MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Tobias Myers
Bailey Falter
60.9%
39.1%
-144
+132
-137
+132
-1½+120
+1½-129
-1½+115
+1½-130
4.76
3.62
8.38
o8+105
u7½-102
o8+100
u8-115
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Justin Steele
Tanner Banks
42.1%
57.9%
+104
-114
+105
-110
+1½-215
-1½+185
-1½+170
+1½-190
4.14
4.98
9.12
o8-105
u8-110
o8+100
u8-110
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Carson Spiers
Tanner Bibee
50.7%
49.3%
+174
-190
+172
-184
+1½-127
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+107
4.80
4.72
9.52
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½+100
u8½-115
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Dean Kremer
Clarke Schmidt
34.1%
65.9%
+148
-162
+150
-160
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
4.49
6.14
10.63
o8-120
u8+102
o8½-110
u8½-110
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Brayan Bello
Kevin Gausman
45.4%
54.6%
+113
-123
+115
-120
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+175
4.65
5.14
9.79
o7½-118
u7½+102
o7½-120
u7½+100
PostponedKansas City Royals (52-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Cole Ragans
Mitchell Parker
44.4%
55.6%
-190
+174
-185
+180
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
4.62
5.21
9.83
o7-110
u7-108
o7-115
u7-105
Overall Bet Value Active
All Bet Values Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Luis Severino
Spencer Schwellenbach
44.1%
55.9%
+129
-140
+130
-135
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
4.09
4.70
8.79
o7½-110
u7½+100
o7½-110
u7½+100
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Jack Kochanowicz
Jonathan Cannon
41.9%
58.1%
-103
-107
-105
-101
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.62
5.47
10.09
o8½-112
u8½-105
o8-120
u8½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Ryan Weathers
Bailey Ober
44.8%
55.2%
+210
-235
+215
-235
+1½-105
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.63
5.18
9.81
o8-105
u8-110
o8+100
u8-110
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Logan Gilbert
Framber Valdez
38.3%
61.7%
+114
-124
+122
-128
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+173
3.88
5.10
8.98
o7-115
u7-105
o7-105
u7-105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Michael McGreevy
Ryan Feltner
48.8%
51.2%
-114
+104
-112
+106
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+136
+1½-145
4.88
5.01
9.89
o10½+100
u10½-120
o10½+100
u10½-115
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Logan Webb
Brandon Pfaadt
58.9%
41.1%
+141
-153
+138
-144
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-159
-1½+140
4.62
3.68
8.30
o8-120
u8+105
o8-115
u8½-120
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Nathan Eovaldi
Mitch Spence
35.8%
64.2%
-109
-101
-108
+100
-1½+150
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.51
5.99
10.50
o7½-116
u8-115
o7½-115
u7½-105
Overall Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Mike King
Landon Knack
38.8%
61.2%
+103
-113
+108
-114
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+181
3.88
5.06
8.94
o8½-101
u8½-110
o8-120
u8+100
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
48.1%
51.9%
+129
-140
+135
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
5
-0.55881-0.55431-0.65624
Minnesota Twins
San Francisco Giants
39.8%
60.2%
+119
-129
+119
-121
+1½-182
-1½+162
-1½+200
+1½-200
4
2
-0.80365-0.78803-0.92040
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
43.7%
56.3%
+125
-136
+126
-135
+1½-184
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
0
4
-0.57167-0.57111-0.57490
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
38.3%
61.7%
+122
-133
+125
-132
+1½-172
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+150
0
5
-0.58173-0.57725-0.48279
Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays
39.0%
61.0%
-109
-101
-107
+103
-1½+155
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-166
4
2
-0.67472-0.66935-0.94243
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
32.9%
67.1%
-116
+106
-112
+105
-1½+140
+1½-157
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
1
-0.64392-0.65406-1.11194
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
36.8%
63.2%
+122
-133
+132
-135
+1½-164
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+155
6
5
-0.81855-0.84707-0.99897
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
42.0%
58.0%
+129
-140
+134
-138
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+138
6
10
-0.55881-0.55217-0.54409
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
42.5%
57.5%
+171
-187
+185
-193
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+112
3
7
-0.44873-0.42702-0.55398
Oakland Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies
49.2%
50.8%
+161
-174
+168
-180
+1½-115
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+105
5
11
-0.47209-0.45770-0.67721
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
61.8%
38.2%
+124
-135
+129
-135
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
6
1
-0.82716-0.83965-0.48190
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
+121
-132
+120
-127
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
3
11
-0.58515-0.59470-0.59468
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago White Sox
33.1%
66.9%
-132
+121
-132
+126
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-135
6
2
-0.58515-0.57531-1.10500
Los Angeles Dodgers
Detroit Tigers
63.3%
36.7%
-119
+109
-111
+110
-1½+136
+1½-156
-1½+143
+1½-145
9
11
-0.75877-0.74419-1.00310
Minnesota Twins
San Francisco Giants
39.8%
60.2%
-137
+127
-140
+138
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-130
1
7
-0.83820-0.87060-0.50810
Toronto Blue Jays
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.1%
39.9%
+106
-116
+110
-112
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-187
-1½+175
4
5
-0.64392-0.64257-0.91950
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks52-3 (0.400)0-0.68475 
Sportsbooks52-3 (0.400)0-0.68333 
DRatings52-3 (0.400)0-0.71742
-0.03267
-0.03409

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.