MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 11, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Cristopher Sanchez
Casey Mize
55.8%
44.2%
-136
+123
-134
+128
-1½+125
+1½-141
-1½+125
+1½-145
4.79
4.18
8.97
o8-107
u8-110
o7½+100
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Peter Lambert
Kumar Rocker
61.3%
38.7%
+104
-115
+105
-115
+1½-192
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
5.40
4.21
9.61
o9-105
u8½+105
o8½-110
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Noah Cameron
Kyle Bradish
51.2%
48.8%
+147
-163
+142
-152
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
5.04
4.91
9.95
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Javier Assad
Nick Lodolo
42.1%
57.9%
+103
-113
+100
+100
+1½-190
-1½+175

4.12
4.94
9.06
o10-110
u10-107
o10-110
u10-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Reynaldo Lopez
Matthew Liberatore
51.8%
48.2%
-101
-109
-103
+100
+1½-210
-1½+185
-1½+160
+1½-165
4.40
4.21
8.61
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Trey Yesavage
Walker Buehler
46.7%
53.3%
-104
-106
+100
-106
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-205
-1½+190
4.34
4.69
9.03
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Brandon Pfaadt
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
29.1%
70.9%
+236
-265
+240
-270
+1½+109
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
3.32
5.48
8.80
o9+100
u9-120
o9+100
u9-110
Games for Jul 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
48.4%
51.6%
+161
-179
+160
-174
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
10.48
o9-107
u9+100
o9-110
u9-110
8th
TOP
3
5
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
38.1%
61.9%
+128
-141
+130
-136
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
9.68
o8½-115
u8½+103
o8½-115
u8½+100
4th
TOP
1
0
New York Yankees (69-52)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
55.1%
44.9%
-188
+169
-180
+170
-1½-120
+1½+101
-1½-115
+1½+102
9.86
o9-110
u9-104
o9-105
u9-105
3rd
TOP
0
2
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Mets (60-60)
54.0%
46.0%
+121
-133
+127
-137
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-165
-1½+150
10.48
o7½-115
u7½-103
o8+100
u8½-110
3rd
TOP
0
0
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
47.9%
52.1%
+140
-155
+150
-155
+1½-156
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+143
8.77
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+100
3rd
TOP
0
0
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
60.9%
39.1%
-141
+128
-125
+130
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+135
+1½-130
8.91
o9-117
u9+105
o9-115
u9-105
3rd
TOP
0
0
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
39.2%
60.8%
-104
-106
+100
-110
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+185
8.99
o7-119
u7+100
o7-120
u7½-115
1st
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
32.3%
67.7%
+150
-164
+158
-168
+1½-130
-1½+116
+1½-140
-1½+123
3
11
-0.49707-0.48138-0.39068
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
35.8%
64.2%
+116
-126
+122
-127
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
5
-0.60453-0.59064-0.44281
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.5%
50.5%
-187
+171
-188
+175
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+115
7
0
-0.44873-0.44281-0.70302
Chicago Cubs
Toronto Blue Jays
38.8%
61.2%
+134
-146
+138
-145
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+131
6
2
-0.87079-0.87904-0.94641
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
46.9%
53.1%
+127
-138
+134
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+140
2
13
-0.56518-0.54962-0.63254
Oakland Athletics
Washington Nationals
50.6%
49.4%
+107
-117
+110
-114
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
8
-0.63974-0.63864-0.70425
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.9%
40.1%
+104
-114
+103
-110


9
2
-0.73560-0.72433-0.51259
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
55.9%
44.1%
+130
-142
+135
-140
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+152
9
4
-0.85426-0.86325-0.58225
Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays
37.2%
62.8%
+176
-193
+185
-192
+1½-125
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+110
8
9
-0.43829-0.42763-0.46451
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.8%
70.2%
+313
-360
+320
-345
+1½+158
-1½-175
+1½+170
-1½-177
1
2
-0.26955-0.26783-0.35422
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
38.3%
61.7%
+201
-224
+205
-219
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
0
2
-0.39241-0.39041-0.48279
St. Louis Cardinals
Tampa Bay Rays
40.0%
60.0%
+178
-195
+181
-195
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-103
5
2
-1.04299-1.04994-0.91534
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
39.9%
60.1%
+214
-240
+216
-240
+1½+110
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-125
2
6
-0.37237-0.37040-0.50918
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
54.5%
45.5%
-135
+124
-130
+126
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-124
3
4
-0.82716-0.82303-0.78726
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
53.7%
46.3%
-158
+145
-156
+150
-1½+100
+1½-119
-1½+105
+1½-120
0
3
-0.91644-0.92563-0.76908
Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles
63.3%
36.7%
-115
+105
-112
+114
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
4
5
-0.74028-0.75639-1.00122
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks167-9 (0.438)0-0.73118 
Sportsbooks167-9 (0.438)0-0.73251 
DRatings166-10 (0.375)0-0.75255
-0.02138
-0.02004

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.