MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 20, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chris Bassitt
Johan Oviedo
63.5%
36.5%
-151
+137
-145
+146
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+108
+1½-110
5.62
4.21
9.83
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Luis Castillo
Jesus Luzardo
44.8%
55.2%
+122
-135
+130
-137
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+155
4.36
4.90
9.26
o8½-124
u8½+105
o8½-120
u8½+105
Houston Astros (70-50)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Lance McCullers
Charlie Morton
59.6%
40.4%
-107
-103
-105
-103
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-170
4.88
3.87
8.75
o8½+100
u8½-113
o8½-105
u8½-110
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Parker Messick
Brandon Pfaadt
52.6%
47.4%
-103
-107
+101
-110
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.40
4.13
8.53
o9-120
u9+102
o9-120
u9+100
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Andre Pallante
Sandy Alcantara
46.4%
53.6%
+108
-119
+111
-120
+1½-196
-1½+171
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.96
4.35
8.31
o8-125
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
New York Mets (60-60)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Kodai Senga
Brad Lord
50.2%
49.8%
-160
+145
-161
+150
-1½-102
+1½-115
-1½-101
+1½-115
4.76
4.74
9.50
o9+100
u8½+105
o9+100
u9-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Martin Perez
Hurston Waldrep
48.1%
51.9%
+166
-184
+170
-185
+1½-126
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
4.54
4.74
9.28
o9-105
u9-110
o9-110
u9+100
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cam Schlittler
Drew Rasmussen
47.1%
52.9%
+105
-116
+108
-113
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+180
4.35
4.66
9.01
o8½-113
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Noah Cameron
44.1%
55.9%
+115
-138
+120
-120
+1½-185
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.79
5.41
10.20
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8-120
u8+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
J.T. Ginn
Bailey Ober
52.1%
47.9%
+105
-116
+108
-117
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
5.13
4.91
10.04
o9-115
u9+100
o9-115
u9-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Jacob Misiorowski
Colin Rea
55.0%
45.0%
-113
+103
-110
+106
-1½+155
+1½-177
-1½+165
+1½-175
4.53
4.00
8.53
o7+105
u7-125
o7+105
u7-115
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Shohei Ohtani
Tanner Gordon
60.8%
39.2%
-295
+261
-315
+280
-1½-200
+1½+177
-1½-200
+1½+180
5.65
4.51
10.16
o11½-115
u11½-105
o12-110
u11½+100
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Nick Martinez
Yusei Kikuchi
48.2%
51.8%
+119
-131
+122
-132
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.72
4.90
9.62
o9-105
u8½+105
o9-105
u9-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Landen Roupp
JP Sears
47.0%
53.0%
+131
-145
+137
-150
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+140
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8-105
Games for Aug 19, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
50.6%
49.4%
-157
+144
-155
+147
-1½+105
+1½-122
-1½+105
+1½-125
2
3
-0.91250-0.91684-0.70540
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
57.6%
42.4%
-240
+214
-233
+227
-1½-160
+1½+145
-1½-155
+1½+165
9
7
-0.37237-0.36259-0.55121
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
41.5%
58.5%
+134
-148
+141
-148
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
0
1
-0.54007-0.52787-0.53543
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
58.1%
41.9%
+279
-317
+273
-310
+1½+140
-1½-150
+1½+130
-1½-145
4
11
-0.29795-0.30350-0.87008
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
-106
-104
-110
+100
-1½+155
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-165
7
8
-0.69780-0.71668-0.59468
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago White Sox
34.2%
65.8%
-115
+105
-110
+105
-1½+138
+1½-158
-1½+150
+1½-160
4
1
-0.64814-0.65817-1.07385
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
48.6%
51.4%
-105
-105
-103
-105

+1½-210
-1½+185
6
5
-0.69315-0.69788-0.72105
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
57.2%
42.8%
+127
-140
+134
-140
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+145
5
1
-0.84337-0.86079-0.55813
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
37.1%
62.9%
+180
-200
+185
-200
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-118
-1½+100
3
9
-0.42898-0.42286-0.46410
New York Yankees
Cincinnati Reds
51.3%
48.7%
-158
+143
-155
+150
-1½-105
+1½-114
-1½+100
+1½-115
4
5
-0.91153-0.92410-0.71851
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.5%
50.5%
-133
+121
-129
+120
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
7
4
-0.58372-0.59162-0.70302
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
54.5%
45.5%
-127
+115
-126
+118
-1½+130
+1½-142
-1½+130
+1½-145
10
6
-0.60506-0.60037-0.60713
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
48.5%
51.5%
+102
-112
+106
-115
+1½-200
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+175
6
5
-0.72619-0.74282-0.72336
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
39.1%
60.9%
+164
-182
+165
-174
+1½-127
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
10
6
-0.99466-0.98687-0.93815
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
50.6%
49.4%
-115
+104
-113
+105
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
5
9
-0.73771-0.73601-0.70540
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
-120
+109
-115
+106


2
8
-0.76081-0.74282-0.59468
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1611-5 (0.688)0-0.61502 
Sportsbooks1611-5 (0.688)0-0.60703 
DRatings168-8 (0.500)0-0.71345
-0.09842
-0.10642

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.