MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedMilwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%

-102
-105

+1½-220
-1½+190
4.42
4.11
8.53

o7½-120
u8-110
PostponedNew York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-163
+137
-155
+145
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
5.20
5.54
10.74
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½-110
u10-110
Games for May 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
51.6%
48.4%
-106
-104
+102
-109


10.03
o9-105
u9-114
o9-105
u8½+100
6th
TOP
2
4
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
45.6%
54.4%
+114
-126
+121
-130
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+162
8.76
o9-105
u9-103
o9-110
u9-110
6th
BOT
0
2
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
52.7%
47.3%
+107
-118
+118
-125
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
9.41
o8+102
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
7th
TOP
2
2
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
48.3%
51.7%
+129
-142
+128
-130
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-170
-1½+158
8.46
o7½-108
u7½-110
o7½+100
u7½-115
6th
TOP
7
4

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
34.0%
66.0%
+134
-148
+142
-155
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+130
12
2
-0.87397-0.90461-1.08010
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
46.4%
53.6%
+116
-128
+120
-127
+1½-182
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
3
9
-0.60139-0.59470-0.62370
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
44.4%
55.6%
-108
-102
-101
-103

+1½-200
-1½+195
0
2
-0.70719-0.68830-0.58695
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
47.9%
52.1%
+112
-123
+113
-120
+1½-177
-1½+160
+1½-185
-1½+170
7
5
-0.77442-0.77096-0.73674
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
46.7%
53.3%
+129
-142
+129
-139
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-160
-1½+155
2
3
-0.55629-0.56010-0.63002
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
32.7%
67.3%
+314
-360
+311
-360
+1½+145
-1½-162
+1½+150
-1½-165
1
3
-0.26899-0.27071-0.39595
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
46.9%
53.1%
-147
+133
-148
+140
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
7
0
-0.54299-0.52957-0.75741
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
35.1%
64.9%
+156
-171
+160
-165
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+130
5
11
-0.48185-0.48102-0.43268
St. Louis Cardinals
Seattle Mariners
47.7%
52.3%
+200
-223
+210
-220
+1½-104
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
2
4
-0.39393-0.38472-0.64758
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
39.1%
60.9%
+116
-128
+121
-126
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
4
-0.60139-0.59423-0.49638
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
45.3%
54.7%
+102
-112
+108
-115
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
12
3
-0.72619-0.74790-0.79266
Milwaukee Brewers
Texas Rangers
59.2%
40.8%
-118
+107
-118
+114
-1½+138
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-150
0
5
-0.75162-0.76934-0.89686
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
39.9%
60.1%
-110
+100
-114
+104
-1½+143
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
1
4
-0.71668-0.73560-0.50979
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
41.0%
59.0%
-116
+105
-118
+110
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+130
+1½-140
0
1
-0.74238-0.75927-0.52770
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
44.4%
55.6%
+104
-115
+102
-108
+1½-200
-1½+181
+1½-205
-1½+180
2
10
-0.65049-0.66959-0.58695
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
47.9%
52.1%
+103
-107
+105
-114
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+185
15
7
-0.71752-0.73814-0.73674
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks95-4 (0.556)0-0.69900 
Sportsbooks95-4 (0.556)0-0.71176 
DRatings95-4 (0.556)0-0.68992
0.00908
0.02184

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.