MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedMilwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%

-102
-105

+1½-220
-1½+190
4.42
4.11
8.53

o7½-120
u8-110
PostponedNew York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-163
+137
-155
+145
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
5.20
5.54
10.74
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½-110
u10-110
Games for May 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
51.6%
48.4%
-106
-104
+102
-109


10.03
o9-105
u9-114
o9-105
u8½+100
8th
TOP
3
4
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
45.6%
54.4%
+114
-126
+121
-130
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+162
8.76
o9-105
u9-103
o9-110
u9-110
7th
BOT
0
7
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
52.7%
47.3%
+107
-118
+118
-125
+1½-168
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
9.41
o8+102
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
9th
TOP
3
2
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
48.3%
51.7%
+129
-142
+128
-130
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-170
-1½+158
8.46
o7½-108
u7½-110
o7½+100
u7½-115
8th
TOP
8
5

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.8%
41.2%
+100
-110
+101
-105
+1½-200
-1½+180

7
4
-0.71668-0.70779-0.53122
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
50.5%
49.5%
-109
-101
-107
+100
-1½+140
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-165
3
4
-0.71192-0.70991-0.70395
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
55.5%
44.5%
-238
+215
-265
+235
-1½-155
+1½+135
-1½-165
+1½+150
8
1
-0.37215-0.34441-0.58792
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
58.9%
41.1%
-132
+120
-138
+128
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
2
4
-0.81171-0.84244-0.88877
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
47.7%
52.3%
+167
-185
+167
-180
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
6
3
-1.00545-0.99932-0.74020
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
53.8%
46.2%
+117
-129
+120
-130
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-185
-1½+170
3
4
-0.59776-0.59012-0.77111
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
50.2%
49.8%
+104
-115
+109
-114
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
5
1
-0.73771-0.74828-0.68929
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.8%
42.2%
+147
-163
+156
-170
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+115
6
4
-0.92854-0.96006-0.54851
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
46.4%
53.6%
+109
-120
+105
-114
+1½-187
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+175
2
3
-0.62978-0.65009-0.62330
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
51.7%
48.3%
-126
+114
-127
+122
-1½+124
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
4
5
-0.78531-0.80737-0.72795
Los Angeles Dodgers
Baltimore Orioles
69.8%
30.2%
-143
+130
-145
+133
-1½+108
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
5
2
-0.55321-0.54531-0.35918
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
46.2%
53.8%
+160
-177
+160
-174
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+118
3
4
-0.47120-0.47353-0.61997
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.9%
39.1%
-129
+117
-131
+121
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+125
+1½-145
10
2
-0.59776-0.58663-0.49564
Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays
39.0%
61.0%
+146
-161
+146
-160
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
1
-0.92326-0.92181-0.94243
Seattle Mariners
Atlanta Braves
42.6%
57.4%
-109
-101
-111
+104
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
18
2
-0.67472-0.65846-0.85322
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
50.5%
49.5%
+122
-133
+112
-120
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-185
-1½+175
17
4
-0.81855-0.76841-0.68246
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks95-4 (0.556)0-0.69900 
Sportsbooks95-4 (0.556)0-0.71176 
DRatings95-4 (0.556)0-0.68992
0.00908
0.02184

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.