MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Tobias Myers
Bailey Falter
60.9%
39.1%
-139
+128
-136
+127
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-135
4.88
3.73
8.61
o8-110
u8½-125
o8½+105
u8+100
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Justin Steele
Tanner Banks
42.1%
57.9%

+350
+111


4.14
4.98
9.12

o7½-110
u8½-105
All Bet Values Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Ryan Pepiot
Tarik Skubal
59.8%
40.2%
+160
-175
+160
-173
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+133
4.70
3.68
8.38
o7+105
u7-125
o7+100
u7-120
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jakob Junis
Tanner Bibee
50.7%
49.3%
+139
-152
+150
-160
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-153
-1½+135
4.80
4.72
9.52
o7½-122
u7½+102
o7½-115
u7½-105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Cole Ragans
Mitchell Parker
44.4%
55.6%
-164
+150
-158
+151
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-118
4.62
5.21
9.83
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Dean Kremer
Clarke Schmidt
34.1%
65.9%
+139
-152
+142
-152
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+130
4.34
5.99
10.33
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Brayan Bello
Bowden Francis
45.4%
54.6%
+115
-125
+123
-127
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-179
-1½+160
4.89
5.37
10.26
o8-105
u7½+105
o7½-120
u7½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Luis Severino
Spencer Schwellenbach
44.1%
55.9%
+129
-140
+129
-139
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+160
4.09
4.71
8.80
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Jack Kochanowicz
Jonathan Cannon
41.9%
58.1%
-115
+105
-116
+107
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+137
+1½-155
4.58
5.44
10.02
o8½-105
u8½-105
o8-115
u8+100
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Ryan Weathers
Bailey Ober
44.8%
55.2%
+210
-235
+213
-230
+1½-104
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.63
5.18
9.81
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8-105
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Logan Gilbert
Framber Valdez
38.3%
61.7%

+119
-130

+1½-192
-1½+170
3.88
5.10
8.98

o7-115
u7-105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Michael McGreevy
Ryan Feltner
48.8%
51.2%
-118
+108
-120
+111
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-135
4.88
5.02
9.90
o10½-115
u11-120
o11+100
u11-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Logan Webb
Brandon Pfaadt
58.9%
41.1%
+121
-132
+123
-131
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-178
-1½+160
4.62
3.68
8.30
o8-110
u8+100
o8-115
u8+100
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Nathan Eovaldi
Mitch Spence
35.8%
64.2%
-115
+105
-114
+106
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
4.53
6.02
10.55
o7½-110
u8-120
o7½-115
u7½-105
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Mike King
Landon Knack
38.8%
61.2%
-102
-108
+101
-110
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-203
-1½+180
3.86
5.03
8.89
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8+100
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
60.5%
39.5%
+169
-185
+175
-180
+1½-122
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+105
8.10
o9-106
u9-114
o9+110
u9-120
9th
BOT
6
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
38.1%
61.9%
+174
-190
+187
-197
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
0
5
-0.44279-0.42219-0.47931
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
50.5%
49.5%
+113
-123
+123
-126
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+170
3
1
-0.77696-0.80793-0.68246
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
49.3%
50.7%
+158
-173
+157
-170
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+120
5
9
-0.47726-0.48119-0.67966
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
48.8%
51.2%
+102
-112
+106
-115
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+165
11
8
-0.72619-0.74282-0.71707
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
39.9%
60.1%
-141
+130
-147
+138
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-130
6
3
-0.55568-0.53415-0.91909
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
49.0%
51.0%
+140
-153
+140
-150
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
14
3
-0.89664-0.89199-0.71321
Chicago Cubs
Kansas City Royals
48.4%
51.6%
+121
-132
+121
-128
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
9
4
-0.81423-0.80679-0.72639
Los Angeles Dodgers
Houston Astros
50.6%
49.4%
+142
-155
+146
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+136
6
7
-0.51869-0.51730-0.70502
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
36.8%
63.2%
+151
-165
+155
-162
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+125
7
3
-0.94110-0.94652-0.99929
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
38.1%
61.9%
+205
-229
+203
-220
+1½-108
-1½-112
+1½-109
-1½+100
1
4
-0.38597-0.39207-0.47931
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
52.9%
47.1%
-113
+103
-110
+102

+1½-240
-1½+213
2
7
-0.73091-0.72177-0.75266
Cleveland Indians
Philadelphia Phillies
43.0%
57.0%
+140
-153
+140
-148
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
0
8
-0.52415-0.52957-0.56235
Cincinnati Reds
Tampa Bay Rays
42.7%
57.3%
+114
-124
+119
-122
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-187
-1½+170
0
4
-0.61201-0.60481-0.55692
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
43.9%
56.1%
+105
-115
+108
-116
+1½-198
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+176
4
0
-0.74028-0.75001-0.82294
San Diego Padres
Baltimore Orioles
59.1%
40.9%
-103
-107
-110
+102
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-165
9
4
-0.70249-0.66532-0.52655
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
31.9%
68.1%
+120
-130
+122
-130
+1½-177
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+155
3
7
-0.59012-0.58609-0.38416
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-2 (0.333)0-0.65057 
Sportsbooks31-2 (0.333)0-0.65010 
DRatings31-2 (0.333)0-0.72394
-0.07337
-0.07385

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.