MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedMilwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%

-102
-105

+1½-220
-1½+190
4.42
4.11
8.53

o7½-120
u8-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Shohei Ohtani
Peter Lambert
50.6%
49.4%
-205
+184
-210
+196
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+118
4.34
4.28
8.62
o8½-102
u8½-115
o8-120
u8½-115
PostponedNew York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-163
+137
-155
+145
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
5.20
5.54
10.74
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½-110
u10-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Erick Fedde
Sam Aldegheri
51.6%
48.4%
+102
-112
+105
-109
+1½-195
-1½+175

5.13
4.97
10.10
o9+100
u9-112
o9-105
u8½+100
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Bubba Chandler
Eduardo Rodriguez
45.6%
54.4%
+120
-132
+121
-130
+1½-178
-1½+156
+1½-165
-1½+162
4.15
4.61
8.76
o9-105
u9-115
o9-110
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Bryce Elder
George Kirby
52.7%
47.3%
+118
-130
+121
-128
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.81
4.52
9.33
o8-105
u8-115
o7½-115
u8-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Walker Buehler
Logan Webb
48.3%
51.7%
+125
-138
+128
-129
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.14
4.32
8.46
o7½-112
u7½-105
o7½+100
u7½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
56.9%
43.1%
+130
-143
+158
-145
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-130
-1½+150
9.62
o8½+100
u8+100
o8½+100
u8½-115
4th
BOT
10
2
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
46.5%
53.5%
+105
-116
+117
-119
+1½-215
-1½+183
+1½-195
-1½+185
8.95
o7-103
u7-115
o7+113
u7+100
5th
TOP
3
2
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
38.6%
61.4%
+122
-135
+128
-130
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+158
9.29
o8½-108
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
4th
BOT
5
4
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
49.2%
50.8%
+186
-207
+183
-190
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+110
11.98
o9-115
u9+105
o8½-120
u9+105
5th
BOT
0
1
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
47.8%
52.2%
-115
+104
-109
+102

+1½-205
-1½+190
10.89
o9½-110
u9½-105
o9-105
u9½+100
4th
BOT
6
1
Texas Rangers (42-78)
New York Yankees (69-52)
42.0%
58.0%
+117
-129
+116
-125
+1½-180
-1½+170

10.86
o9-104
u9-115
o8-110
u9-115
3rd
TOP
3
3
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
51.6%
48.4%
+143
-158
+152
-160
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+140
8.80
o8-120
u8+100
o8-115
u8+100
2nd
TOP
1
0
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
49.3%
50.7%
-110
+100
-112
+105
-1½+150
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
8.97
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u8-125
2nd
TOP
0
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Miami Marlins
44.3%
55.7%
-122
+111
-124
+115
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
4
6
-0.76990-0.78397-0.58514
Texas Rangers
New York Mets
40.6%
59.4%
+141
-156
+145
-153
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+140
3
2
-0.90365-0.90892-0.90108
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
48.8%
51.2%
-150
+136
-144
+135
-1½+106
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-127
5
3
-0.53428-0.54294-0.71707
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
40.0%
60.0%
-113
+103
-110
+101
-1½+140
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-155
5
1
-0.65676-0.66771-0.91612
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
33.0%
67.0%
+153
-166
+155
-170
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
4
5
-0.49065-0.48418-0.39996
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago Cubs
55.7%
44.3%
-104
-106
-107
-102

-1½+155
+1½-175
5
4
-0.69780-0.68152-0.58514
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
52.0%
48.0%
-143
+130
-142
+135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
1
5
-0.85590-0.86664-0.73395
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
47.5%
52.5%
+153
-169
+165
-175
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
1
2
-0.48805-0.46561-0.64352
Cincinnati Reds
Oakland Athletics
44.5%
55.5%
+107
-118
+108
-115
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+160
0
3
-0.63790-0.64124-0.58828
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
38.3%
61.7%
+235
-264
+240
-270
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
4
2
-1.23244-1.24733-0.96032
Arizona Diamondbacks
Minnesota Twins
41.0%
59.0%
+131
-144
+128
-137
+1½-171
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
8
9
-0.55016-0.56460-0.52750
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
40.7%
59.3%
+165
-183
+170
-180
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-122
-1½+115
2
8
-0.45969-0.45497-0.52253
Houston Astros
Atlanta Braves
50.2%
49.8%
+119
-131
+117
-127
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
11
3
-0.80735-0.79483-0.68999
Detroit Tigers
Miami Marlins
40.3%
59.7%
-193
+174
-188
+180
-1½-115
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½+100
2
8
-1.03136-1.03950-0.51559
Texas Rangers
New York Mets
38.4%
61.6%
-101
-109
+103
-110
+1½-215
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+190
8
3
-0.71192-0.72433-0.95638
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
45.5%
54.5%
-111
+103
-112
+105
-1½+148
+1½-168
-1½+145
+1½-155
4
1
-0.66083-0.65406-0.78746
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.61678 
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.61747 
DRatings53-2 (0.600)0-0.68817
-0.07138
-0.07070

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.