MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 16, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Christian Scott
Aaron Nola
46.4%
53.6%
+114
-126
+118
-127
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+158
4.32
4.70
9.02
o9½-106
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-105
Games for Jul 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
48.4%
51.6%
-135
+129
-138
+140
-1½+135
+1½-145

4
3
-0.56539-0.54151-0.72536
San Diego Padres
Atlanta Braves
48.0%
52.0%
+113
-120
+115
-115
+1½-181
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
10
2
-0.77096-0.76546-0.73484
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
65.3%
34.7%
-130
+123
-129
+125
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+116
+1½-130
6
11
-0.81556-0.81867-1.05906
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
50.6%
49.4%
+124
-126
+124
-130
+1½-163
-1½+155
+1½-161
-1½+150
12
11
-0.81042-0.81805-0.68102
Kansas City Royals
San Francisco Giants
36.6%
63.4%
+144
-149
+147
-150
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+138
1
3
-0.52170-0.51567-0.45638
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
48.7%
51.3%
+129
-136
+130
-140
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
6
7
-0.56405-0.55696-0.66654
Texas Rangers
Chicago Cubs
42.6%
57.4%
-107
-102
-102
-102


8
2
-0.68152-0.69315-0.85360
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
55.3%
44.7%
-115
+106
-110
+103


5
1
-0.64582-0.66291-0.59164
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
44.9%
55.1%
+144
-152
+140
-147
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+130
1
6
-0.51849-0.53071-0.59622
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Indians
45.7%
54.3%
-125
+116
-125
+123
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-145
6
7
-0.78847-0.80598-0.61083
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
42.4%
57.6%
+125
-132
+128
-131
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+154
7
2
-0.82426-0.82986-0.85828
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
63.3%
36.7%
+123
-130
+122
-128
+1½-170
-1½+165

0
1
-0.58410-0.58909-1.00166
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
61.8%
38.2%
-134
+127
-134
+133
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+124
+1½-130
5
3
-0.57058-0.55932-0.48190
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
45.0%
55.0%
+260
-280
+270
-272
+1½+140
-1½-145
+1½+140
-1½-142
0
11
-0.31990-0.31455-0.59838
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
56.7%
43.3%
-118
+111
-120
+115
-1½+140
+1½-154
-1½+145
+1½-154
4
1
-0.62891-0.61667-0.56798
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
46.7%
53.3%
+185
-200
+181
-196
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
6
4
-1.06470-1.05105-0.76119
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.