MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Antonio Senzatela
Braxton Ashcraft
54.0%
46.0%
+170
-189
+170
-180
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
5.15
4.74
9.89
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-110
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Cade Cavalli
Taijuan Walker
43.0%
57.0%
+155
-172
+150
-162
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
4.40
5.13
9.53
o9½+100
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-115
Houston Astros (70-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Lance McCullers
Cade Povich
61.8%
38.2%
-105
-105
+101
-108
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+180
5.37
4.14
9.51
o9-120
u9+105
o9-110
u9+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Brayan Bello
Max Fried
44.8%
55.2%
+146
-161
+155
-165
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+122
4.96
5.51
10.47
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Ryan Bergert
Casey Mize
49.5%
50.5%
+143
-158
+143
-155
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
4.58
4.63
9.21
o8½+105
u8-105
o8½+100
u8½-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Shane Bieber
Ryan Gusto
60.8%
39.2%
-161
+135
-160
+142

-1½-110
+1½-110
4.78
3.65
8.43
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Nolan McLean
Joey Wentz
44.1%
55.9%
-107
-103
-107
-103
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.12
4.74
8.86
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Miles Mikolas
Adrian Houser
40.0%
60.0%
+116
-128
+115
-125
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+160
3.67
4.72
8.39
o9-105
u9-110
o9+100
u9-115
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Zebby Matthews
Aaron Civale
38.6%
61.4%
-135
+122
-123
+120
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
4.39
5.58
9.97
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Slade Cecconi
Nathan Eovaldi
52.0%
48.0%
+149
-165
+148
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
5.10
4.89
9.99
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Carson Whisenhunt
Jose Quintana
47.5%
52.5%
+154
-171
+148
-162
+1½-139
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
3.97
4.23
8.20
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
43.5%
56.5%




4.52
5.20
9.72


Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Zack Littell
Ryne Nelson
56.4%
43.6%
+121
-133
+121
-130
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.67
4.00
8.67
o9-113
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Blake Snell
Yu Darvish
48.3%
51.7%
-122
+112
-118
+111
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+140
+1½-155
3.92
4.09
8.01
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Luis Morales
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
52.8%
47.2%




4.79
4.50
9.29


Games for Aug 21, 2025
Games for Aug 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
43.4%
56.6%
+181
-201
+194
-208
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
3
4
-0.42717-0.40791-0.56951
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
56.1%
43.9%
-180
+162
-187
+175
-1½-119
+1½+105
-1½-130
+1½+125
10
7
-0.46608-0.44346-0.57784
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
44.8%
55.2%
+150
-166
+152
-160
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
2
10
-0.49528-0.49765-0.59417
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
40.8%
59.2%
+132
-146
+131
-140
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
2
6
-0.54595-0.55511-0.52440
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
55.2%
44.8%
-122
+111
-123
+113
-1½+135
+1½-154
-1½+135
+1½-145
6
3
-0.62187-0.61582-0.59379
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
48.5%
51.5%
+113
-125
+111
-120
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-185
-1½+170
3
4
-0.61251-0.62534-0.66437
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
43.4%
56.6%
+236
-266
+239
-270
+1½+115
-1½-133
+1½+115
-1½-133
0
5
-0.34324-0.33949-0.56996
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
48.5%
51.5%
+122
-132
+125
-130
+1½-175
-1½+161
+1½-170
-1½+160
1
10
-0.58316-0.58016-0.66438
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
52.2%
47.8%
-144
+131
-150
+143
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-118
5
2
-0.55016-0.52227-0.64993
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
50.5%
49.5%
+136
-150
+136
-150
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-152
-1½+140
5
6
-0.53428-0.53428-0.70395
Seattle Mariners
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.8%
47.2%
+101
-111
+102
-107

-1½+158
+1½-165
2
5
-0.66563-0.67178-0.75165
Toronto Blue Jays
St. Louis Cardinals
53.4%
46.6%
+118
-130
+125
-135
+1½-175
-1½+159
+1½-165
-1½+152
5
2
-0.80298-0.82968-0.62775
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
45.6%
54.4%
-185
+167
-179
+168
-1½-105
+1½-111
-1½-105
+1½-110
6
2
-0.45552-0.45842-0.78509
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
50.7%
49.3%
-119
+108
-119
+109
-1½+138
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-155
2
11
-0.75624-0.75877-0.70682
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
42.1%
57.9%
-106
-104
-105
+100

+1½-210
-1½+185
2
7
-0.69780-0.70528-0.54725
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.7%
47.3%
+141
-156
+150
-156
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
2
5
-0.51935-0.50464-0.74864
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks94-4 (0.500)1-0.67896 
Sportsbooks95-4 (0.556)0-0.66967 
DRatings96-3 (0.667)0-0.63933
0.03963
0.03034

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.