MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 21, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Bubba Chandler
Will Warren
32.4%
67.6%
+110
-132
+122
-125
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+160
3.85
5.66
9.51
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9-115
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
PostponedBaltimore Orioles (38-81)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Kyle Bradish
Eduardo Rivera
34.2%
65.8%
-105
-115
+118
-105
+1½-210
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+185
4.54
6.18
10.72
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8-110
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 20, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
58.7%
41.3%
+119
-131
+122
-126
+1½-171
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
8.99
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½+100
u9½-105
9th
TOP
2
4
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
48.8%
51.2%
+104
-115
+100
-105
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+190
9.23
o7½-105
u7½-108
o7½-105
u7½-110
9th
TOP
4
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
59.9%
40.1%
-135
+135
-142
+135
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-126
4
5
-0.85442-0.86664-0.91392
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
57.6%
42.4%
+120
-123
+118
-127
+1½-195
-1½+172
+1½-195
-1½+175
2
6
-0.60110-0.59878-0.85696
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
48.6%
51.4%
-210
+217
-230
+210
-1½-120
+1½+122
-1½-135
+1½+120
7
3
-0.38232-0.38037-0.72060
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
59.3%
40.7%
-114
+105
-115
+108
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
0
8
-0.73814-0.74790-0.89916
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
58.4%
41.6%
-235
+220
-244
+225
-1½-130
+1½+130
-1½-132
+1½+125
1
9
-1.17704-1.19551-0.87596
Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
54.5%
45.5%
-145
+143
-150
+142
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+103
+1½-120
1
4
-0.89126-0.89690-0.78818
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
45.3%
54.7%
+233
-242
+238
-265
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+120
-1½-124
5
11
-0.35375-0.34181-0.60270
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
50.5%
49.5%
+155
-145
+155
-164
+1½-140
-1½+140
+1½-135
-1½+125
3
6
-0.50840-0.48937-0.70378
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
47.7%
52.3%
+198
-210
+195
-205
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-109
-1½+110
1
2
-0.40237-0.40836-0.64760
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
45.9%
54.1%
-101
-103
-107
+103


0
4
-0.68830-0.71752-0.61371
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
49.5%
50.5%
+122
-113
+125
-128
+1½-173
-1½+170
+1½-170
-1½+165
5
8
-0.61469-0.58315-0.68387
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
47.3%
52.7%
+171
-180
+175
-185
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
4
3
-1.00876-1.02427-0.74843
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.4%
61.6%
+154
-152
+154
-157
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-130
-1½+125
1
8
-0.50243-0.49742-0.48402
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
57.4%
42.6%
+115
-122
+118
-126
+1½-175
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
6
-0.61323-0.60037-0.85289
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
45.8%
54.2%
+139
-146
+146
-148
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
0
1
-0.53357-0.51950-0.61299
New York Yankees
St. Louis Cardinals
52.6%
47.4%
-145
+140
-150
+144
-1½+110
+1½-126
-1½+107
+1½-125
3
4
-0.88394-0.90177-0.74714
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks115-6 (0.455)0-0.69177 
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.69507 
DRatings116-5 (0.545)0-0.68950
0.00227
0.00557

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.