MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 11, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
60.9%
39.1%

+108
-120

+1½-195
-1½+170
5.01
3.87
8.88

o8-115
u8-105
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Ryan Johnson
Joe Ryan
48.4%
51.6%
+156
-173
+160
-174
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-129
-1½+110
5.16
5.32
10.48
o9-105
u9-112
o9-110
u9-110
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Gage Jump
Bryan Hudson
45.7%
54.3%
-107
-103
-105
-101
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-159
4.61
5.05
9.66
o9-110
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kyle Freeland
Tyler Mahle
38.1%
61.9%
+134
-148
+135
-145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
4.22
5.46
9.68
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-105
u8½-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Shane Drohan
Bubba Chandler
60.9%
39.1%
-120
+109
-122
+111
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-140
5.02
3.87
8.89
o8½-115
u8½+100
o9-110
u8½-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Cam Schlittler
Miles Mikolas
55.1%
44.9%
-187
+169
-188
+175
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+101
5.20
4.66
9.86
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Logan Gilbert
Griffin Jax
39.2%
60.8%
-101
-109
+100
-109

+1½-200
-1½+183
3.93
5.06
8.99
o7½+105
u7½-118
o7½+110
u7½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Mets (60-60)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Freddy Peralta
54.0%
46.0%
+125
-149
+122
-145
+1½-175
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+143
5.45
5.03
10.48
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Tanner Bibee
Eury Perez
47.9%
52.1%
+131
-145
+135
-145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-163
-1½+145
4.28
4.49
8.77
o7½-117
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+100
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Cristopher Sanchez
Casey Mize
55.8%
44.2%
-129
+117
-127
+122
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
4.79
4.18
8.97
o7½+105
u7½-115
o7-120
u7½-120
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Peter Lambert
Kumar Rocker
61.3%
38.7%
+105
-116
+105
-115
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+165
5.41
4.23
9.64
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-100
u8½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Noah Cameron
Kyle Bradish
51.2%
48.8%
+136
-150
+140
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-144
-1½+135
5.04
4.92
9.96
o9-105
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Javier Assad
Nick Lodolo
42.1%
57.9%
-115
+106
-117
+110
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-140
4.13
4.96
9.09
o10-110
u10-108
o10-110
u10-110
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Reynaldo Lopez
Matthew Liberatore
51.8%
48.2%
-115
+104
-112
+105
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-159
4.42
4.23
8.65
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8½+105
u8½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Trey Yesavage
Walker Buehler
46.7%
53.3%
-102
-108
+107
-108
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-185
-1½+180
4.36
4.71
9.07
o8-105
u8-110
o7½-120
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Brandon Pfaadt
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
29.1%
70.9%
+236
-265
+240
-270
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-125
3.32
5.48
8.80
o9+100
u8½+100
o9+100
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 10, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
47.9%
52.1%
+190
-210
+185
-205
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
7
4
-1.08672-1.07005-0.73674
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
54.9%
45.1%
+155
-169
+155
-168
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
2
3
-0.48503-0.48587-0.79731
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
63.9%
36.1%
-109
-101
-105
-102

-1½+150
+1½-170
3
5
-0.71192-0.70029-1.01940
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
45.6%
54.4%
+123
-134
+134
-140
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+140
8
5
-0.82287-0.86079-0.78496
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
42.6%
57.4%
+105
-115
+105
-110
+1½-178
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+166
5
7
-0.64814-0.65817-0.55509
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.9%
47.1%
-183
+167
-180
+168
-1½-120
+1½+102
-1½-110
+1½+108
5
4
-0.45692-0.45770-0.63745
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cleveland Indians
59.9%
40.1%
-117
+121
-117
+110
-1½+128
+1½-135
-1½+127
+1½-135
9
3
-0.60936-0.63297-0.51201
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
43.7%
56.3%
+129
-140
+127
-137
+1½-164
-1½+144
+1½-165
-1½+150
17
1
-0.84838-0.83820-0.82837
Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays
38.1%
61.9%
+230
-260
+245
-254
+1½+110
-1½-130
+1½+130
-1½-126
3
5
-0.35037-0.33931-0.47984
Washington Nationals
New York Yankees
43.6%
56.4%
+190
-210
+203
-215
+1½-115
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+110
6
5
-1.08672-1.12107-0.82956
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Angels
48.2%
51.8%
+127
-138
+132
-140
+1½-158
-1½+138
+1½-150
-1½+148
7
3
-0.83993-0.85583-0.73033
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
43.7%
56.3%
-107
-103
-102
-102

+1½-200
-1½+184
7
5
-0.68389-0.69315-0.82837
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
49.7%
50.3%
+178
-195
+181
-190
+1½-111
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
0
7
-0.43448-0.43383-0.68800
Washington Nationals
New York Yankees
38.7%
61.3%
+139
-152
+141
-142
+1½-157
-1½+137
+1½-160
-1½+147
1
9
-0.52690-0.53483-0.48947
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
64.3%
35.7%
-133
+122
-130
+123
-1½+124
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
0
7
-0.81855-0.81556-1.03019
Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays
36.3%
63.7%
+234
-265
+251
-265
+1½+110
-1½-130
+1½+114
-1½-120
5
6
-0.34528-0.33104-0.45122
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks145-9 (0.357)0-0.74369 
Sportsbooks145-9 (0.357)0-0.74545 
DRatings145-9 (0.357)0-0.74930
-0.00562
-0.00386

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.