MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 21, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Jack Perkins
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
52.1%
47.9%
-105
-115
-110
+100
+1½-200
-1½+170
-1½+140
+1½-160
5.23
5.01
10.24
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9-120
u9+100
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Patrick Corbin
Michael Lorenzen
46.4%
53.6%
+103
-113
+105
-112
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+175
4.78
5.15
9.93
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Quinn Priester
Shota Imanaga
55.0%
45.0%
+119
-126
+120
-130
+1½-185
-1½+160
+1½-190
-1½+165
4.42
3.90
8.32
o7-110
u7-110
o7-105
u7-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Clayton Kershaw
Chase Dollander
64.6%
35.4%
-243
+217
-250
+240
-1½-170
+1½+152
-1½-180
+1½+175
5.45
3.93
9.38
o12-105
u12-113
o12-105
u12-105
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Sean Manaea
MacKenzie Gore
50.2%
49.8%
-140
+127
-132
+125
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
4.49
4.47
8.96
o8-115
u8+100
o8-120
u8+100
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Justin Verlander
Dylan Cease
47.0%
53.0%
+154
-170
+155
-162
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-130
-1½+118
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8-110
Houston Astros (70-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Jason Alexander
Brandon Young
62.9%
37.1%
-105
-105
+102
-106
+1½-215
-1½+183
+1½-190
-1½+180
5.09
3.73
8.82
o9-105
u8½+100
o9+105
u9-120
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Lucas Giolito
Luis Gil
48.1%
51.9%
+114
-136
+129
-130
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+155
4.33
4.52
8.85
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8-115
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Sonny Gray
Joe Boyle
40.0%
60.0%
-117
+106
-115
+107
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+160
+1½-160
3.67
4.72
8.39
o8-115
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 20, 2025
Games for Aug 22, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
47.0%
53.0%
+136
-143
+127
-130
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+160
7.96
o8-110
u8-109
o8-105
u8-105
8th
BOT
1
7

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
34.2%
65.8%
-108
-102
-103
-105

+1½-210
-1½+190
9
3
-0.67930-0.69788-1.07277
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
32.0%
68.0%
+189
-210
+190
-200
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
2
4
-0.41264-0.41690-0.38635
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.0%
66.0%
+243
-274
+240
-255
+1½+125
-1½-145
+1½+125
-1½-135
7
3
-1.25642-1.23612-1.07743
Cleveland Indians
Oakland Athletics
40.7%
59.3%
-130
+118
-128
+118
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
4
2
-0.59419-0.59724-0.89914
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
53.8%
46.2%
+111
-122
+115
-120
+1½-200
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+180
1
9
-0.62187-0.61667-0.77161
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
43.5%
56.5%
-184
+169
-194
+185
-1½-140
+1½+130
-1½-140
+1½+135
5
3
-0.45348-0.42641-0.83308
Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres
36.8%
63.2%
+128
-141
+140
-145
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-160
-1½+150
1
5
-0.55942-0.53299-0.45945
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
46.4%
53.6%
-123
+114
-120
+120
-1½+130
+1½-144

11
4
-0.61367-0.60614-0.76778
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
54.0%
46.0%
-160
+145
-158
+145
-1½+105
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-110
7
0
-0.50878-0.51073-0.61648
Boston Red Sox
San Francisco Giants
45.1%
54.9%
+106
-117
+110
-116
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-200
-1½+180
2
3
-0.64204-0.63482-0.59906
Texas Rangers
Pittsburgh Pirates
49.9%
50.1%
-105
-105
-104
-104


3
2
-0.69315-0.69315-0.69439
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
48.9%
51.1%
+182
-203
+190
-205
+1½-113
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
1
7
-0.42480-0.41412-0.67078
Seattle Mariners
Chicago Cubs
48.0%
52.0%
+149
-165
+150
-165
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
7
10
-0.49774-0.49617-0.65325
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
45.9%
54.1%
+171
-190
+171
-190
+1½-116
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
5
6
-0.44674-0.44674-0.61448
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
53.2%
46.8%
+122
-133
+118
-125
+1½-168
-1½+148
+1½-167
-1½+155
9
0
-0.81855-0.79350-0.63096
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
34.5%
65.5%
+147
-162
+155
-165
+1½-130
-1½+118
+1½-125
-1½+115
0
9
-0.50367-0.48848-0.42288
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks135-8 (0.385)0-0.76030 
Sportsbooks135-8 (0.385)0-0.76465 
DRatings135-8 (0.385)0-0.75764
0.00266
0.00701

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.