MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 11, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Ryan Johnson
Joe Ryan
48.4%
51.6%
+154
-171
+155
-165
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
5.16
5.32
10.48
o9-105
u9-113
o9-110
u9-110
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Gage Jump
Bryan Hudson
45.7%
54.3%
+110
-121
+112
-105
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.61
5.05
9.66
o8½-115
u8½-105
o9+105
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kyle Freeland
Tyler Mahle
38.1%
61.9%
+128
-141
+130
-136
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.22
5.46
9.68
o8½-120
u8½+101
o8½-115
u8½+100
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Shane Drohan
Bubba Chandler
60.9%
39.1%
-128
+116
-125
+116
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+135
+1½-142
5.02
3.89
8.91
o9-110
u9-105
o9-110
u8½-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Cam Schlittler
PJ Poulin
55.1%
44.9%
-189
+170
-180
+170
-1½-121
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+102
5.20
4.66
9.86
o9-108
u9-110
o9-105
u9-115
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Logan Gilbert
Griffin Jax
39.2%
60.8%
+100
-110
+100
-110
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+185
3.93
5.06
8.99
o7-113
u7-105
o7-115
u7½-115
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Mets (60-60)
Eduardo Rivera
Freddy Peralta
54.0%
46.0%
+133
-147
+140
-145
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+143
5.45
5.03
10.48
o7½-115
u8-114
o8-105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Tanner Bibee
Eury Perez
47.9%
52.1%
+132
-146
+135
-139
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.28
4.49
8.77
o7½-120
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Cristopher Sanchez
Casey Mize
55.8%
44.2%
-136
+123
-134
+124
-1½+124
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-145
4.79
4.18
8.97
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½+100
u7½-105
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Peter Lambert
Kumar Rocker
61.3%
38.7%
+104
-115
+105
-115
+1½-192
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
5.40
4.21
9.61
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Noah Cameron
Kyle Bradish
51.2%
48.8%
+138
-152
+133
-143
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+137
5.04
4.91
9.95
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Javier Assad
Nick Lodolo
42.1%
57.9%
+103
-113
+102
+100
+1½-190
-1½+175

4.12
4.94
9.06
o10-110
u10-107
o10-110
u10-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Reynaldo Lopez
Matthew Liberatore
51.8%
48.2%
-102
-108
-103
+100
+1½-210
-1½+185
-1½+160
+1½-165
4.40
4.21
8.61
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8½+105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Trey Yesavage
Walker Buehler
46.7%
53.3%
-103
-107
+100
-106
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-205
-1½+190
4.34
4.69
9.03
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Brandon Pfaadt
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
29.1%
70.9%
+236
-265
+240
-270
+1½+110
-1½-129
+1½+105
-1½-125
3.32
5.48
8.80
o9+100
u9-120
o9+100
u9-110
Games for Jul 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
60.9%
39.1%
-101
-109
+110
-118
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+178
8.88
o8½-113
u8½-107
o8-115
u8½-110
4th
TOP
2
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals
47.8%
52.2%
-116
+106
-113
+110
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-145
4
2
-0.64392-0.64059-0.73754
Boston Red Sox
Washington Nationals
50.8%
49.2%
-172
+157
-170
+160
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-113
+1½+100
7
10
-0.96511-0.96964-0.70985
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
49.5%
50.5%
-223
+200
-215
+200
-1½-145
+1½+128
-1½-135
+1½+125
6
4
-0.39393-0.39768-0.70289
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.2%
62.8%
+204
-228
+210
-228
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-113
1
7
-0.38746-0.38122-0.46448
Baltimore Orioles
San Diego Padres
32.4%
67.6%
+166
-182
+160
-170
+1½-129
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
2
5
-0.45901-0.47678-0.39220
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
51.1%
48.9%
-200
+182
-198
+185
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+115
6
5
-0.42652-0.42402-0.67109
Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
55.4%
44.6%
+150
-164
+151
-160
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+114
3
4
-0.49707-0.49921-0.80762
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
54.5%
45.5%
+157
-172
+162
-175
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
2
0
-0.96511-0.98104-0.60748
New York Yankees
Atlanta Braves
54.6%
45.4%
+175
-192
+180
-197
+1½-115
-1½-104
+1½-105
-1½-105
0
2
-0.44021-0.43077-0.78975
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
45.6%
54.4%
+123
-134
+122
-130
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+160
9
4
-0.82287-0.81306-0.78627
Boston Red Sox
Washington Nationals
53.1%
46.9%
-149
+137
-145
+136
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+107
+1½-115
2
6
-0.88303-0.87412-0.75734
Oakland Athletics
St. Louis Cardinals
49.4%
50.6%
+148
-162
+154
-160
+1½-136
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
8
0
-0.92958-0.94120-0.70453
Houston Astros
Miami Marlins
64.9%
35.1%
-109
-101
-108
+100
-1½+150
+1½-166
-1½+155
+1½-175
12
5
-0.67472-0.67446-0.43245
Cleveland Indians
Cincinnati Reds
43.0%
57.0%
+155
-169
+157
-170
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
2
7
-0.48503-0.48119-0.56198
Tampa Bay Rays
San Francisco Giants
48.7%
51.3%
+104
-114
+110
-115
+1½-196
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
6
1
-0.73560-0.75294-0.71947
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
42.0%
58.0%
-127
+117
-130
+120
-1½+110
+1½-129
-1½+108
+1½-125
9
7
-0.60086-0.59012-0.86707
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks145-9 (0.357)0-0.74369 
Sportsbooks145-9 (0.357)0-0.74545 
DRatings145-9 (0.357)0-0.74930
-0.00562
-0.00386

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.