MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 16, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Unknown
Unknown
46.4%
53.6%




4.32
4.70
9.02


Games for Jul 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
43.0%
57.0%
+150
-164
+160
-168
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+125
0
2
-0.49707-0.47844-0.56215
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
41.6%
58.4%
-175
+160
-176
+165
-1½-110
+1½-104
-1½-106
+1½-105
5
4
-0.47276-0.46485-0.87695
New York Yankees
Colorado Rockies
61.1%
38.9%
-215
+198
-222
+205
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-140
+1½+130
7
8
-1.10988-1.13230-0.94454
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
54.8%
45.2%
-208
+188
-208
+193
-1½-130
+1½+116
-1½-134
+1½+116
4
8
-1.08008-1.09148-0.79434
Cleveland Indians
Texas Rangers
48.1%
51.9%
+121
-132
+121
-130
+1½-165
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+155
5
6
-0.58515-0.58810-0.65508
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
54.0%
46.0%
+132
-144
+134
-144
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+135
11
5
-0.86254-0.86750-0.61633
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
42.6%
57.4%
+154
-168
+160
-166
+1½-129
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+116
4
8
-0.48737-0.48015-0.55478
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
48.8%
51.2%
+122
-133
+127
-134
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-135
-1½+124
4
3
-0.81855-0.83287-0.71760
Arizona Diamondbacks
Toronto Blue Jays
35.2%
64.8%
+150
-164
+146
-155
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-136
-1½+125
5
7
-0.49707-0.51208-0.43385
Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles
52.6%
47.4%
+160
-175
+165
-165
+1½-131
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
4
5
-0.47276-0.47379-0.74705
Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves
45.6%
54.4%
+155
-169
+160
-172
+1½-127
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+106
8
1
-0.95628-0.97233-0.78621
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.6%
38.4%
-137
+126
-136
+128
-1½+113
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-126
8
4
-0.56840-0.56593-0.48448
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
43.0%
57.0%
+175
-192
+185
-198
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+110
6
0
-1.03254-1.06250-0.84392
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
53.6%
46.4%
-140
+129
-148
+142
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+110
+1½-120
12
13
-0.84838-0.89372-0.76757
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
46.0%
54.0%
+110
-120
+115
-118
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-185
-1½+170
3
0
-0.76336-0.77184-0.77670
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
45.7%
54.3%
+170
-186
+178
-177
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+105
6
9
-0.45075-0.44657-0.61074
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.69879 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.69934 
DRatings157-8 (0.467)0-0.74585
-0.04706
-0.04651

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.