MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 9, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Bryce Elder
Mitch Keller
61.0%
39.0%
-119
+108
-112
+110
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
5.13
3.97
9.10
o9½-112
u9½-108
o9-120
u9½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Drew Rasmussen
47.1%
52.9%

+135
-150

+1½-157
-1½+137
4.35
4.66
9.01

o7½-110
u7½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
New York Mets (60-60)
Michael Wacha
Sean Manaea
41.0%
59.0%
+127
-140
+130
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
4.49
5.43
9.92
o9-120
u9+100
o9-115
u9+100
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
David Peterson
Trevor Rogers
52.8%
47.2%
+112
-123
+116
-125
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+160
5.28
4.98
10.26
o9½-114
u9½-106
o9½-110
u9½-110
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Gavin Williams
Bailey Ober
45.9%
54.1%

-124
+115

-1½+125
+1½-145
4.57
5.00
9.57

o8½-115
u8½-105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Patrick Sandoval
Anthony Kay
45.7%
54.3%
+104
-115
+106
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.92
5.36
10.28
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Jack Perkins
Framber Valdez
56.8%
43.2%
+119
-131
+125
-131
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+155
5.22
4.51
9.73
o9-108
u9-112
o9-105
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Bryce Miller
Janson Junk
48.1%
51.9%

-140
+130

-1½+115
+1½-135
4.55
4.74
9.29

o8-110
u8-110
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Jesus Luzardo
Brady Singer
46.8%
53.2%
-156
+141
-160
+152
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
4.35
4.68
9.03
o9½-107
u9½-113
o9½-110
u9½-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Logan Henderson
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%
-126
+114
-121
+120
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
4.46
4.15
8.61
o8½-107
u8½-113
o8½-105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Reid Detmers
Nathan Eovaldi
54.5%
45.5%
+122
-134
+130
-140
+1½-179
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+160
5.54
5.08
10.62
o7-113
u7-107
o7-110
u7-105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Merrill Kelly
Griffin Canning
35.1%
64.9%
+115
-127
+115
-116
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.33
4.88
8.21
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Ryan Feltner
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
38.1%
61.9%




4.31
5.56
9.87


Games for Jul 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
47.2%
52.8%
+100
-102
-105
+101
+1½-185
-1½+190

3
4
-0.68824-0.70779-0.63923
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
41.9%
58.1%
+124
-134
+125
-134
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
7
5
-0.82538-0.82789-0.86919
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
47.1%
52.9%
-107
-103
-112
+102
-1½+151
+1½-168
-1½+148
+1½-165
0
8
-0.70249-0.72619-0.63745
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
52.0%
48.0%
-128
+119
-127
+120
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
6
2
-0.59519-0.59470-0.65395
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
41.5%
58.5%
+100
-109
+105
-107
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-185
-1½+184
0
8
-0.67229-0.66458-0.53556
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.9%
43.1%
+107
-117
+110
-115
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
1
-0.74957-0.75294-0.56335
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
50.5%
49.5%
+127
-137
+129
-138
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-164
-1½+145
1
5
-0.56650-0.56140-0.70395
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
49.6%
50.4%
-108
-102
-104
+110
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+146
+1½-155
19
2
-0.67930-0.65964-0.70197
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
48.7%
51.3%
-180
+170
-175
+168
-1½-125
+1½+112
-1½-123
+1½+110
7
6
-0.45497-0.46143-0.72033
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
57.5%
42.5%
-145
+133
-142
+138
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-125
5
12
-0.86669-0.87402-0.85567
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
41.4%
58.6%
-107
+101
+105
-105


3
4
-0.71245-0.66904-0.53368
San Diego Padres
Chicago White Sox
49.8%
50.2%
-138
+128
-138
+128
-1½+115
+1½-134
-1½+115
+1½-133
3
2
-0.56328-0.56328-0.69701
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
40.8%
59.2%
+245
-258
+240
-250
+1½+120
-1½-125
+1½+120
-1½-125
10
6
-1.24883-1.23213-0.89668
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
50.5%
49.5%
+115
-123
+115
-122
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
4
11
-0.61153-0.61323-0.70239
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
50.2%
49.8%
-120
+110
-110
+113
-1½+140
+1½-157

3
0
-0.62755-0.63989-0.68862
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
48.6%
51.4%
-105
-103
-106
-101
-1½+150
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-170
7
5
-0.68844-0.68136-0.72155
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.64219 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.64576 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.64914
-0.00695
-0.00338

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.