MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 11, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kyle Freeland
Tyler Mahle
38.1%
61.9%
+128
-141
+130
-136
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.22
5.46
9.68
o8½-115
u8½+101
o8½-115
u8½+105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Shane Drohan
Bubba Chandler
60.9%
39.1%
-129
+117
-125
+120
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+135
+1½-140
5.02
3.89
8.91
o9-110
u9-103
o9-115
u9-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Cam Schlittler
PJ Poulin
55.1%
44.9%
-188
+169
-180
+170
-1½-120
+1½+101
-1½-115
+1½+102
5.20
4.66
9.86
o9-108
u9-110
o9-105
u9-115
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Logan Gilbert
Griffin Jax
39.2%
60.8%
+100
-110
+100
-110
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+185
3.93
5.06
8.99
o7-118
u7+105
o7-115
u7½-115
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Mets (60-60)
Eduardo Rivera
Freddy Peralta
54.0%
46.0%
+122
-133
+131
-135
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-155
-1½+150
5.45
5.03
10.48
o8+100
u8-120
o8+100
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Tanner Bibee
Eury Perez
47.9%
52.1%
+137
-151
+135
-145
+1½-158
-1½+138
+1½-160
-1½+143
4.28
4.49
8.77
o7½-120
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+100
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Cristopher Sanchez
Casey Mize
55.8%
44.2%
-136
+123
-134
+124
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-145
4.79
4.18
8.97
o7½-105
u7½-105
o7½+100
u7½-105
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Peter Lambert
Kumar Rocker
61.3%
38.7%
+104
-115
+105
-115
+1½-192
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
5.40
4.21
9.61
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Noah Cameron
Kyle Bradish
51.2%
48.8%
+137
-151
+133
-143
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+137
5.04
4.91
9.95
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Javier Assad
Nick Lodolo
42.1%
57.9%
+103
-113
+100
+100
+1½-190
-1½+175

4.12
4.94
9.06
o10-110
u10-107
o10-110
u10-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Reynaldo Lopez
Matthew Liberatore
51.8%
48.2%
-102
-108
-103
+100
+1½-210
-1½+185
-1½+160
+1½-165
4.40
4.21
8.61
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8½+105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Trey Yesavage
Walker Buehler
46.7%
53.3%
-104
-106
+100
-106
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-205
-1½+190
4.34
4.69
9.03
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Brandon Pfaadt
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
29.1%
70.9%
+236
-265
+240
-270
+1½+109
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
3.32
5.48
8.80
o9+100
u9-120
o9+100
u9-110
Games for Jul 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
60.9%
39.1%
-101
-109
+110
-118
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+178
8.88
o8½-113
u8½-107
o8-115
u8½-110
9th
TOP
6
7
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
45.7%
54.3%
+113
-125
+112
-105
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
9.66
o8½-110
u8½-105
o9+105
u8½+100
3rd
TOP
0
0
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
48.4%
51.6%
+161
-179
+160
-174
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
10.48
o9-107
u9+100
o9-110
u9-110
1st
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Indians
Cincinnati Reds
43.0%
57.0%
+110
-120
+111
-114
+1½-180
-1½+165

3
0
-0.76336-0.75332-0.84416
Tampa Bay Rays
San Francisco Giants
47.5%
52.5%
-128
+118
-130
+124
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+136
+1½-150
10
2
-0.59724-0.58212-0.74469
Baltimore Orioles
San Diego Padres
29.5%
70.5%
+123
-134
+128
-137
+1½-171
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
1
-0.82287-0.84070-1.22085
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
43.5%
56.5%
-214
+193
-205
+191
-1½-160
+1½+140
-1½-145
+1½+140
4
6
-1.09757-1.08382-0.57042
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
47.1%
52.9%
-146
+134
-145
+137
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+112
+1½-120
6
7
-0.87079-0.87659-0.63612
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
51.3%
48.7%
+167
-183
+172
-185
+1½-120
-1½+101
+1½-120
-1½+107
0
12
-0.45692-0.44877-0.71941
Oakland Athletics
St. Louis Cardinals
51.9%
48.1%
+202
-225
+201
-222
+1½-102
-1½-115
+1½+101
-1½-105
5
7
-0.39090-0.39331-0.73237
New York Yankees
Atlanta Braves
44.6%
55.4%
+169
-185
+175
-183
+1½-129
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+107
3
11
-0.45279-0.44619-0.59046
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
36.8%
63.2%
+120
-130
+125
-129
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-154
-1½+140
2
7
-0.59012-0.58164-0.45828
Houston Astros
Miami Marlins
57.1%
42.9%
-135
+124
-126
+118
-1½+126
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-145
1
5
-0.82716-0.79542-0.84634
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.2%
50.8%
-136
+125
-130
+132
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-130
6
7
-0.83144-0.83783-0.67696
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.6%
42.4%
-105
-105
+106
-108
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
6
5
-0.69315-0.72737-0.55229
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
39.8%
60.2%
+103
-113
+104
-107
-1½+161
+1½-180

5
3
-0.73091-0.72003-0.92065
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
59.7%
40.3%
-140
+129
-137
+132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
4
5
-0.84838-0.85062-0.90946
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.2%
66.8%
+280
-320
+300
-340
+1½+140
-1½-160
+1½+150
-1½-160
3
8
-0.29670-0.28030-0.40326
Texas Rangers
San Francisco Giants
35.7%
64.3%
+119
-129
+119
-126
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+170
2
3
-0.59365-0.59829-0.44119
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks145-9 (0.357)0-0.74369 
Sportsbooks145-9 (0.357)0-0.74545 
DRatings145-9 (0.357)0-0.74930
-0.00562
-0.00386

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.