MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 21, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Houston Astros (70-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Jason Alexander
Brandon Young
62.9%
37.1%
+106
-117
+105
-112
+1½-188
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+170
5.09
3.73
8.82
o8½-116
u8½+100
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Lucas Giolito
Luis Gil
48.1%
51.9%
+130
-143
+135
-142
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
4.38
4.57
8.95
o8½-116
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Sonny Gray
Joe Boyle
40.0%
60.0%
-113
+103
-114
+106
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-160
3.67
4.72
8.39
o8-115
u8½-120
o8½+100
u8½-110
Games for Aug 20, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
64.6%
35.4%
-212
+190
-204
+190
-1½-147
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+135
9.32
o12+100
u11½+100
o12-105
u12-115
FINAL
FINAL
9
5
New York Mets (60-60)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
50.2%
49.8%
-128
+116
-125
+118
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
8.96
o8-105
u8-105
o8-115
u8½-115
8th
TOP
3
5
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
47.0%
53.0%
+161
-179
+168
-180
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
7.99
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½+105
6th
BOT
4
8

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
56.2%
43.8%
+130
-143
+134
-140
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+148
5
6
-0.55321-0.54962-0.82444
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
40.9%
59.1%
+194
-216
+210
-220
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½+100
1
2
-0.40387-0.38472-0.52530
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
51.1%
48.9%
+162
-180
+162
-176
+1½-129
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+125
11
1
-0.98741-0.98235-0.67135
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
45.8%
54.2%
+114
-126
+114
-124
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
4
3
-0.78531-0.78145-0.78154
Cleveland Indians
Seattle Mariners
45.0%
55.0%
-103
-107
-102
-104
+1½-230
-1½+195
+1½-230
-1½+200
2
7
-0.68389-0.68838-0.59722
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.1%
59.9%
+169
-187
+180
-185
+1½-134
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
6
2
-1.01258-1.03586-0.91427
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.3%
39.7%
+120
-132
+125
+138
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
1
5
-0.58717-0.72163-0.92344
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
56.2%
43.8%
+161
-179
+165
-172
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
0
2
-0.46825-0.46797-0.82444
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
37.7%
62.3%
-116
+105
-115
+106

+1½-225
-1½+200
3
10
-0.74238-0.74282-0.47245
Oakland Athletics
Kansas City Royals
55.5%
44.5%
+144
-159
+142
-155
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-150
-1½+135
6
4
-0.91544-0.90461-0.58953
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
44.8%
55.2%
+143
-158
+143
-155
+1½-151
-1½+135
+1½-160
-1½+140
2
3
-0.51401-0.51701-0.59424
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
59.3%
40.7%
+145
-160
+150
-155
+1½-150
-1½+138
+1½-135
-1½+140
1
3
-0.50878-0.50566-0.89916
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
43.1%
56.9%
+305
-349
+310
-330
+1½+148
-1½-168
+1½+150
-1½-140
4
12
-0.27586-0.27598-0.56402
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets
51.4%
48.6%
+143
-158
+152
-155
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-140
-1½+140
7
5
-0.91153-0.92889-0.66534
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
54.3%
45.7%
+127
-139
+126
-130
+1½-176
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+170
5
11
-0.56387-0.57821-0.78224
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
48.8%
51.2%
+122
-135
+127
-134
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
1
2
-0.57893-0.57058-0.66978
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks135-7 (0.423)1-0.74957 
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.75124 
DRatings138-5 (0.615)0-0.70019
0.04938
0.05104

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.