Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs (54-69) Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) | Nate Pearson Aaron Nola | 36.0% 64.0% | +179 -197 +177 -190 | +1½-116 -1½-104 +1½-115 -1½+102 | 3.47 4.95 | 8.42 | o8+101 u8-121 o8+105 u8-110 | |||
| Boston Red Sox (69-54) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Tanner Houck Chris Bassitt | 46.7% 53.3% | +101 -111 +102 -110 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 4.86 5.21 | 10.07 | o8-112 u8-108 o8-105 u8+100 | |||
| Seattle Mariners (65-56) Houston Astros (70-50) | Bryce Miller Hunter Brown | 38.2% 61.8% | +111 -121 +118 -122 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 3.85 5.10 | 8.95 | o7½-118 u7½-102 o7½-115 u7½+100 | |||
| San Francisco Giants (78-43) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Hayden Birdsong Eduardo Rodriguez | 60.5% 39.5% | +163 -178 +159 -170 | +1½-128 -1½+108 +1½-124 -1½+110 | 4.60 3.50 | 8.10 | o9+102 u9-122 o9+100 u9-120 | Overall Bet Value Active |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees Philadelphia Phillies | 51.3% 48.7% | +103 -113 +105 -110 | +1½-183 -1½+163 +1½-180 -1½+172 | 6 5 | -0.73091-0.72940 | -0.66801 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles | 61.2% 38.8% | +212 -238 +215 -236 | +1½+115 -1½-127 +1½+115 -1½-125 | 4 10 | -0.37513-0.37292 | -0.94616 | |
| Miami Marlins Tampa Bay Rays | 38.0% 62.0% | +227 -257 +233 -250 | +1½+110 -1½-130 +1½+115 -1½-125 | 6 2 | -1.21016-1.21746 | -0.96832 | |
| Oakland Athletics San Francisco Giants | 45.0% 55.0% | +166 -181 +170 -180 | +1½-130 -1½+113 +1½-130 -1½+120 | 5 2 | -0.99821-1.00641 | -0.79860 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers San Diego Padres | 52.9% 47.1% | -127 +117 -127 +120 | -1½+133 +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-150 | 5 6 | -0.79483-0.80236 | -0.75317 | |
| Washington Nationals Arizona Diamondbacks | 54.8% 45.2% | +149 -163 +152 -160 | +1½-145 -1½+125 +1½-145 -1½+127 | 0 17 | -0.49956-0.49765 | -0.79518 | |
| Colorado Rockies Los Angeles Angels | 42.8% 57.2% | +119 -129 +122 -127 | +1½-174 -1½+155 +1½-165 -1½+155 | 7 10 | -0.59365-0.59064 | -0.55886 | |
| Texas Rangers St. Louis Cardinals | 40.6% 59.4% | -118 +108 -114 +107 | -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+146 +1½-160 | 1 8 | -0.75417-0.74322 | -0.52153 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Houston Astros | 31.3% 68.7% | +179 -197 +176 -188 | +1½-118 -1½+100 +1½-120 -1½+107 | 6 2 | -1.04754-1.03022 | -1.16012 | |
| Kansas City Royals Chicago White Sox | 37.2% 62.8% | -185 +169 -182 +176 | -1½-120 +1½+103 -1½-113 +1½+110 | 4 3 | -0.45279-0.44558 | -0.98822 | |
| Atlanta Braves Milwaukee Brewers | 40.1% 59.9% | -105 -105 +100 -108 | +1½-205 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 5 1 | -0.69315-0.71219 | -0.91369 | |
| Minnesota Twins New York Mets | 43.7% 56.3% | -102 -108 +100 -103 | +1½-198 -1½+173 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 0 2 | -0.67930-0.68583 | -0.57426 | |
| Seattle Mariners Boston Red Sox | 42.4% 57.6% | -113 +103 -110 +105 | -1½+130 +1½-148 -1½+132 +1½-150 | 10 6 | -0.65676-0.65817 | -0.85722 | |
| Chicago Cubs Cincinnati Reds | 41.5% 58.5% | -126 +116 -125 +118 | -1½+126 +1½-140 -1½+127 +1½-145 | 3 6 | -0.79039-0.79350 | -0.53560 | |
| Miami Marlins Tampa Bay Rays | 38.0% 62.0% | +157 -172 +165 -165 | +1½-140 -1½+125 +1½-143 -1½+125 | 3 9 | -0.47955-0.47379 | -0.47758 | |
| New York Yankees Philadelphia Phillies | 51.1% 48.9% | +134 -146 +135 -138 | +1½-153 -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+136 | 7 6 | -0.87079-0.85977 | -0.67215 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 0-1 (0.000) | 0 | -0.82107 | |
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 0-1 (0.000) | 0 | -0.83105 | |
| DRatings | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.63923 | 0.18184 0.19182 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.