MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 21, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Patrick Corbin
Michael Lorenzen
46.4%
53.6%
+107
-118
+108
-115
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-190
-1½+180
4.78
5.15
9.93
o9-113
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Quinn Priester
Shota Imanaga
55.0%
45.0%
+122
-135
+125
-132
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
4.46
3.94
8.40
o6½-110
u6½-105
o6½-115
u6½+100
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Clayton Kershaw
Chase Dollander
64.6%
35.4%
-200
+180
-205
+194
-1½-144
+1½+130
-1½-160
+1½+145
5.43
3.89
9.32
o12-101
u11½+100
o12-105
u12-115
All Bet Values Active
Overall Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Sean Manaea
MacKenzie Gore
50.2%
49.8%
-127
+115
-125
+117
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
4.58
4.57
9.15
o8-105
u8-103
o8-115
u8+100
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Justin Verlander
Dylan Cease
47.0%
53.0%
+168
-186
+166
-177
+1½-132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+118
3.84
4.15
7.99
o7½-120
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+105
Houston Astros (70-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Jason Alexander
Brandon Young
62.9%
37.1%
+104
-115
+106
-115
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-190
-1½+175
5.13
3.78
8.91
o9+105
u8½+105
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Lucas Giolito
Luis Gil
48.1%
51.9%
+125
-138
+131
-142
+1½-169
-1½+150
+1½-164
-1½+145
4.38
4.57
8.95
o8½-106
u8½-110
o8-120
u8+110
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Sonny Gray
Joe Boyle
40.0%
60.0%
-113
+103
-114
+106
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
3.67
4.72
8.39
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-110
Games for Aug 20, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
52.1%
47.9%
-105
-105
-111
+102
-1½+145
+1½-162
-1½+140
+1½-150
10.24
o9-120
u9½-126
o9½+100
u9½-115
3rd
BOT
6
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
43.4%
56.6%
+166
-184
+173
-184
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
1
0
-1.00188-1.01841-0.83552
Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals
45.9%
54.1%
+139
-154
+150
-155
+1½-159
-1½+139
+1½-140
-1½+140
6
4
-0.89570-0.92410-0.77833
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
49.1%
50.9%
-109
-101
-106
-103
-1½+147
+1½-167

5
2
-0.67472-0.68615-0.71044
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.6%
58.4%
+165
-183
+165
-180
+1½-120
-1½+102
+1½-125
-1½+110
4
5
-0.45969-0.46185-0.53808
Cleveland Indians
Seattle Mariners
46.6%
53.4%
+105
-116
+105
-115
+1½-198
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
0
6
-0.64623-0.64814-0.62650
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.9%
41.1%
+122
-134
+120
-130
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+160
8
2
-0.82034-0.80802-0.53009
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
61.2%
38.8%
+136
-150
+140
-149
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
1
2
-0.53428-0.52846-0.94546
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
39.6%
60.4%
+138
-143
+133
-143
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
3
-0.53883-0.54771-0.50359
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
38.5%
61.5%
+101
-111
+106
-112
+1½-195
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+180
1
2
-0.66563-0.65174-0.48600
Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals
55.5%
44.5%
+126
-137
+135
-141
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-150
-1½+145
3
2
-0.83570-0.86496-0.58953
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
40.7%
59.3%
+125
-138
+125
-133
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
3
-0.56900-0.57583-0.52253
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets
51.4%
48.6%
+137
-151
+140
-152
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+142
9
0
-0.88615-0.89512-0.66534
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
50.3%
49.7%
+149
-165
+160
-164
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
4
11
-0.49774-0.48190-0.69860
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
48.8%
51.2%
-179
+161
-180
+165
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½+100
0
2
-0.98377-0.99458-0.66978
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
56.2%
43.8%
+101
-111
+101
-106
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
2
11
-0.66563-0.67645-0.82444
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
45.8%
54.2%
+138
-152
+143
-155
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
1
-0.89016-0.90708-0.78154
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks115-6 (0.455)0-0.74742 
Sportsbooks115-6 (0.455)0-0.75582 
DRatings115-6 (0.455)0-0.72509
0.02233
0.03073

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.