MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 16, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Unknown
Unknown
46.4%
53.6%




4.32
4.70
9.02


Games for Jul 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
59.3%
40.7%
+130
-137
+134
-138
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
5
3
-0.84567-0.85731-0.52324
New York Yankees
St. Louis Cardinals
60.8%
39.2%
+102
-110
+100
-105

-1½+160
+1½-165
1
5
-0.66532-0.68116-0.93705
Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals
63.6%
36.4%
-174
+160
-173
+166
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-113
+1½+105
1
9
-0.97498-0.98792-1.01137
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
48.5%
51.5%
+117
-127
+116
-122
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+145
3
4
-0.60086-0.61109-0.66409
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
42.6%
57.4%
+175
-191
+179
-190
+1½-115
-1½+104
+1½-110
-1½+102
5
4
-1.03139-1.03956-0.85421
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.9%
39.1%
+108
-114
+112
-115
+1½-192
-1½+167

6
3
-0.74575-0.75796-0.49564
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
43.0%
57.0%
+220
-245
+225
-250
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-128
5
4
-1.18554-1.20041-0.84364
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
42.3%
57.7%
+194
-213
+194
-214
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
3
6
-0.40536-0.40486-0.54927
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
54.6%
45.4%
-117
+107
-114
+105
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+150
+1½-159
1
2
-0.74957-0.73814-0.78983
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels
38.7%
61.3%
+108
-118
+113
-115
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-170
-1½+160
3
1
-0.75417-0.76048-0.94837
Cleveland Indians
Chicago Cubs
47.7%
52.3%
+117
-127
+117
-126
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+163
6
0
-0.79483-0.79290-0.74022
Detroit Tigers
Colorado Rockies
44.2%
55.8%
-106
-104
-106
+102

-1½+142
+1½-160
4
2
-0.68852-0.67401-0.81755
Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals
62.0%
38.0%
-225
+204
-230
+215
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+135
4
6
-1.13289-1.16174-0.96890
New York Yankees
St. Louis Cardinals
54.0%
46.0%
-115
+105
+100
-105
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
6
2
-0.64814-0.70528-0.61633
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
55.3%
44.7%
-103
-107
-104
+106
-1½+157
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-160
3
8
-0.68389-0.71793-0.80441
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
66.5%
33.5%
-135
+125
-134
+128
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-138
11
8
-0.57304-0.56867-0.40797
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.69879 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.69934 
DRatings157-8 (0.467)0-0.74585
-0.04706
-0.04651

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.