MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Antonio Senzatela
Braxton Ashcraft
54.0%
46.0%
+170
-189
+175
-180
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
5.15
4.74
9.89
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Cade Cavalli
Taijuan Walker
43.0%
57.0%
+152
-168
+150
-162
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
4.40
5.13
9.53
o9½+100
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-115
Houston Astros (70-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Lance McCullers
Cade Povich
61.8%
38.2%
-105
-105
+101
-108
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+180
5.37
4.14
9.51
o9-125
u9½-120
o9-120
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Brayan Bello
Max Fried
44.8%
55.2%
+146
-161
+152
-165
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+120
4.96
5.51
10.47
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Ryan Bergert
Casey Mize
49.5%
50.5%
+140
-154
+141
-155
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+130
4.55
4.61
9.16
o8½+105
u8-105
o8½+100
u8½-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Shane Bieber
Ryan Gusto
60.8%
39.2%
-161
+135
-158
+143
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
4.78
3.65
8.43
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Nolan McLean
Joey Wentz
44.1%
55.9%
-107
-103
-110
+100
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.11
4.73
8.84
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Miles Mikolas
Adrian Houser
40.0%
60.0%
+116
-128
+115
-125
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+160
3.67
4.72
8.39
o9-110
u9-110
o9+100
u9-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Zebby Matthews
Aaron Civale
38.6%
61.4%
-135
+122
-125
+120
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
4.37
5.57
9.94
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Slade Cecconi
Nathan Eovaldi
52.0%
48.0%
+149
-165
+148
-160
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
5.10
4.89
9.99
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Carson Whisenhunt
Jose Quintana
47.5%
52.5%
+154
-171
+150
-164
+1½-139
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
3.97
4.23
8.20
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-110
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
43.5%
56.5%




4.52
5.20
9.72


Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Zack Littell
Ryne Nelson
56.4%
43.6%
+121
-133
+121
-130
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.67
4.00
8.67
o9-110
u9-107
o9-110
u9-105
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Blake Snell
Yu Darvish
48.3%
51.7%
-115
+104
-119
+110
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+140
+1½-160
3.92
4.09
8.01
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Luis Morales
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
52.8%
47.2%




4.79
4.50
9.29


Games for Aug 21, 2025
Games for Aug 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.8%
47.2%
+123
-135
+125
-135
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+155
3
10
-0.57695-0.57304-0.75165
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
52.2%
47.8%
-105
-105
-102
-105

+1½-210
-1½+185
1
11
-0.69315-0.68605-0.73831
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
50.5%
49.5%
+148
-164
+150
-160
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+125
1
2
-0.50023-0.50078-0.70395
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
55.8%
44.2%
-190
+171
-192
+190
-1½-133
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+135
6
5
-0.44674-0.42162-0.58422
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
45.9%
54.1%
+149
-165
+155
-165
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
4
2
-0.93624-0.95078-0.77840
Toronto Blue Jays
St. Louis Cardinals
53.4%
46.6%
+110
-120
+110
-118
+1½-191
-1½+170

10
9
-0.76336-0.75927-0.62775
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
40.8%
59.2%
+109
-120
+110
-120
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
16
4
-0.76081-0.76336-0.89627
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
57.5%
42.5%
-192
+173
-190
+177
-1½-123
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+110
10
2
-0.44281-0.43891-0.55339
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
45.6%
54.4%
-134
+122
-128
+126
-1½+130
+1½-144
-1½+130
+1½-145
1
4
-0.82034-0.81923-0.60895
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
45.2%
54.8%
+109
-116
+105
-110
+1½-190
-1½+180

1
3
-0.63707-0.65817-0.60192
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
43.4%
56.6%
+131
-145
+135
-145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+155
4
5
-0.54896-0.54173-0.56951
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
42.1%
57.9%
-110
+100
-110
+109


8
4
-0.67015-0.64890-0.86403
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
50.7%
49.3%
-110
+100
-103
-104

+1½-210
-1½+190
1
0
-0.67015-0.69551-0.67966
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.6%
43.4%
+135
-149
+131
-142
+1½-161
-1½+141
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
2
-0.87806-0.85675-0.56950
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
50.1%
49.9%
+121
-130
+117
-125
+1½-172
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
3
-0.81054-0.79098-0.69143
Seattle Mariners
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.4%
48.6%
+140
-155
+145
-157
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
4
8
-0.52206-0.51171-0.72070
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks94-4 (0.500)1-0.67896 
Sportsbooks95-4 (0.556)0-0.66967 
DRatings96-3 (0.667)0-0.63933
0.03963
0.03034

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.