MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedMilwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%

-102
-105

+1½-220
-1½+190
4.42
4.11
8.53

o7½-120
u8-110
PostponedNew York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-163
+137
-155
+145
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
5.20
5.54
10.74
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½-110
u10-110
Games for May 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
51.6%
48.4%
+143
-158
+152
-160
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+140
8.80
o8-120
u8+100
o8-115
u8+100
8th
BOT
2
2
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Houston Astros (70-50)
50.6%
49.4%
-205
+185
-210
+196
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+118
8.62
o8½-102
u8½-115
o8-120
u8½-115
8th
TOP
0
2
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
51.6%
48.4%
-106
-104
+102
-109


10.03
o9-105
u9-114
o9-105
u8½+100
2nd
TOP
2
2
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
45.6%
54.4%
+114
-126
+121
-130
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+162
8.76
o9-105
u9-103
o9-110
u9-110
2nd
TOP
0
2
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
52.7%
47.3%
+107
-118
+118
-125
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
9.41
o8+102
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
2nd
BOT
0
0
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
48.3%
51.7%
+129
-142
+128
-130
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-170
-1½+158
8.46
o7½-108
u7½-110
o7½+100
u7½-115
2nd
TOP
1
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
35.4%
64.6%
+145
-160
+150
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
9
-0.50878-0.50078-0.43626
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
47.9%
52.1%
+116
-128
+118
-125
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
0
5
-0.60139-0.60195-0.65137
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
50.0%
50.0%
+149
-165
+156
-157
+1½-150
-1½+138
+1½-142
-1½+130
0
6
-0.49774-0.49436-0.69305
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
47.4%
52.6%
-122
+111
-122
+116
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
1
5
-0.76990-0.78255-0.64253
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
44.4%
55.6%
+110
-121
+108
-115
+1½-184
-1½+161
+1½-195
-1½+175
2
3
-0.62581-0.64124-0.58620
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.0%
67.0%
+308
-352
+290
-321
+1½+145
-1½-162
+1½+140
-1½-155
0
9
-0.27363-0.28990-0.40048
St. Louis Cardinals
Seattle Mariners
47.7%
52.3%
+189
-210
+194
-210
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½-105
2
4
-0.41264-0.40687-0.64758
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
42.9%
57.1%
+123
-136
+130
-137
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+165
2
1
-0.82640-0.84567-0.84690
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
47.4%
52.6%
-125
+113
-126
+117
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
5
6
-0.78086-0.79290-0.64253
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
39.9%
60.1%
+149
-165
+150
-158
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
3
2
-0.93624-0.92862-0.91784
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
49.0%
51.0%
+138
-152
+139
-146
+1½-157
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
2
-0.89016-0.88312-0.71376
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
38.3%
61.7%
+147
-162
+150
-165
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
11
1
-0.92712-0.93869-0.95962
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
46.4%
53.6%
+140
-155
+140
-145
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+150
3
11
-0.52206-0.53299-0.62370
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
44.4%
55.6%
-109
-101
-105
-104


4
3
-0.67472-0.69081-0.81198
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
47.9%
52.1%
+132
-146
+131
-140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
3
8
-0.54595-0.55511-0.65137
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
46.7%
53.3%
-147
+133
-147
+135
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
1
2
-0.86991-0.87488-0.63002
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74-3 (0.571)0-0.67242 
Sportsbooks74-3 (0.571)0-0.68684 
DRatings75-2 (0.714)0-0.68276
-0.01034
0.00408

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.