MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 9, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Patrick Sandoval
Anthony Kay
45.7%
54.3%
+100
-110
+105
-112
+1½-203
-1½+176
+1½-180
-1½+175
4.92
5.36
10.28
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Jose Suarez
Framber Valdez
51.7%
48.3%
+112
-123
+117
-125
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.98
4.80
9.78
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Bryce Miller
Janson Junk
48.1%
51.9%
-118
+107
-118
+130
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+135
+1½-135
4.55
4.74
9.29
o8-108
u8-112
o8-110
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Jesus Luzardo
Brady Singer
46.8%
53.2%
-157
+142
-151
+141
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
4.35
4.68
9.03
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½-105
u9½-115
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Logan Henderson
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%
-133
+121
-126
+120
-1½+127
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-146
4.45
4.14
8.59
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Reid Detmers
Nathan Eovaldi
54.5%
45.5%
+118
-130
+121
-129
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+173
5.56
5.08
10.64
o7-115
u7-105
o7-110
u7-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Merrill Kelly
Griffin Canning
35.1%
64.9%
+110
-121
+110
-114
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.33
4.88
8.21
o9+103
u9-123
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Ryan Feltner
Carson Whisenhunt
38.1%
61.9%
+114
-126
+117
-124
+1½-188
-1½+164
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.29
5.54
9.83
o8-122
u8+102
o8½-105
u8½-115
Games for Jul 8, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
61.0%
39.0%
-105
-105
-103
+100
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
9.25
o10-107
u10-113
o9½-105
u10-110
4th
TOP
5
2
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
47.1%
52.9%
+125
-138
+135
-135
+1½-172
-1½+151
+1½-160
-1½+155
9.01
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-105
3rd
TOP
2
1
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
New York Mets (60-60)
41.0%
59.0%
+122
-135
+122
-130
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+146
9.92
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u9+100
3rd
BOT
1
1
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
52.8%
47.2%
+112
-123
+116
-120
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+161
10.26
o9½-121
u9½+101
o9½-115
u9½+100
1st
BOT
0
0
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
45.9%
54.1%
-116
+105
-115
+110
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-145
9.66
o8½-116
u8½-104
o8½-115
u8½-105
2nd
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
55.0%
45.0%
-142
+132
-141
+134
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-133
5
4
-0.55076-0.54837-0.59756
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
56.8%
43.2%
-185
+175
-180
+169
-1½-130
+1½+113
-1½-120
+1½+125
2
4
-1.02427-1.00403-0.83850
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
39.6%
60.4%
+173
-183
+168
-180
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
3
5
-0.44882-0.45770-0.50456
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
40.4%
59.6%
-165
+157
-168
+155
-1½-105
+1½-109
-1½-105
+1½-110
10
2
-0.48547-0.48587-0.90547
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Indians
38.5%
61.5%
-114
+104
-115
+112
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+135
+1½-150
3
12
-0.73560-0.75796-0.48652
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
47.3%
52.7%
+101
-111
+100
-106


5
3
-0.72144-0.70761-0.74917
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
45.8%
54.2%
+131
-139
+129
-133
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-164
-1½+155
0
3
-0.55638-0.56815-0.61282
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
58.5%
41.5%
-122
+112
-118
+115
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
7
1
-0.61967-0.62019-0.53691
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
54.0%
46.0%
-152
+142
-154
+155
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-105
6
9
-0.90002-0.93456-0.77618
New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates
68.8%
31.2%
-149
+139
-151
+148
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-115
7
5
-0.53018-0.51299-0.37427
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
42.7%
57.3%
-177
+167
-176
+165
-1½-115
+1½-102
-1½-118
+1½+100
10
2
-0.46129-0.46485-0.85137
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
63.3%
36.7%
+118
-128
+118
-124
+1½-178
-1½+163
+1½-175
-1½+168
4
3
-0.79924-0.79153-0.45725
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
46.5%
53.5%
-107
+104
-110
+105
+1½-210
-1½+190
+1½-215
-1½+197
8
5
-0.66697-0.65817-0.76555
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
31.9%
68.1%
+139
-149
+143
-142
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+145
9
2
-0.88795-0.88620-1.14263
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
39.3%
60.7%
-104
-106
+112
-112
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+188
1
11
-0.68852-0.63809-0.49870
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
40.2%
59.8%
-108
-102
-105
+100
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
2
4
-0.70719-0.70528-0.51381
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.64219 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.64576 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.64914
-0.00695
-0.00338

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.