MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Tobias Myers
Bailey Falter
60.9%
39.1%
-138
+127
-136
+127
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-135
4.88
3.73
8.61
o8-110
u8½-125
o8½+105
u8+100
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Justin Steele
Tanner Banks
42.1%
57.9%
-128
+118
+350
+111
-1½+135
+1½-155

4.14
4.98
9.12
o8½-112
u8½-108
o7½-110
u8½-105
All Bet Values Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Ryan Pepiot
Tarik Skubal
59.8%
40.2%
+157
-172
+163
-174
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
4.70
3.68
8.38
o7+105
u7-120
o6½-112
u7-120
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jakob Junis
Tanner Bibee
50.7%
49.3%
+139
-152
+150
-160
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-153
-1½+135
4.80
4.72
9.52
o8-105
u8-113
o7½-115
u7½-105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Cole Ragans
Mitchell Parker
44.4%
55.6%
-164
+150
-161
+164
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-106
4.62
5.21
9.83
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Dean Kremer
Clarke Schmidt
34.1%
65.9%
+139
-152
+142
-152
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+130
4.34
5.99
10.33
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Brayan Bello
Bowden Francis
45.4%
54.6%
+119
-129
+123
-127
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-179
-1½+160
4.89
5.37
10.26
o8-105
u7½+105
o7½-120
u7½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Luis Severino
Spencer Schwellenbach
44.1%
55.9%
+132
-144
+129
-139
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+160
4.05
4.66
8.71
o8-115
u8-105
o8-110
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Jack Kochanowicz
Jonathan Cannon
41.9%
58.1%
-117
+107
-116
+107
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+137
+1½-155
4.58
5.44
10.02
o8½-115
u8½-102
o8-115
u8+100
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Ryan Weathers
Bailey Ober
44.8%
55.2%
+210
-235
+213
-230
+1½-104
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.63
5.18
9.81
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8-105
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Logan Gilbert
Framber Valdez
38.3%
61.7%
+122
-133
+120
-130
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-192
-1½+175
3.88
5.10
8.98
o7-115
u7-103
o7-115
u7+100
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Michael McGreevy
Ryan Feltner
48.8%
51.2%
-112
+102
-114
+110
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+127
+1½-140
4.88
5.02
9.90
o10½-115
u11-120
o11+100
u11-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Logan Webb
Brandon Pfaadt
58.9%
41.1%
+121
-132
+123
-131
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-178
-1½+160
4.62
3.68
8.30
o8-105
u8-107
o8-115
u8+100
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Nathan Eovaldi
Mitch Spence
35.8%
64.2%
-117
+107
-114
+106
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
4.53
6.02
10.55
o8+107
u8-127
o7½-115
u7½-105
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Mike King
Landon Knack
38.8%
61.2%
-103
-107
+101
-110
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-203
-1½+180
3.86
5.03
8.89
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8+100
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
50.5%
49.5%
+101
-111
+100
-105
+1½-192
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+173
6
5
-0.72144-0.70528-0.68246
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
43.9%
56.1%
-117
+107
-110
+108
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
2
3
-0.74957-0.73693-0.57828
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.3%
63.7%
+110
-120
+115
-118
+1½-193
-1½+168
+1½-180
-1½+170
4
6
-0.62755-0.62019-0.45044
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
47.2%
52.8%
+100
-110
+107
-109

-1½+170
+1½-180
13
0
-0.71668-0.73216-0.75175
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
59.3%
40.7%
+214
-240
+220
-235
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-120
1
2
-0.37237-0.36844-0.89916
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
43.3%
56.7%
+130
-142
+135
-142
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+143
3
0
-0.85426-0.86664-0.83792
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
44.7%
55.3%
-202
+183
-201
+189
-1½-135
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+115
7
6
-0.42416-0.41750-0.80611
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
49.8%
50.2%
-149
+137
-150
+142
-1½+100
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-115
3
0
-0.53363-0.52396-0.69714
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.0%
59.0%
+170
-186
+168
-180
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+112
8
3
-1.01377-1.00169-0.89121
Arizona Diamondbacks
Kansas City Royals
43.5%
56.5%
+109
-119
+112
-120
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-185
-1½+172
8
6
-0.75877-0.76841-0.83195
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
59.3%
40.7%
+236
-268
+240
-270
+1½+120
-1½-140
+1½+127
-1½-135
2
10
-0.34265-0.33865-0.89916
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
47.2%
52.8%
-116
+106
-112
+104
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+152
+1½-165
3
6
-0.74492-0.73126-0.63779
New York Mets
New York Yankees
37.6%
62.4%
+150
-164
+160
-161
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
12
3
-0.93728-0.95698-0.97838
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
54.7%
45.3%
-106
-104
-102
-102

-1½+155
+1½-170
12
3
-0.68852-0.69315-0.60417
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
41.1%
58.9%
-135
+124
-133
+127
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-140
3
6
-0.82716-0.83105-0.52924
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
46.4%
53.6%
+131
-143
+130
-134
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
2
-0.55137-0.56488-0.62355
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-3 (0.250)0-0.74048 
Sportsbooks41-3 (0.250)0-0.74209 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.66865
0.07183
0.07344

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.