MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 16, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Christian Scott
Aaron Nola
46.4%
53.6%
+113
-125
+118
-125
+1½-178
-1½+156
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.32
4.70
9.02
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Games for Jul 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
33.8%
66.2%
+138
-140
+128
-137
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
5
-0.54249-0.56460-0.41244
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
34.3%
65.7%
+210
-230
+221
-230
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+107
-1½-115
7
6
-1.15078-1.17474-1.07011
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
45.1%
54.9%
+123
-132
+121
-127
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
0
-0.81925-0.80488-0.79565
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
51.8%
48.2%
-115
+107
-113
+108
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
8
4
-0.64352-0.64512-0.65739
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
54.1%
45.9%
-130
+121
-128
+123
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+126
+1½-140
5
9
-0.81054-0.81180-0.77860
Pittsburgh Pirates
Boston Red Sox
32.0%
68.0%
+137
-146
+139
-142
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-140
-1½+130
7
6
-0.87822-0.87647-1.13918
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
54.8%
45.2%
-171
+161
-170
+160
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-103
6
2
-0.47449-0.47678-0.60102
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
42.4%
57.6%
+159
-169
+161
-170
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+118
1
8
-0.47907-0.47531-0.55184
Minnesota Twins
Miami Marlins
48.8%
51.2%
-120
+113
-118
+110
-1½+135
+1½-154
-1½+136
+1½-155
11
1
-0.62096-0.63113-0.71769
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
42.2%
57.8%
-113
+103
-114
+111
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
6
7
-0.73091-0.75332-0.54903
San Francisco Giants
Chicago White Sox
47.4%
52.6%
+123
-133
+129
-134
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
12
3
-0.82107-0.83785-0.74575
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
47.2%
52.8%
+103
-110
+104
-109
+1½-210
-1½+184
+1½-200
-1½+181
0
10
-0.66291-0.66266-0.63883
Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers
51.9%
48.1%
+114
-121
+118
-125
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-178
-1½+160
1
2
-0.61706-0.60195-0.73197
Cleveland Indians
Seattle Mariners
41.2%
58.8%
+108
-115
+107
-110
+1½-185
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+180
6
5
-0.74790-0.73443-0.88782
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
38.8%
61.2%
+185
-193
+185
-200
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+100
1
3
-0.42702-0.42286-0.49150
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.1%
70.9%
+168
-178
+176
-182
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
2
1
-0.99916-1.02290-1.23278
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.