MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Tobias Myers
Bailey Falter
60.9%
39.1%
-135
+124
-136
+127
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-135
4.85
3.71
8.56
o8-110
u8-101
o8½+105
u8+100
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Justin Steele
Tanner Banks
42.1%
57.9%
-123
+113
+350
+111
-1½+136
+1½-150

4.14
4.98
9.12
o8½-112
u8½-105
o7½-110
u8½-105
All Bet Values Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Ryan Pepiot
Tarik Skubal
59.8%
40.2%
+160
-175
+163
-174
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
4.70
3.68
8.38
o6½-117
u7-115
o7+105
u7-120
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jakob Junis
Tanner Bibee
50.7%
49.3%
+142
-155
+150
-160
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-153
-1½+135
4.80
4.72
9.52
o8-105
u8-115
o7½-115
u7½-105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Cole Ragans
Mitchell Parker
44.4%
55.6%
-164
+150
-165
+156
-1½+100
+1½-119
-1½-104
+1½-114
4.62
5.21
9.83
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Dean Kremer
Clarke Schmidt
34.1%
65.9%
+139
-152
+142
-152
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+130
4.48
6.14
10.62
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Brayan Bello
Bowden Francis
45.4%
54.6%
+116
-126
+120
-127
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+162
4.89
5.37
10.26
o8-105
u7½+103
o7½-120
u7½+105
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Luis Severino
Spencer Schwellenbach
44.1%
55.9%
+129
-140
+129
-139
+1½-168
-1½+148
+1½-163
-1½+160
4.03
4.65
8.68
o8-115
u8-105
o8-110
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Jack Kochanowicz
Jonathan Cannon
41.9%
58.1%
-117
+107
-116
+107
-1½+138
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-155
4.57
5.42
9.99
o8½-115
u8½-102
o8-115
u8+100
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Ryan Weathers
Bailey Ober
44.8%
55.2%
+210
-235
+213
-230
+1½-109
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.63
5.18
9.81
o8-110
u8-107
o8-110
u8-105
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Logan Gilbert
Framber Valdez
38.3%
61.7%
+122
-133
+120
-130
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-192
-1½+175
3.88
5.10
8.98
o7-115
u7+100
o7-115
u7+100
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Michael McGreevy
Ryan Feltner
48.8%
51.2%
-114
+104
-114
+110
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-140
4.86
4.98
9.84
o10½-115
u11-120
o11+100
u11-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Logan Webb
Brandon Pfaadt
58.9%
41.1%
+125
-136
+123
-131
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-178
-1½+160
4.62
3.68
8.30
o8-105
u8-105
o8-115
u8+100
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Nathan Eovaldi
Mitch Spence
35.8%
64.2%
-116
+106
-114
+106
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
4.51
6.01
10.52
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½-105
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Mike King
Landon Knack
38.8%
61.2%
-103
-107
+101
-110
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-203
-1½+180
3.86
5.03
8.89
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8+100
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
New York Yankees
42.0%
58.0%
+133
-145
+138
-145
+1½-151
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+133
3
2
-0.86669-0.87904-0.86736
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
54.7%
45.3%
+104
-114
+104
-111
+1½-194
-1½+175
+1½-195
-1½+180
4
0
-0.73560-0.72909-0.60417
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
41.1%
58.9%
-165
+151
-165
+155
-1½-108
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
3
6
-0.94110-0.95078-0.52924
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
43.3%
56.7%
+117
-127
+120
-125
+1½-178
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+160
4
5
-0.60086-0.59784-0.56671
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.9%
45.1%
+158
-173
+163
-170
+1½-130
-1½+113
+1½-125
-1½+117
2
1
-0.96885-0.97678-0.60044
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.7%
58.3%
+100
-110
+108
-111
+1½-208
-1½+178
+1½-185
-1½+175
2
3
-0.67015-0.64913-0.53960
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
49.1%
50.9%
+140
-153
+143
-153
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
1
-0.89664-0.90402-0.71225
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
50.1%
49.9%
-149
+137
-145
+136
-1½+110
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-128
0
4
-0.88303-0.87412-0.69425
Philadelphia Phillies
Minnesota Twins
49.7%
50.3%
-109
-101
-110
+103
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
7
-0.71192-0.72433-0.68748
Boston Red Sox
Colorado Rockies
55.2%
44.8%
-150
+138
-156
+148
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
8
9
-0.88707-0.92078-0.80388
Arizona Diamondbacks
Kansas City Royals
43.5%
56.5%
+134
-146
+136
-146
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
4
10
-0.54235-0.53880-0.57128
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
59.2%
40.8%
+159
-174
+159
-172
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+118
3
4
-0.47499-0.47660-0.89654
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
55.0%
45.0%
-111
+101
-114
+108
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+139
+1½-150
1
3
-0.72144-0.74575-0.79906
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
54.1%
45.9%
+128
-139
+127
-136
+1½-164
-1½+144
+1½-165
-1½+148
4
1
-0.84416-0.83644-0.61354
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
41.8%
58.2%
-135
+124
-134
+129
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-150
8
2
-0.57499-0.56676-0.87345
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.2%
43.8%
+108
-118
+110
-116
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+181
1
2
-0.63563-0.63482-0.82533
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-3 (0.250)0-0.74048 
Sportsbooks41-3 (0.250)0-0.74209 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.66865
0.07183
0.07344

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.