MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedMilwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%

-102
-105

+1½-220
-1½+190
4.42
4.11
8.53

o7½-120
u8-110
PostponedNew York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-163
+137
-155
+145
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
5.20
5.54
10.74
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½-110
u10-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Erick Fedde
Sam Aldegheri
51.6%
48.4%
+100
-110
+102
-109
+1½-207
-1½+178

5.13
4.97
10.10
o9-105
u9-114
o9-105
u8½+100
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Bubba Chandler
Eduardo Rodriguez
45.6%
54.4%
+120
-132
+121
-130
+1½-178
-1½+156
+1½-165
-1½+162
4.15
4.61
8.76
o9-105
u9-115
o9-110
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Bryce Elder
George Kirby
52.7%
47.3%
+122
-135
+121
-128
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.81
4.52
9.33
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Walker Buehler
Logan Webb
48.3%
51.7%
+128
-141
+130
-130
+1½-164
-1½+145
+1½-170
-1½+158
4.14
4.32
8.46
o7½-110
u7½-108
o7½+100
u7½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
56.9%
43.1%
+130
-143
+158
-145
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-130
-1½+150
9.62
o8½+100
u8+100
o8½+100
u8½-115
9th
TOP
10
3
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
46.5%
53.5%
+105
-116
+117
-119
+1½-215
-1½+183
+1½-195
-1½+185
8.95
o7-103
u7-115
o7+113
u7+100
9th
TOP
3
4
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
38.6%
61.4%
+122
-135
+128
-130
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+158
9.29
o8½-108
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
8th
BOT
7
6
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
49.2%
50.8%
+186
-207
+183
-190
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+110
11.98
o9-115
u9+105
o8½-120
u9+105
9th
TOP
0
9
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
47.8%
52.2%
-115
+104
-109
+102

+1½-205
-1½+190
10.89
o9½-110
u9½-105
o9-105
u9½+100
9th
TOP
10
3
Texas Rangers (42-78)
New York Yankees (69-52)
42.0%
58.0%
+117
-129
+116
-125
+1½-180
-1½+170

10.86
o9-104
u9-115
o8-110
u9-115
7th
BOT
3
4
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
51.6%
48.4%
+143
-158
+152
-160
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+140
8.80
o8-120
u8+100
o8-115
u8+100
6th
TOP
2
0
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
49.3%
50.7%
-110
+100
-112
+105
-1½+150
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
8.97
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u8-125
6th
BOT
3
5
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Houston Astros (70-50)
50.6%
49.4%
-205
+185
-210
+196
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+118
8.62
o8½-102
u8½-115
o8-120
u8½-115
4th
BOT
0
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
54.2%
45.8%
+123
-136
+126
-135
+1½-177
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+170
0
4
-0.57558-0.57111-0.78180
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
33.0%
67.0%
+113
-125
+118
-128
+1½-193
-1½+168
+1½-180
-1½+170
1
6
-0.61251-0.59724-0.39996
Kansas City Royals
Philadelphia Phillies
40.6%
59.4%
+124
-137
+126
-135
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
2
8
-0.57228-0.57111-0.52155
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
38.7%
61.3%
-107
-103
-105
-104
+1½-213
-1½+190
+1½-215
-1½+195
5
6
-0.70249-0.69549-0.48968
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago Cubs
55.7%
44.3%
+140
-155
+145
-154
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+150
4
6
-0.52206-0.51473-0.81425
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
49.1%
50.9%
+135
-149
+145
-155
+1½-160
-1½+148
+1½-150
-1½+130
6
7
-0.53715-0.51371-0.67440
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
38.3%
61.7%
+225
-250
+230
-245
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-130
0
2
-0.35820-0.35538-0.48251
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
44.4%
55.6%
+120
-132
+124
-134
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+158
2
3
-0.58717-0.57638-0.58695
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
46.4%
53.6%
+103
-113
+105
-112
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
4
6
-0.65676-0.65406-0.62323
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
35.4%
64.6%
+145
-160
+150
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
9
-0.50878-0.50078-0.43626
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
47.9%
52.1%
+116
-128
+118
-125
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
0
5
-0.60139-0.60195-0.65137
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
50.0%
50.0%
+149
-165
+156
-157
+1½-150
-1½+138
+1½-142
-1½+130
0
6
-0.49774-0.49436-0.69305
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
47.4%
52.6%
-122
+111
-122
+116
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
1
5
-0.76990-0.78255-0.64253
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
44.4%
55.6%
+110
-121
+108
-115
+1½-184
-1½+161
+1½-195
-1½+175
2
3
-0.62581-0.64124-0.58620
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.0%
67.0%
+308
-352
+290
-321
+1½+145
-1½-162
+1½+140
-1½-155
0
9
-0.27363-0.28990-0.40048
St. Louis Cardinals
Seattle Mariners
47.7%
52.3%
+189
-210
+194
-210
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½-105
2
4
-0.41264-0.40687-0.64758
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-2 (0.333)0-0.74505 
Sportsbooks31-2 (0.333)0-0.74840 
DRatings32-1 (0.667)0-0.67815
0.06690
0.07026

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.