MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 21, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Jack Perkins
Jose Urena
52.1%
47.9%
-110
+104
-113
+104

-1½+140
+1½-155
5.23
5.01
10.24
o9-120
u9½-115
o9-120
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Patrick Corbin
Michael Lorenzen
46.4%
53.6%
+106
-117
+112
-115
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+170
4.74
5.13
9.87
o9-105
u9-105
o9-105
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Quinn Priester
Shota Imanaga
55.0%
45.0%
+114
-126
+116
-126
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-205
-1½+180
4.42
3.90
8.32
o6½-120
u6½+100
o6½-120
u6½+100
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Clayton Kershaw
Chase Dollander
64.6%
35.4%
-220
+197
-225
+210
-1½-160
+1½+140
-1½-160
+1½+150
5.45
3.93
9.38
o12+100
u11½+105
o12-105
u12-115
All Bet Values Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Sean Manaea
MacKenzie Gore
50.2%
49.8%
-123
+112
-124
+115
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
4.49
4.47
8.96
o8-120
u8+100
o8-120
u8+100
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Justin Verlander
Dylan Cease
47.0%
53.0%
+151
-167
+155
-170
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+122
3.84
4.15
7.99
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½-110
Houston Astros (70-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Jason Alexander
Brandon Young
62.9%
37.1%
-105
-105
+100
-108

+1½-195
-1½+180
5.09
3.73
8.82
o9+108
u8½-105
o8½-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Lucas Giolito
Luis Gil
48.1%
51.9%
+134
-148
+132
-142
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-164
-1½+150
4.38
4.57
8.95
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Sonny Gray
Joe Boyle
40.0%
60.0%
-115
+104
-115
+106
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
3.67
4.72
8.39
o8½+100
u8+100
o8½-105
u8½-115
Games for Aug 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
Cincinnati Reds
43.0%
57.0%
-103
-107
+100
-108
+1½-194
-1½+175
+1½-195
-1½+175
12
5
-0.70249-0.71219-0.84297
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.5%
58.5%
+172
-191
+180
-200
+1½-117
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+100
3
4
-0.44477-0.42898-0.53613
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
49.9%
50.1%
-179
+161
-177
+165
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+105
11
4
-0.46825-0.46409-0.69579
Cleveland Indians
San Francisco Giants
38.9%
61.1%
+142
-157
+145
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
4
2
-0.90760-0.90421-0.94325
Minnesota Twins
Cincinnati Reds
43.9%
56.1%
+117
-129
+120
-125
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
4
-0.59776-0.59784-0.57836
Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals
49.2%
50.8%
+136
-150
+135
-145
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
3
1
-0.88211-0.87165-0.70946
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
47.3%
52.7%
-135
+122
-133
+125
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-138
6
3
-0.57893-0.57583-0.74955
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
32.7%
67.3%
+103
-113
+105
-113
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
8
12
-0.65676-0.65204-0.39552
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
44.1%
55.9%
+175
-195
+185
-200
+1½-121
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
0
5
-0.43833-0.42286-0.58239
Arizona Diamondbacks
Toronto Blue Jays
33.9%
66.1%
+102
-112
-103
-105
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+185
1
8
-0.66116-0.68844-0.41465
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
41.1%
58.9%
+214
-240
+226
-250
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-125
3
2
-1.16828-1.20254-0.88899
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
51.7%
48.3%
-187
+169
-184
+170
-1½-119
+1½+100
-1½-112
+1½+100
4
2
-0.45143-0.45213-0.65952
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
51.2%
48.8%
-125
+113
-110
+116
-1½+145
+1½-164
-1½+165
+1½-168
3
1
-0.61251-0.63331-0.66845
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.5%
58.5%
+186
-207
+195
-200
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
6
8
-0.41776-0.41110-0.53613
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
50.1%
49.9%
-126
+115
-120
+113
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+125
+1½-140
13
3
-0.60664-0.62096-0.69205
Cleveland Indians
San Francisco Giants
38.9%
61.1%
+126
-139
+135
-136
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+160
3
2
-0.83914-0.85621-0.94325
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks146-8 (0.429)0-0.74474 
Sportsbooks146-8 (0.429)0-0.75120 
DRatings146-8 (0.429)0-0.74891
-0.00417
0.00229

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.