MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 11, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Trey Yesavage
Walker Buehler
46.7%
53.3%
-103
-107
-102
-105
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+190
4.36
4.71
9.07
o8-105
u8-115
o8+100
u8-115
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Brandon Pfaadt
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
29.1%
70.9%
+248
-280
+250
-285
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-135
3.32
5.48
8.80
o8½-105
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-100
Games for Jul 10, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
55.8%
44.2%
-137
+124
-134
+128
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-145
8.97
o8-105
u8-112
o7½+100
u8-110
9th
BOT
4
2
Houston Astros (70-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
61.3%
38.7%
+102
-111
+105
-115
+1½-195
-1½+183
+1½-185
-1½+190
9.63
o9-105
u8½-104
o8½-110
u8½+105
5th
BOT
7
1
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
51.2%
48.8%
+143
-158
+145
-152
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
9.46
o9+100
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
7th
TOP
0
5
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
42.1%
57.9%
+104
-115
+108
+100
+1½-195
-1½+175

9.00
o9½-114
u9½-105
o9½-110
u10-110
5th
BOT
1
2
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
51.8%
48.2%
-103
-107
-103
-105
+1½-210
-1½+180
-1½+160
+1½-180
8.51
o8½-105
u8½-114
o8½-105
u8½-115
5th
BOT
0
4

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
42.0%
58.0%
-132
+121
-132
+124
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-130
2
5
-0.81423-0.82175-0.54409
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
56.7%
43.3%
+125
-136
+125
-132
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+141
13
7
-0.83144-0.82426-0.56768
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
52.2%
47.8%
-101
-109
+100
+100

-1½+163
+1½-160
8
2
-0.71192-0.69315-0.64993
Arizona Diamondbacks
Minnesota Twins
42.3%
57.7%
-144
+132
-145
+135
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+112
+1½-125
3
5
-0.86254-0.87165-0.54957
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
48.6%
51.4%
-198
+180
-190
+180
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-118
+1½-100
6
8
-1.05097-1.04185-0.66643
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
44.6%
55.4%
+112
-122
+112
-120
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+156
3
2
-0.77245-0.76841-0.80759
Miami Marlins
Texas Rangers
51.7%
48.3%
+101
-111
+102
-110
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+176
0
6
-0.66563-0.66532-0.72677
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
53.8%
46.2%
-125
+115
-125
+116
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
4
6
-0.78592-0.78847-0.77260
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
+183
-201
+176
-190
+1½-115
-1½-104
+1½-110
-1½-103
1
0
-1.06117-1.03257-0.80276
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
28.2%
71.8%
+190
-210
+185
-195
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-103
4
1
-1.08672-1.05915-1.26493
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
59.0%
41.0%
-151
+139
-150
+146
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-110
10
6
-0.52799-0.51730-0.52694
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
43.0%
57.0%
+144
-157
+150
-159
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
6
3
-0.91250-0.93009-0.84416
Kansas City Royals
Philadelphia Phillies
43.9%
56.1%
+183
-202
+185
-200
+1½-111
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-110
4
8
-0.42416-0.42286-0.57762
New York Mets
Baltimore Orioles
57.1%
42.9%
+176
-193
+176
-185
+1½-116
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
0
2
-0.43829-0.44351-0.84541
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
48.0%
52.0%
+113
-123
+118
-122
+1½-173
-1½+153
+1½-173
-1½+160
9
7
-0.77696-0.78755-0.73439
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
48.2%
51.8%
-101
-109
+102
-110
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
13
1
-0.71192-0.72177-0.72977
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.71082 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.71735 
DRatings138-5 (0.615)0-0.73260
-0.02179
-0.01525

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.