MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedMilwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%

-102
-105

+1½-220
-1½+190
4.42
4.11
8.53

o7½-120
u8-110
PostponedNew York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-163
+137
-155
+145
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
5.20
5.54
10.74
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½-110
u10-110
Games for May 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
51.6%
48.4%
+143
-158
+152
-160
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+140
8.80
o8-120
u8+100
o8-115
u8+100
10th
TOP
2
2
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
51.6%
48.4%
-106
-104
+102
-109


10.03
o9-105
u9-114
o9-105
u8½+100
4th
BOT
2
2
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
45.6%
54.4%
+114
-126
+121
-130
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+162
8.76
o9-105
u9-103
o9-110
u9-110
4th
BOT
0
2
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
52.7%
47.3%
+107
-118
+118
-125
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
9.41
o8+102
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
4th
BOT
2
2
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
48.3%
51.7%
+129
-142
+128
-130
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-170
-1½+158
8.46
o7½-108
u7½-110
o7½+100
u7½-115
4th
BOT
6
4

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
46.7%
53.3%
-147
+133
-147
+135
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
1
2
-0.86991-0.87488-0.63002
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
45.3%
54.7%
+104
-108
+107
-108
+1½-195
-1½+173
+1½-185
-1½+175
3
4
-0.66479-0.65772-0.60265
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
33.6%
66.4%
+110
-121
+112
-122
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
5
3
-0.76535-0.77245-1.09035
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
46.9%
53.1%
-109
-101
-108
+102
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
4
5
-0.71192-0.71728-0.63277
Milwaukee Brewers
Texas Rangers
53.5%
46.5%
-120
+109
-120
+111
-1½+146
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
3
6
-0.76081-0.76589-0.76628
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.3%
63.7%
+290
-330
+287
-330
+1½+145
-1½-160
+1½+143
-1½-150
2
7
-0.28827-0.29021-0.45099
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
47.0%
53.0%
+105
-116
+108
-107
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
6
0
-0.74238-0.73004-0.75545
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
38.3%
61.7%
+126
-139
+126
-135
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
3
5
-0.56577-0.57111-0.48258
St. Louis Cardinals
Seattle Mariners
47.7%
52.3%
+161
-179
+173
-188
+1½-127
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
3
5
-0.46825-0.44541-0.64758
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
45.6%
54.4%
+158
-175
+165
-176
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+115
4
2
-0.97146-0.98948-0.78452
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
45.3%
54.7%
-104
-106
-111
+102
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
12
-0.68852-0.72400-0.60265
Milwaukee Brewers
Texas Rangers
59.2%
40.8%
-106
-104
-103
-105

+1½-215
-1½+190
4
5
-0.69780-0.68844-0.89686
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
47.4%
52.6%
-119
+108
-115
+111
-1½+135
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-150
5
4
-0.63380-0.63448-0.74646
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
39.9%
60.1%
+104
-109
-105
-105

+1½-210
-1½+190
6
1
-0.72460-0.69315-0.91784
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
43.2%
56.8%
+128
-141
+130
-140
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+160
3
4
-0.55942-0.55696-0.56514
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
34.0%
66.0%
+134
-148
+142
-155
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+130
12
2
-0.87397-0.90461-1.08010
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks84-4 (0.500)0-0.72212 
Sportsbooks84-4 (0.500)0-0.73852 
DRatings85-3 (0.625)0-0.68554
0.03658
0.05298

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.