MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 21, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Sean Manaea
MacKenzie Gore
50.2%
49.8%
-127
+117
-128
+119
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-145
4.49
4.47
8.96
o8-110
u8-103
o8-115
u8+105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Justin Verlander
Dylan Cease
47.0%
53.0%
+161
-179
+168
-180
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
3.84
4.15
7.99
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-120
u7½+105
Houston Astros (70-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Jason Alexander
Brandon Young
62.9%
37.1%
+104
-115
+106
-115
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-190
-1½+175
5.09
3.73
8.82
o9+100
u8½+105
o9+100
u9-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Lucas Giolito
Luis Gil
48.1%
51.9%
+125
-138
+131
-142
+1½-169
-1½+150
+1½-164
-1½+145
4.38
4.57
8.95
o8½-110
u8½-108
o8½-105
u8½-105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Sonny Gray
Joe Boyle
40.0%
60.0%
-113
+103
-114
+106
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
3.67
4.72
8.39
o8-115
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-110
Games for Aug 20, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
52.1%
47.9%
-105
-105
-111
+102
-1½+145
+1½-162
-1½+140
+1½-150
10.24
o9-120
u9½-126
o9½+100
u9½-115
9th
BOT
8
3
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
46.4%
53.6%
+103
-113
+108
-115
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+180
9.93
o9-110
u9-110
o9-115
u9-105
5th
TOP
2
4
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
55.0%
45.0%
+128
-141
+125
-132
+1½-188
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
8.40
o6½-117
u6½+100
o6½-115
u6½+100
5th
BOT
2
0
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
64.6%
35.4%
-212
+190
-204
+190
-1½-147
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+135
9.32
o12+100
u11½+100
o12-105
u12-115
2nd
BOT
4
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
39.9%
60.1%
+277
-315
+290
-300
+1½+140
-1½-160
+1½+148
-1½-150
10
1
-1.35108-1.36735-0.91827
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
50.6%
49.4%
+156
-173
+170
-178
+1½-130
-1½+123
+1½-130
-1½+112
8
4
-0.96404-1.00387-0.68104
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.8%
62.2%
+149
-165
+160
-168
+1½-132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
5
11
-0.49774-0.47844-0.47528
Cleveland Indians
Seattle Mariners
46.6%
53.4%
+132
-140
+128
-138
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+170
3
4
-0.55326-0.56328-0.62650
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
48.8%
51.2%
-165
+149
-165
+155
-1½-107
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
3
4
-0.93624-0.95078-0.66978
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
55.3%
44.7%
+147
-163
+152
-160
+1½-141
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+120
7
8
-0.50274-0.49765-0.80600
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets
51.4%
48.6%
+122
-135
+130
-138
+1½-195
-1½+174
+1½-180
-1½+165
8
4
-0.82212-0.84742-0.66534
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
39.9%
60.1%
+290
-330
+300
-335
+1½+140
-1½-160
+1½+145
-1½-165
1
4
-0.28827-0.28113-0.50951
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
38.5%
61.5%
-109
-101
-107
+100

+1½-240
-1½+215
2
3
-0.71192-0.70991-0.48600
Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals
55.5%
44.5%
+140
-155
+145
-155
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
4
0
-0.89968-0.91198-0.58953
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
40.7%
59.3%
+117
-129
+114
-124
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+170
8
5
-0.79860-0.78145-0.89899
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
50.7%
49.3%
+137
-151
+137
-150
+1½-160
-1½+141
+1½-155
-1½+145
2
3
-0.53144-0.53253-0.70637
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
59.3%
40.7%
+248
-280
+270
-300
+1½+115
-1½-135
+1½+115
-1½-125
4
5
-0.32930-0.30775-0.89916
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
56.2%
43.8%
+130
-143
+134
-140
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+148
5
6
-0.55321-0.54962-0.82444
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
40.9%
59.1%
+194
-216
+210
-220
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½+100
1
2
-0.40387-0.38472-0.52530
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
51.1%
48.9%
+162
-180
+162
-176
+1½-129
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+125
11
1
-0.98741-0.98235-0.67135
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks104-6 (0.400)0-0.75469 
Sportsbooks104-6 (0.400)0-0.76374 
DRatings105-5 (0.500)0-0.72299
0.03170
0.04074

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.