MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 16, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Unknown
Unknown
46.4%
53.6%




4.32
4.70
9.02


Games for Jul 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
42.9%
57.1%
-101
-109
+103
-108
-1½+164
+1½-184

5
6
-0.67472-0.66719-0.56100
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
56.6%
43.4%
+159
-173
+162
-170
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+116
0
9
-0.47578-0.47387-0.83462
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
+111
-121
+112
-117
+1½-171
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
4
-0.76791-0.76222-0.67966
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
28.2%
71.8%
+220
-245
+227
-250
+1½+110
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-125
4
6
-0.36468-0.35636-0.33110
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.0%
44.0%
-115
+105
+100
+107


2
1
-0.64814-0.67609-0.58014
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
37.5%
62.5%
+149
-162
+155
-170
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+122
0
2
-0.50048-0.48418-0.46940
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
39.0%
61.0%
+159
-173
+163
-165
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+122
3
5
-0.47578-0.47665-0.49494
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
40.3%
59.7%
-128
+118
-129
+123
-1½+125
+1½-141
-1½+126
+1½-135
4
3
-0.59724-0.58559-0.90785
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
43.5%
56.5%
+228
-255
+230
-250
+1½+110
-1½-127
+1½+120
-1½-128
0
5
-0.35378-0.35364-0.57038
Atlanta Braves
Cleveland Indians
62.1%
37.9%
-181
+166
-173
+168
-1½-125
+1½+113
-1½-120
+1½+115
8
1
-0.45972-0.46299-0.47625
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
35.8%
64.2%
-110
+100
-107
+100

+1½-210
-1½+189
2
4
-0.71668-0.70991-0.44239
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
32.0%
68.0%
+102
-112
+105
-108
+1½-190
-1½+170

6
3
-0.72619-0.72486-1.13797
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.5%
49.5%
-107
-103
-102
+100
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+142
+1½-160
9
2
-0.68389-0.68824-0.68235
Philadelphia Phillies
Tampa Bay Rays
42.7%
57.3%
+110
-120
+112
-115
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
8
4
-0.76336-0.75796-0.85139
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
56.6%
43.4%
+185
-202
+201
-215
+1½-114
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-109
12
3
-1.06688-1.11660-0.56923
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
49.0%
51.0%
+101
-111
+101
-109
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-180
-1½+176
9
10
-0.66563-0.66984-0.67303
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.69879 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.69934 
DRatings157-8 (0.467)0-0.74585
-0.04706
-0.04651

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.