MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 21, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Bubba Chandler
Will Warren
32.4%
67.6%
+110
-132
+122
-125
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+160
3.85
5.66
9.51
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9-115
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
PostponedBaltimore Orioles (38-81)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Kyle Bradish
Eduardo Rivera
34.2%
65.8%
-105
-115
+118
-105
+1½-210
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+185
4.54
6.18
10.72
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8-110
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 20, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
62.9%
37.1%
-170
+168
-166
+160
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½-105
6
0
-0.46537-0.48015-0.46348
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
48.6%
51.4%
+106
-114
+105
-115
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-194
-1½+175
4
6
-0.64777-0.64814-0.66565
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
43.0%
57.0%
+200
-217
+197
-210
+1½+105
-1½-116
+1½+100
-1½-113
4
5
-0.39672-0.40348-0.56236
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
37.9%
62.1%
+265
-272
+250
-270
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-130
7
3
-1.29986-1.26808-0.96930
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
48.0%
52.0%
+107
-115
+110
-116
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
8
7
-0.74537-0.75509-0.73297
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
56.0%
44.0%
-197
+185
-199
+181
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+110
5
3
-0.42460-0.42834-0.57953
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
+146
-152
+148
-148
+1½-152
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
4
-0.51519-0.51622-0.59468
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
64.2%
35.8%
-245
+235
-260
+250
-1½-142
+1½+145
-1½-154
+1½+140
4
5
-1.21756-1.26068-1.02594
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
51.8%
48.2%
-153
+150
-157
+154
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+107
+1½-115
3
0
-0.50768-0.49742-0.65799
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
39.4%
60.6%
+265
-285
+260
-280
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-140
1
9
-0.31489-0.31990-0.50107
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
55.7%
44.3%
+204
-220
+205
-220
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-108
3
1
-1.12815-1.13038-0.58546
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.8%
43.2%
-200
+186
-199
+189
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+120
7
8
-1.06700-1.07277-0.83817
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
49.0%
51.0%
+185
-197
+197
-203
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
0
3
-0.42460-0.40717-0.67389
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
52.4%
47.6%
-234
+277
-290
+270
-1½-150
+1½+165
-1½-174
+1½+165
9
5
-0.32107-0.31004-0.64590
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
39.5%
60.5%
+131
-131
+129
-135
+1½-155
-1½+153
+1½-160
-1½+154
1
4
-0.56722-0.56539-0.50325
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
43.7%
56.3%
+175
-181
+176
-184
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+110
1
6
-0.44760-0.44420-0.57405
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.68753 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.68794 
DRatings136-7 (0.462)0-0.70665
-0.01912
-0.01871

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.