MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 16, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Christian Scott
Aaron Nola
46.4%
53.6%
+115
-126
+118
-127
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+158
4.32
4.70
9.02
o9½-108
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-105
Games for Jul 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
56.6%
43.4%
+139
-148
+138
-140
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
1
3
-0.53128-0.54249-0.83473
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
52.8%
47.2%
-108
-101
-107
+100
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
4
3
-0.67690-0.67666-0.63864
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
51.2%
48.8%
+106
-115
+108
-110

+1½-186
-1½+175
2
5
-0.64582-0.65120-0.71816
Houston Astros
Pittsburgh Pirates
62.7%
37.3%
-152
+142
-155
+149
-1½-104
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
7
0
-0.52182-0.50725-0.46708
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
52.1%
47.9%
-149
+139
-147
+140
-1½+105
+1½-121
-1½+105
+1½-120
0
5
-0.88795-0.88719-0.73587
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
61.8%
38.2%
-117
+109
-114
+109
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-143
7
1
-0.63522-0.64090-0.48049
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Angels
49.5%
50.5%
+270
-300
+263
-292
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-145
0
2
-0.30775-0.31468-0.68282
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
49.2%
50.8%
-163
+153
-165
+156
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-112
+1½+100
9
6
-0.49333-0.48696-0.70932
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
49.5%
50.5%
+248
-269
+250
-275
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-135
5
8
-0.33230-0.32902-0.68401
Seattle Mariners
Chicago Cubs
48.0%
52.0%
+107
-114
+107
-110


9
14
-0.64546-0.65350-0.65325
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
53.3%
46.7%
+151
-157
+155
-157
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
3
4
-0.50210-0.49589-0.76153
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
35.9%
64.1%
+245
-265
+235
-260
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+122
-1½-135
3
9
-0.33593-0.34595-0.44504
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
45.3%
54.7%
+201
-215
+213
-220
+1½-104
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-115
6
7
-0.39659-0.38166-0.60406
San Diego Padres
New York Mets
51.3%
48.7%
+126
-135
+127
-134
+1½-161
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
4
2
-0.83218-0.83287-0.66826
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
45.1%
54.9%
+153
-163
+160
-160
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+133
2
7
-0.49333-0.48552-0.59968
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
37.0%
63.0%
+130
-138
+130
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
8
4
-0.84742-0.84211-0.99406
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.