MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedMilwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%

-102
-105

+1½-220
-1½+190
4.42
4.11
8.53

o7½-120
u8-110
PostponedNew York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-163
+137
-155
+145
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
5.20
5.54
10.74
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½-110
u10-110
Games for May 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
47.7%
52.3%
+214
-240
+230
-249
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-120
2
1
-1.16828-1.21029-0.74020
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
46.2%
53.8%
+120
-132
+128
-135
+1½-165
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+150
1
3
-0.58717-0.56729-0.61997
Boston Red Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.8%
41.2%
-126
+114
-125
+118
-1½+126
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
5
10
-0.78531-0.79350-0.88646
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
50.5%
49.5%
+135
-149
+133
-145
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+145
10
4
-0.87806-0.86669-0.68246
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
55.9%
44.1%
-203
+182
-200
+187
-1½-140
+1½+120
-1½-140
+1½+125
0
3
-1.06103-1.06930-0.81882
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
53.8%
46.2%
+108
-119
+105
-115
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
8
2
-0.75624-0.74028-0.62083
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
59.8%
40.2%
+110
-121
+112
-115


3
4
-0.62581-0.63228-0.91222
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
49.4%
50.6%
+109
-120
+112
-120
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
2
-0.62978-0.62315-0.68130
Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays
39.0%
61.0%
+134
-148
+135
-145
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+165
7
1
-0.87397-0.87165-0.94243
Seattle Mariners
Atlanta Braves
41.0%
59.0%
+105
-112
+112
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
4
-0.65406-0.62315-0.52843
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
51.7%
48.3%
-225
+219
-240
+220
-1½-140
+1½+129
-1½-150
+1½+130
9
3
-0.37350-0.36652-0.65952
Los Angeles Dodgers
Baltimore Orioles
67.3%
32.7%
-152
+141
-160
+149
-1½-106
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
1
2
-0.89757-0.92912-1.11838
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
46.2%
53.8%
+104
-115
+110
-118
+1½-187
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+160
7
1
-0.73771-0.75927-0.77210
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
54.7%
45.3%
+162
-179
+170
-184
+1½-125
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+110
7
5
-0.98618-1.01134-0.60402
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
63.2%
36.8%
-123
+112
-130
+120
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+120
+1½-140
5
2
-0.61798-0.59012-0.45913
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
46.4%
53.6%
-112
+102
-103
+101
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+150
+1½-150
5
4
-0.66116-0.68336-0.76878
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.70776 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.71407 
DRatings137-6 (0.538)0-0.68574
0.02202
0.02833

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.