MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 18, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Jared Jones
Gavin Williams
40.0%
60.0%
+110
-121
+113
-123
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-188
-1½+170
3.94
5.00
8.94
o7½-108
u7½-112
o7½-105
u7½-110
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Taj Bradley
Matthew Boyd
48.6%
51.4%
+127
-137
+130
-136
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
4.93
5.07
10.00
o9-108
u9-105
o9-105
u9-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Davis Martin
Shane Bieber
41.2%
58.8%
-109
-101
-108
+105
-1½+146
+1½-166
-1½+145
+1½-160
3.98
4.89
8.87
o8½-115
u8½-104
o8½-110
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Rhett Lowder
Tomoyuki Sugano
51.6%
48.4%
-111
+101
-110
+100
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-154
5.10
4.93
10.03
o13+100
u13-115
o13-105
u13-115
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Sean Manaea
Jesus Luzardo
46.4%
53.6%
+144
-159
+150
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
4.77
5.15
9.92
o9+105
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Dustin May
Brandon Pfaadt
53.8%
46.2%
+104
-115
+105
-110
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.43
4.04
8.47
o9-107
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Max Meyer
Shane Drohan
38.6%
61.4%
+116
-128
+121
-126
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
3.74
4.95
8.69
o8-110
u8-108
o8-110
u8-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Trevor Rogers
Spencer Arrighetti
31.4%
68.6%
-105
-105
-103
-105
+1½-210
-1½+185

3.72
5.63
9.35
o8½-120
u8½+105
o8½-110
u8½+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Ian Seymour
Patrick Sandoval
48.5%
51.5%
+101
-111
+109
-115
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+165
5.88
6.04
11.92
o9½-105
u9½-105
o9½-110
u9½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
MacKenzie Gore
Owen Murphy
35.9%
64.1%
+100
-110
+105
-110
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.35
5.82
10.17
o9-105
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Griffin Canning
Randy Dobnak
58.3%
41.7%
-110
+101
-111
+105
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-160
5.01
4.14
9.15
o10½-120
u11-110
o10½-120
u10½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Braxton Ashcraft
Logan Allen
40.0%
60.0%
+106
-103
-110
-110

-1½+143
+1½-170
3.94
5.00
8.94
o7½-105
u8-110
o7½-115
u7½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Logan Webb
Bryan Woo
52.9%
47.1%
+118
-130
+120
-128
+1½-195
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.60
4.29
8.89
o7+108
u6½+100
o7+105
u6½+100
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Emmet Sheehan
Ryan Weathers
51.8%
48.2%
-107
-103
-105
+101
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-160
5.38
5.20
10.58
o9+105
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Zack Littell
JT Ginn
40.7%
59.3%
+110
-121
+115
-125
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+150
4.44
5.42
9.86
o10½-113
u11-120
o10½-110
u10½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Tarik Skubal
Grayson Rodriguez
39.3%
60.7%
-185
+167
-185
+170
-1½-110
+1½-108
-1½-110
+1½-105
4.22
5.35
9.57
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8-105
Games for Jul 17, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
35.0%
65.0%
+166
-175
+163
-174
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+124
3
0
-0.99056-0.98214-1.05094
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
60.5%
39.5%
-134
+126
-130
+130
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-140
3
5
-0.83037-0.83292-0.92933
Oakland Athletics
Washington Nationals
53.0%
47.0%
+100
-107
+102
-109
+1½-208
-1½+180
+1½-204
-1½+185
5
7
-0.67666-0.66744-0.75583
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
37.8%
62.2%
+155
-163
+165
-165
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-125
-1½+120
1
7
-0.49027-0.47379-0.47430
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
50.7%
49.3%
-144
+140
-145
+146
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
7
0
-0.53416-0.52286-0.67986
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.4%
43.6%
-128
+121
-125
+122
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-130
18
2
-0.59111-0.59377-0.57288
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
60.9%
39.1%
-179
+175
-185
+178
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+110
2
3
-1.01680-1.03125-0.93915
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
37.2%
62.8%
+184
-193
+187
-200
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
2
4
-0.42823-0.42045-0.46560
Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins
52.2%
47.8%
+113
-120
+114
-116
+1½-190
-1½+168
+1½-185
-1½+171
6
5
-0.77096-0.76512-0.65066
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
40.8%
59.2%
+290
-315
+281
-315
+1½+140
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-150
2
3
-0.29103-0.29698-0.52408
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
54.3%
45.7%
-155
+146
-158
+150
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+102
+1½-120
5
3
-0.51208-0.50269-0.60989
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
48.1%
51.9%
+147
-155
+148
-154
+1½-161
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+145
1
2
-0.51046-0.50986-0.65572
Chicago Cubs
Toronto Blue Jays
38.4%
61.6%
+200
-215
+198
-210
+1½+101
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-118
7
5
-1.11438-1.10482-0.95589
Oakland Athletics
Washington Nationals
55.2%
44.8%
-107
-101
-105
-101
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+152
+1½-170
1
5
-0.70739-0.70275-0.80298
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
61.8%
38.2%
-153
+148
-155
+147
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
2
1
-0.51089-0.51046-0.48166
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
44.1%
55.9%
-225
+210
-234
+215
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+135
5
3
-0.38251-0.37372-0.81889
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.69721 
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.69659 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.72811
-0.03090
-0.03152

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.