nationals | 54.1% 45.9% | -122 +112 -119 +111 | -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+130 +1½-145 | 3 4 | -0.77245-0.76385 | -0.77969 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 9-7 (0.562) | 0 | -0.64571 | |
| Sportsbooks | 16 | 8-8 (0.500) | 0 | -0.64310 | |
| DRatings | 16 | 12-4 (0.750) | 0 | -0.64183 | 0.00388 0.00126 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.