MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Antonio Senzatela
Braxton Ashcraft
54.0%
46.0%
+171
-190
+170
-180
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
5.15
4.74
9.89
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-110
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Cade Cavalli
Taijuan Walker
43.0%
57.0%
+149
-165
+150
-162
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
4.40
5.13
9.53
o9½+100
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-115
Houston Astros (70-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Lance McCullers
Cade Povich
61.8%
38.2%
-105
-105
+105
-108
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+180
5.37
4.14
9.51
o9-125
u9½-120
o9-125
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Brayan Bello
Max Fried
44.8%
55.2%
+147
-163
+152
-157
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
4.96
5.51
10.47
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Ryan Bergert
Casey Mize
49.5%
50.5%
+145
-160
+143
-155
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
4.58
4.63
9.21
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Shane Bieber
Ryan Gusto
60.8%
39.2%




4.78
3.65
8.43


New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Nolan McLean
Joey Wentz
44.1%
55.9%
-107
-103
-105
-105
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
4.12
4.74
8.86
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Miles Mikolas
Adrian Houser
40.0%
60.0%
+115
-127
+115
-125
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+160
3.67
4.72
8.39
o9+100
u9-115
o9+100
u9-115
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Zebby Matthews
Aaron Civale
38.6%
61.4%
-135
+122
-131
+121
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
4.39
5.58
9.97
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Slade Cecconi
Nathan Eovaldi
52.0%
48.0%
+147
-163
+148
-160
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+130
5.10
4.89
9.99
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Carson Whisenhunt
Jose Quintana
47.5%
52.5%




3.97
4.23
8.20


Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
43.5%
56.5%




4.52
5.20
9.72


Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Zack Littell
Ryne Nelson
56.4%
43.6%
+121
-133
+121
-130
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.67
4.00
8.67
o9-113
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Blake Snell
Yu Darvish
48.3%
51.7%
-118
+107
-118
+111
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+140
+1½-155
3.92
4.09
8.01
o7½-125
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Luis Morales
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
52.8%
47.2%




4.79
4.50
9.29


Games for Aug 21, 2025
Games for Aug 23, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Houston Astros (70-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
62.9%
37.1%
+104
-115
+105
-112
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
8.82
o8½-116
u8½+100
o9+100
u8½+100
6th
BOT
7
1
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Yankees (69-52)
48.1%
51.9%
+125
-138
+130
-140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
8.95
o8½-120
u8½+103
o8½-115
u8½+110
5th
BOT
2
3
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
40.0%
60.0%
-110
+101
-114
+106
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-160
8.39
o8½+103
u8½-122
o8½+100
u8½-110
5th
TOP
6
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets
51.4%
48.6%
+143
-158
+152
-155
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-140
-1½+140
7
5
-0.91153-0.92889-0.66534
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
54.3%
45.7%
+127
-139
+126
-130
+1½-176
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+170
5
11
-0.56387-0.57821-0.78224
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
48.8%
51.2%
+122
-135
+127
-134
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
1
2
-0.57893-0.57058-0.66978
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
50.7%
49.3%
-105
-105
-102
+100

+1½-220
-1½+195
0
8
-0.69315-0.69808-0.70637
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
45.8%
54.2%
-108
-102
-105
-102

+1½-200
-1½+190
11
9
-0.67930-0.68605-0.78154
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
40.9%
59.1%
+102
-112
+101
-110
+1½-230
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+200
2
1
-0.72619-0.71924-0.89497
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
45.0%
55.0%
+240
-270
+240
-250
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
3
4
-0.33865-0.34485-0.59755
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
40.9%
59.1%
+178
-198
+178
-195
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+112
2
3
-0.43268-0.43448-0.52530
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
57.5%
42.5%
-123
+112
-124
+115
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-140
1
0
-0.61798-0.60989-0.55339
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
40.7%
59.3%
-123
+112
-124
+118
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
0
6
-0.77442-0.79153-0.52253
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
49.2%
50.8%
-190
+171
-190
+177
-1½-114
+1½+110
-1½-118
+1½+105
4
1
-0.44674-0.43891-0.70889
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
54.6%
45.4%
-193
+174
-197
+180
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-137
+1½+130
7
8
-1.03136-1.04985-0.78968
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
43.0%
57.0%
+132
-146
+137
-146
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
16
3
-0.86581-0.87822-0.84318
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
43.4%
56.6%
+181
-201
+194
-208
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
3
4
-0.42717-0.40791-0.56951
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
56.1%
43.9%
-180
+162
-187
+175
-1½-119
+1½+105
-1½-130
+1½+125
10
7
-0.46608-0.44346-0.57784
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
44.8%
55.2%
+150
-166
+152
-160
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
2
10
-0.49528-0.49765-0.59417
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks85-2 (0.688)1-0.62932 
Sportsbooks86-2 (0.750)0-0.62366 
DRatings87-1 (0.875)0-0.61699
0.01233
0.00667

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.