MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 21, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Jack Perkins
Jose Urena
52.1%
47.9%
-110
-110
-110
+100
+1½-200
-1½+170
-1½+140
+1½-160
5.23
5.01
10.24
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9-120
u9+100
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Patrick Corbin
Michael Lorenzen
46.4%
53.6%
+104
-113
+105
-115
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+175
4.78
5.15
9.93
o9-105
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Quinn Priester
Shota Imanaga
55.0%
45.0%
+121
-133
+120
-130
+1½-185
-1½+160
+1½-190
-1½+165
4.42
3.90
8.32
o7-110
u7-110
o7-105
u7-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Clayton Kershaw
Chase Dollander
64.6%
35.4%
-243
+220
-250
+233
-1½-173
+1½+152
-1½-180
+1½+165
5.44
3.91
9.35
o12+101
u12-110
o12-105
u12-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Sean Manaea
MacKenzie Gore
50.2%
49.8%
-142
+131
-132
+122
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
4.49
4.47
8.96
o8-120
u8+100
o8-120
u8+100
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Justin Verlander
Dylan Cease
47.0%
53.0%
+154
-170
+150
-162
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+118
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8+100
u8-105
o8-110
u8-110
Houston Astros (70-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Jason Alexander
Brandon Young
62.9%
37.1%
-105
-105
+101
-106
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-190
-1½+180
5.09
3.73
8.82
o9+100
u8½+100
o9+105
u9-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Lucas Giolito
Luis Gil
48.1%
51.9%
+125
-149
+130
-137
+1½-165
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+155
4.33
4.52
8.85
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8-115
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Sonny Gray
Joe Boyle
40.0%
60.0%
-117
+106
-115
+107
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+160
+1½-160
3.67
4.72
8.39
o8-115
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 20, 2025
Games for Aug 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
34.5%
65.5%
+147
-162
+155
-165
+1½-130
-1½+118
+1½-125
-1½+115
0
9
-0.50367-0.48848-0.42288
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
35.6%
64.4%
+120
-132
+126
-132
+1½-178
-1½+156
+1½-165
-1½+155
3
8
-0.58717-0.57531-0.44021
Boston Red Sox
San Francisco Giants
45.1%
54.9%
+115
-127
+115
-125
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+173
7
5
-0.78975-0.78592-0.79702
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
30.6%
69.4%
+166
-184
+170
-175
+1½-128
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+115
5
6
-0.45759-0.45869-0.36515
Cleveland Indians
Oakland Athletics
40.7%
59.3%
-119
+108
-116
+110
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-150
1
5
-0.75624-0.75509-0.52243
Kansas City Royals
San Diego Padres
36.8%
63.2%
+151
-167
+145
-160
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+135
6
5
-0.94387-0.91937-0.99867
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
53.8%
46.2%
-165
+149
-168
+157
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
3
2
-0.49774-0.48287-0.62040
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
47.0%
53.0%
-155
+140
-159
+150
-1½-119
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
14
8
-0.52206-0.50173-0.75438
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
53.2%
46.8%
+130
-143
+135
-150
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+140
17
6
-0.85590-0.87962-0.63096
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
38.6%
61.4%
-107
-103
-105
+100

+1½-220
-1½+200
8
14
-0.70249-0.70528-0.48722
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
46.4%
53.6%
+169
-187
+175
-185
+1½-128
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
2
10
-0.45143-0.44482-0.62370
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
49.6%
50.4%
+133
-144
+130
-135
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
1
6
-0.54652-0.56352-0.68441
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
54.0%
46.0%
-150
+136
-149
+140
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-120
2
6
-0.88211-0.89040-0.77618
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
43.9%
56.1%
+167
-185
+180
-195
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-115
-1½+105
7
1
-1.00545-1.04762-0.82348
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
32.4%
67.6%
+286
-325
+295
-320
+1½+140
-1½-150
+1½+145
-1½-150
5
3
-1.37417-1.38870-1.12630
Texas Rangers
Pittsburgh Pirates
48.6%
51.4%
-185
+167
-186
+180
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
6
2
-0.45552-0.43770-0.72179
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks146-8 (0.429)0-0.74474 
Sportsbooks146-8 (0.429)0-0.75120 
DRatings146-8 (0.429)0-0.74891
-0.00417
0.00229

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.