MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 10, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Jacob Lopez
Sean Burke
47.5%
52.5%
+159
-176
+161
-170
+1½-133
-1½+113
+1½-130
-1½+118
4.70
4.96
9.66
o8½-116
u8½-104
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
PostponedMilwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Brandon Sproat
Braxton Ashcraft
60.9%
39.1%
+108
-119
+115
-119
+1½-202
-1½+175
+1½-180
-1½+175
5.01
3.87
8.88
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8-110
u8+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
PostponedNew York Yankees (69-52)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Ryan Weathers
Carson Palmquist
55.1%
44.9%
-147
+133
-145
+140
-1½-101
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
5.23
4.70
9.93
o10-108
u10-105
o9½-120
u10-105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Mets (60-60)
Sonny Gray
Nolan McLean
49.7%
50.3%
+125
-138
+129
-120
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+158
4.92
4.95
9.87
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-105
u7½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Hunter Brown
Cal Quantrill
61.3%
38.7%
-133
+121
-133
+123
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+120
+1½-140
5.39
4.20
9.59
o8½-110
u8½-108
o8-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Grayson Rodriguez
Zebby Matthews
48.4%
51.6%
+139
-154
+141
-130
+1½-150
-1½+134
+1½-150
-1½+158
5.16
5.32
10.48
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9-115
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chris Sale
Kyle Leahy
51.8%
48.2%
-156
+141
-152
+143
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-115
4.44
4.26
8.70
o8-105
u8-105
o8+100
u8-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Shane Bieber
JP Sears
52.1%
47.9%
+108
-119
+108
-116
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
4.26
4.03
8.29
o8½-110
u8½-108
o7½-125
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Kyle Hurt
29.1%
70.9%
+184
-205
+215
-200
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½+100
-1½-105
3.30
5.45
8.75
o9-118
u9+100
o9-110
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Tanner Gordon
Robbie Ray
38.1%
61.9%
+131
-145
+135
-144
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
4.29
5.54
9.83
o8½+105
u8½-119
o8-115
u8½-120
Games for Jul 9, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
51.1%
48.9%
+110
-120
+105
-112
+1½-192
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
8.33
o9-105
u9-112
o9-105
u9-110
4th
TOP
1
2
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
51.2%
48.8%
+139
-154
+144
-154
+1½-140
-1½+124
+1½-145
-1½+130
10.11
o10-115
u10-105
o9½-120
u10+100
2nd
BOT
0
2
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
42.1%
57.9%
-116
+105
-110
+105


9.29
o9½+100
u9½-112
o9½+100
u9½-115
2nd
BOT
0
0
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
40.8%
59.2%
+114
-126
+117
-120
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+180
8.77
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8-115
u8½+100
3rd
TOP
0
0
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
45.3%
54.7%
+111
-122
+113
-120
+1½-202
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
8.42
o7-123
u7+105
o7½+100
u7+105
3rd
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
34.2%
65.8%
-115
+105
-115
+105
-1½+135
+1½-152

3
7
-0.74028-0.74028-0.41861
New York Mets
Minnesota Twins
49.3%
50.7%
+160
-170
+165
-170
+1½-134
-1½+115
+1½-132
-1½+115
2
0
-0.96964-0.98152-0.70723
San Diego Padres
Houston Astros
45.2%
54.8%
+159
-166
+165
-165
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-123
-1½+115
2
12
-0.48162-0.47379-0.60164
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Yankees
44.2%
55.8%
+124
-132
+124
-133
+1½-177
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
4
-0.57921-0.57778-0.58401
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
44.1%
55.9%
+130
-138
+134
-140
+1½-154
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
1
7
-0.55953-0.54962-0.58146
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
37.3%
62.7%
+153
-163
+151
-160
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
2
5
-0.49333-0.49921-0.46759
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
59.9%
40.1%
-212
+192
-210
+195
-1½-140
+1½+120
-1½-138
+1½+120
7
3
-0.40813-0.40573-0.51201
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
34.3%
65.7%
+229
-249
+233
-256
+1½+115
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-136
2
5
-0.35489-0.34898-0.41998
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
39.2%
60.8%
+122
-129
+125
-133
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-174
-1½+155
3
6
-0.58758-0.57583-0.49791
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.8%
42.2%
+128
-135
+130
-137
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
2
3
-0.56729-0.56084-0.86230
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
42.0%
58.0%
+152
-160
+150
-160
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+115
5
4
-0.93639-0.93156-0.86788
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
47.6%
52.4%
-136
+126
-131
+126
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
2
6
-0.83393-0.82490-0.64701
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
39.7%
60.3%
+235
-255
+248
-260
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
1
9
-0.34753-0.33496-0.50541
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
59.9%
40.1%
-212
+194
-215
+195
-1½-140
+1½+122
-1½-135
+1½+120
6
7
-1.09784-1.10310-0.91452
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
32.2%
67.8%
+182
-200
+190
-200
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-108
8
4
-1.05780-1.07614-1.13445
San Diego Padres
Houston Astros
43.3%
56.7%
+107
-115
+112
-114
+1½-182
-1½+168
+1½-185
-1½+170
5
7
-0.64352-0.63418-0.56657
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks43-1 (0.750)0-0.65701 
Sportsbooks43-1 (0.750)0-0.64732 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.73658
-0.07956
-0.08926

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.