MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 16, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Christian Scott
Aaron Nola
46.4%
53.6%
+116
-128
+118
-128
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.38
4.75
9.13
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-105
Games for Jul 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
47.1%
52.9%
-175
+171
-185
+174
-1½-115
+1½+101
-1½-120
+1½+110
9
12
-1.00231-1.02196-0.63705
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
40.9%
59.1%
-144
+135
-142
+136
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-128
5
3
-0.54294-0.54356-0.89311
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
43.1%
56.9%
+188
-195
+182
-200
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
10
8
-1.06601-1.05780-0.84135
Cleveland Indians
Boston Red Sox
40.6%
59.4%
+108
-117
+107
-112
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+165
1
7
-0.63747-0.64942-0.52126
Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins
47.0%
53.0%
-167
+160
-170
+164
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½+100
3
4
-0.96553-0.97915-0.63454
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
30.1%
69.9%
+137
-147
+139
-147
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+150
0
1
-0.53589-0.53242-0.35792
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
42.0%
58.0%
+112
-117
+109
-115
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
11
4
-0.76222-0.75042-0.86707
Los Angeles Angels
Milwaukee Brewers
38.5%
61.5%
+131
-138
+132
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-164
-1½+150
5
7
-0.55767-0.55979-0.48682
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
47.1%
52.9%
-135
+125
-130
+133
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+118
+1½-130
12
3
-0.57304-0.56493-0.75332
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
60.1%
39.9%
+150
-157
+147
-156
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
0
2
-0.50367-0.50946-0.91987
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
36.5%
63.5%
-149
+140
-145
+137
-1½+105
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-124
16
1
-0.52846-0.53820-1.00917
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
50.2%
49.8%
+170
-180
+173
-180
+1½+110
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-115
11
16
-0.45497-0.45095-0.69734
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
43.6%
56.4%
-149
+142
-146
+146
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-120
6
4
-0.52506-0.52172-0.83069
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
39.9%
60.1%
+122
-128
+119
-124
+1½-182
-1½+170
+1½-188
-1½+170
6
1
-0.80930-0.79405-0.91817
Cleveland Indians
Boston Red Sox
42.0%
58.0%
+106
-110
+107
-110
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-185
-1½+170
7
8
-0.65583-0.65350-0.54402
Cincinnati Reds
Oakland Athletics
44.5%
55.5%
-142
+132
-141
+133
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
3
2
-0.55076-0.55017-0.81031
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.