MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 20, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Andre Pallante
Sandy Alcantara
46.4%
53.6%
+104
-115
+108
-116
+1½-194
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.96
4.35
8.31
o8½+100
u8½-113
o8½-105
u8½-110
New York Mets (60-60)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Kodai Senga
Brad Lord
50.2%
49.8%
-160
+145
-162
+150
-1½-102
+1½-115
-1½-103
+1½-115
4.76
4.74
9.50
o9-105
u9-110
o9+100
u9-115
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Martin Perez
Hurston Waldrep
48.1%
51.9%
+168
-186
+180
-190
+1½-122
-1½+105
+1½-112
-1½+105
4.51
4.71
9.22
o9-112
u9-105
o9-110
u9+100
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Cam Schlittler
Drew Rasmussen
47.1%
52.9%
+106
-117
+108
-113
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+180
4.35
4.66
9.01
o8½-113
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Caleb Boushley
Noah Cameron
44.1%
55.9%
+112
-123
+115
-123
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.82
5.44
10.26
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
J.T. Ginn
Bailey Ober
52.1%
47.9%
+104
-115
+108
-117
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
5.13
4.91
10.04
o9-120
u9+105
o9-120
u9+105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Jacob Misiorowski
Colin Rea
55.0%
45.0%
-115
+104
-114
+106
-1½+152
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-175
4.53
4.00
8.53
o6½-120
u6½+100
o7+105
u7-120
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Shohei Ohtani
Tanner Gordon
60.8%
39.2%
-297
+262
-308
+275
-1½-200
+1½+177
-1½-215
+1½+195
5.65
4.51
10.16
o11½-110
u11½-105
o12-105
u11½+100
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Nick Martinez
Yusei Kikuchi
48.2%
51.8%
+118
-130
+122
-129
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.72
4.90
9.62
o9-105
u8½+105
o9-105
u9-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Landen Roupp
JP Sears
47.0%
53.0%
+131
-145
+137
-150
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+140
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8-110
u8-109
o8-110
u8-105
Games for Aug 19, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
52.6%
47.4%
-101
-109
+100
-107
+1½-192
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+180
8.53
o9-116
u9+100
o9-120
u9+100
5th
TOP
2
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
39.1%
60.9%
+164
-182
+165
-174
+1½-127
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
10
6
-0.99466-0.98687-0.93815
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
50.6%
49.4%
-115
+104
-113
+105
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
5
9
-0.73771-0.73601-0.70540
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
-120
+109
-115
+106


2
8
-0.76081-0.74282-0.59468
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago White Sox
34.2%
65.8%
-132
+120
-132
+125
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
10
0
-0.58717-0.57725-1.07385
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
46.1%
53.9%
-128
+116
-126
+118
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-140
11
2
-0.60139-0.60037-0.77345
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
33.2%
66.8%
+147
-163
+145
-160
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-155
-1½+135
5
4
-0.92854-0.91937-1.10241
New York Yankees
Cincinnati Reds
51.3%
48.7%
-125
+113
-119
+112
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
1
6
-0.78086-0.76638-0.71851
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.5%
50.5%
-142
+129
-144
+135
-1½+130
+1½-141
-1½+122
+1½-125
3
2
-0.55629-0.54294-0.70302
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
50.8%
49.2%
+116
-128
+116
-122
+1½-172
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
0
6
-0.60139-0.61109-0.70922
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
46.4%
53.6%
+108
-119
+108
-110
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
7
-0.63380-0.65120-0.62323
Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres
36.8%
63.2%
+105
-115
+110
-115
+1½-200
-1½+177

2
3
-0.64814-0.63673-0.45945
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.1%
65.9%
+214
-240
+220
-240
+1½+100
-1½-117
+1½+110
-1½-120
7
13
-0.37237-0.36652-0.41749
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
53.8%
46.2%
-105
-105
-105
-103
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-165
8
7
-0.69315-0.68844-0.62040
Boston Red Sox
San Francisco Giants
48.4%
51.6%
+140
-155
+143
-155
+1½-164
-1½+144
+1½-155
-1½+145
5
9
-0.52206-0.51701-0.66130
Cleveland Indians
Oakland Athletics
40.7%
59.3%
-102
-105
-106
+100
-1½+139
+1½-159
-1½+150
+1½-160
3
0
-0.70029-0.67889-0.89914
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
40.9%
59.1%
-163
+147
-164
+157
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-122
+1½+110
2
4
-0.92854-0.95415-0.52572
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1811-7 (0.611)0-0.63964 
Sportsbooks1811-7 (0.611)0-0.63225 
DRatings189-9 (0.500)0-0.72916
-0.08951
-0.09691

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.