MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 18, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Taj Bradley
Matthew Boyd
48.6%
51.4%
+127
-140
+130
-139
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
4.93
5.07
10.00
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-110
New York Mets (60-60)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Sean Manaea
Jesus Luzardo
46.4%
53.6%
+147
-163
+152
-162
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
4.32
4.70
9.02
o8½-118
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Davis Martin
Shane Bieber
41.2%
58.8%
+101
-111
+102
-105
+1½-195
-1½+185
-1½+160
+1½-165
3.98
4.89
8.87
o9-125
u9½-120
o9-115
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Rhett Lowder
Tomoyuki Sugano
51.6%
48.4%
-109
-101
-110
+102
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
5.05
4.88
9.93
o12½-107
u12½-110
o12½-105
u13-115
Overall Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Dustin May
Brandon Pfaadt
53.8%
46.2%
+105
-116
+105
-114
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+170
4.43
4.04
8.47
o8½-120
u8½+101
o9+100
u9-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Max Meyer
Shane Drohan
38.6%
61.4%
+127
-139
+128
-135
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+158
3.74
4.95
8.69
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Trevor Rogers
Spencer Arrighetti
31.4%
68.6%
-104
-106
-105
-103
+1½-208
-1½+190
-1½+160
+1½-175
3.72
5.63
9.35
o9+110
u9-117
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Ian Seymour
Patrick Sandoval
48.5%
51.5%
-108
-102
+100
-103

+1½-195
-1½+175
5.79
5.94
11.73
o9½-115
u9½-105
o9½-110
u9½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
MacKenzie Gore
Owen Murphy
35.9%
64.1%
+100
-110
+100
-110
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+175
4.34
5.83
10.17
o9-110
u9-110
o9-105
u9-105
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Griffin Canning
Randy Dobnak
58.3%
41.7%
-106
-104
-108
+100
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
5.01
4.14
9.15
o11-110
u11-105
o11-110
u11-105
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Braxton Ashcraft
Logan Allen
40.0%
60.0%
+110
-105
+102
-105


3.74
4.78
8.52
o7½-110
u8+100
o7½-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Logan Webb
Bryan Woo
52.9%
47.1%
+137
-151
+134
-140
+1½-173
-1½+152
+1½-175
-1½+175
4.60
4.29
8.89
o7-117
u7+100
o7+105
u7+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Emmet Sheehan
Ryan Weathers
51.8%
48.2%
+102
-112
-103
-105

-1½+160
+1½-170
5.64
5.45
11.09
o9+100
u9-115
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Zack Littell
JT Ginn
40.7%
59.3%
-111
+101
+110
+102

+1½-178
-1½+185
4.44
5.42
9.86
o11-123
u11+105
o10½-110
u11½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Tarik Skubal
Grayson Rodriguez
39.3%
60.7%
-189
+170
-180
+170
-1½-115
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½+100
4.22
5.35
9.57
o8-110
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Games for Jul 17, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
40.0%
60.0%
+115
-127
+115
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
8.94
o7½-108
u7½-112
o7½-110
u7½+100
1st
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.7%
59.3%
+137
-147
+140
-145
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+150
1
10
-0.53589-0.53299-0.52292
Miami Marlins
Oakland Athletics
38.9%
61.1%
-145
+135
-144
+135
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
5
3
-0.54173-0.54294-0.94348
Cleveland Indians
San Diego Padres
40.7%
59.3%
+127
-135
+128
-137
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
1
-0.83466-0.84070-0.89892
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
39.4%
60.6%
+103
-110
+103
-110
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+160
6
7
-0.66291-0.66291-0.50135
Arizona Diamondbacks
Kansas City Royals
43.5%
56.5%
-120
+110
-118
+113
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
7
3
-0.62755-0.62452-0.83195
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
31.0%
69.0%
+245
-265
+250
-260
+1½+125
-1½-137
+1½+125
-1½-130
2
4
-0.33593-0.33332-0.37089
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
44.1%
55.9%
-135
+125
-133
+125
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
9
3
-0.57304-0.57583-0.81878
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
48.8%
51.2%
-128
+124
-130
+125
-1½+125
+1½-141
-1½+125
+1½-135
13
3
-0.58512-0.58016-0.71707
San Francisco Giants
Detroit Tigers
58.4%
41.6%
-208
+190
-210
+197
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+115
3
1
-0.41252-0.40348-0.53806
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
36.5%
63.5%
+155
-163
+155
-163
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+133
1
11
-0.49027-0.49027-0.45435
New York Mets
New York Yankees
41.5%
58.5%
+122
-127
+120
-125
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
4
-0.59064-0.59784-0.53606
Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles
62.1%
37.9%
-128
+123
-129
+123
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-140
3
5
-0.81180-0.81369-0.96985
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
67.2%
32.8%
-260
+240
-260
+240
-1½-150
+1½+138
-1½-145
+1½+140
6
1
-0.34163-0.34163-0.39678
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
46.8%
53.2%
+183
-195
+189
-200
+1½-120
-1½+103
+1½-115
-1½+102
6
7
-0.42825-0.41806-0.63183
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
50.1%
49.9%
-175
+167
-185
+178
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-115
+1½+110
0
2
-0.99290-1.03125-0.69545
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.6%
62.4%
+233
-245
+230
-245
+1½+125
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-120
4
0
-1.21335-1.20701-0.97795
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.69721 
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.69659 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.72811
-0.03090
-0.03152

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.