MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Tobias Myers
Bailey Falter
60.9%
39.1%
-138
+127
-136
+127
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+118
+1½-135
4.85
3.71
8.56
o8-105
u8-110
o8+100
u8-115
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Justin Steele
Tanner Banks
42.1%
57.9%
-124
+114
-124
+117
-1½+134
+1½-150
-1½+136
+1½-150
4.14
4.98
9.12
o8-115
u8-105
o8-110
u8½-120
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jakob Junis
Tanner Bibee
50.7%
49.3%
+141
-154
+145
-149
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-155
-1½+141
4.80
4.72
9.52
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Cole Ragans
Mitchell Parker
44.4%
55.6%
-163
+149
-160
+151
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-115
4.62
5.21
9.83
o7½+105
u7½-120
o7½-105
u7½-115
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Dean Kremer
Clarke Schmidt
34.1%
65.9%
+142
-155
+142
-152
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
4.49
6.14
10.63
o8½-105
u8+105
o8½-110
u8½-110
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Brayan Bello
Bowden Francis
45.4%
54.6%
+112
-122
+112
-119
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-195
-1½+175
4.89
5.37
10.26
o8+100
u7½+102
o7½-120
u7½+100
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Luis Severino
Spencer Schwellenbach
44.1%
55.9%
+123
-134
+125
-132
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+157
4.03
4.65
8.68
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Jack Kochanowicz
Jonathan Cannon
41.9%
58.1%
-109
-101
-107
+100
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-165
4.60
5.45
10.05
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8-120
u8½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Ryan Weathers
Bailey Ober
44.8%
55.2%
+210
-235
+215
-235
+1½-109
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.62
5.17
9.79
o8+100
u8-110
o8+100
u8-115
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Logan Gilbert
Framber Valdez
38.3%
61.7%
+121
-132
+127
-135
+1½-184
-1½+164
+1½-180
-1½+165
3.88
5.10
8.98
o7-105
u7-115
o7+100
u7-115
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Michael McGreevy
Ryan Feltner
48.8%
51.2%
-109
-101
-107
-102
-1½+134
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
4.87
5.00
9.87
o10½+102
u10½-115
o10½+105
u10½-115
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Logan Webb
Brandon Pfaadt
58.9%
41.1%
+130
-142
+133
-142
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-159
-1½+140
4.62
3.68
8.30
o8-120
u8+105
o8-115
u8½-120
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Nathan Eovaldi
Mitch Spence
35.8%
64.2%
-108
-102
-108
+100
-1½+150
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.51
6.01
10.52
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½-105
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Mike King
Landon Knack
38.8%
61.2%
+104
-114
+102
-111
+1½-206
-1½+176
+1½-210
-1½+184
3.88
5.06
8.94
o8½-102
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8+100
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
59.8%
40.2%
+165
-180
+175
-180
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+122
8.47
o6½-108
u6½-110
o6½-105
u6½-110
3rd
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
46.5%
53.5%
+147
-160
+156
-160
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
9
1
-0.92425-0.94598-0.76486
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.1%
65.9%
+117
-127
+120
-124
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+163
1
4
-0.60086-0.59946-0.41676
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
54.4%
45.6%
+101
-111
+100
-107
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-206
-1½+190
3
0
-0.72144-0.70991-0.60862
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
43.8%
56.2%
+106
-116
+106
-113
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+176
3
13
-0.64392-0.64972-0.57554
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
55.8%
44.2%
-126
+116
-128
+120
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
3
7
-0.79039-0.80428-0.81541
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
56.7%
43.3%
+199
-222
+203
-225
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+103
-1½-120
1
7
-0.39549-0.38982-0.83589
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
48.8%
51.2%
-111
+101
-107
+100
-1½+155
+1½-174
-1½+155
+1½-160
9
1
-0.66563-0.67666-0.71840
San Diego Padres
Cleveland Indians
54.7%
45.3%
+144
-157
+147
-156
+1½-150
-1½+133
+1½-143
-1½+140
0
7
-0.51336-0.50946-0.79083
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
52.0%
48.0%
-128
+118
-128
+123
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-140
4
6
-0.79924-0.81180-0.73324
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
38.9%
61.1%
+116
-126
+119
-124
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+165
5
4
-0.79039-0.79405-0.94448
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
41.3%
58.7%
+147
-160
+152
-162
+1½-145
-1½+133
+1½-140
-1½+130
1
6
-0.50556-0.49579-0.53346
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
49.1%
50.9%
-132
+121
-127
+123
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-133
5
8
-0.81423-0.80986-0.67470
Philadelphia Phillies
Pittsburgh Pirates
62.8%
37.2%
-162
+148
-162
+155
-1½-102
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-120
7
8
-0.92958-0.94652-0.98889
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
42.0%
58.0%
+129
-140
+133
-140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
5
2
-0.84838-0.85830-0.86748
Toronto Blue Jays
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.8%
46.2%
+139
-152
+140
-148
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-158
-1½+140
8
7
-0.89265-0.88882-0.61993
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
45.1%
54.9%
-159
+146
-158
+152
-1½+106
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-123
6
3
-0.50811-0.49956-0.79627
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-3 (0.250)0-0.74048 
Sportsbooks41-3 (0.250)0-0.74209 
DRatings42-2 (0.500)0-0.66865
0.07183
0.07344

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.