MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 22, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Dean Kremer
Jake Bennett
33.8%
66.2%
+145
-160
+145
-140
+1½-142
-1½+122
+1½-145
-1½+143
4.95
6.63
11.58
o9½-108
u9½-112
o9-120
u9½-115
Overall Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Christian Scott
Logan Henderson
42.9%
57.1%
+137
-151
+140
-145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
4.01
4.75
8.76
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Landen Roupp
Seth Lugo
57.3%
42.7%
-129
+117
-120
+115
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+140
+1½-150
4.44
3.68
8.12
o8½-110
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½+100
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Cade Cavalli
Gabriel Hughes
47.7%
52.3%
-137
+124
-134
+125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
5.16
5.41
10.57
o11½-105
u11½-115
o11½-105
u11½-115
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Gage Jump
Merrill Kelly
57.3%
42.7%
+115
-127
+116
-120
+1½-178
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+162
4.77
4.01
8.78
o9+100
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Brady Singer
Emerson Hancock
50.4%
49.6%
+147
-162
+135
-140
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.75
4.71
9.46
o8-115
u8½-120
o8-110
u8-110
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Hunter Dobbins
Reid Detmers
45.4%
54.6%
+117
-129
+120
-120
+1½-182
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+162
4.48
4.96
9.44
o8½-115
u8½+100
o9-115
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Eric Lauer
Aaron Nola
56.2%
43.8%
-118
+107
-116
+110
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
4.83
4.19
9.02
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-115
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Bailey Ober
Slade Cecconi
47.8%
52.2%
+110
-121
+112
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
4.56
4.79
9.35
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Bubba Chandler
Max Fried
32.4%
67.6%
+154
-170
+150
-160
+1½-138
-1½+118
+1½-140
-1½+120
3.93
5.74
9.67
o9-108
u9-112
o9-105
u8½-105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Griffin Jax
Braydon Fisher
47.2%
52.8%
-102
-108
+100
-106


4.33
4.62
8.95
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Kyle Bradish
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
33.8%
66.2%
+142
-132
+125
-134
+1½-140
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+155
4.58
6.25
10.83
o8½-120
u9½-110
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Mike King
Martin Perez
45.8%
54.2%
+103
-113
+105
-112
+1½-197
-1½+175

4.15
4.60
8.75
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Anthony Kay
Tyler Alexander
59.3%
40.7%
-105
-105
-104
-105
+1½-215
-1½+183

5.81
4.84
10.65
o9+100
u8½+103
o9-105
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Keider Montero
Colin Rea
45.4%
54.6%
+107
-118
+110
-115
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+180
4.05
4.54
8.59
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Sandy Alcantara
Peter Lambert
39.0%
61.0%
+104
-115
+105
-115
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.53
4.68
8.21
o8-110
u8-102
o8-115
u8+100
Games for Jul 21, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
New York Yankees (69-52)
26.8%
73.2%
+171
-190
+175
-165
+1½-120
-1½+103
+1½-120
-1½+115
9.61
o9½-106
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-105
2nd
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
35.8%
64.2%
+134
+129
-136
+132

-1½+131
+1½-145
7
2
-0.70401-0.55846-1.02602
Texas Rangers
Miami Marlins
42.6%
57.4%
+118
-128
+119
-128
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
8
0
-0.79924-0.80176-0.85249
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
42.8%
57.2%
+119
-126
+121
-127
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
3
-0.59829-0.59265-0.55933
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
34.9%
65.1%
+142
-151
+146
-150
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
3
1
-0.89848-0.90666-1.05340
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
47.8%
52.2%
+145
-155
+152
-150
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-135
-1½+140
5
9
-0.51371-0.50765-0.64953
Pittsburgh Pirates
Colorado Rockies
40.9%
59.1%
+151
-160
+155
-160
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+120
8
3
-0.93397-0.94358-0.89458
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
52.2%
47.8%
-126
+122
-128
+120
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
6
2
-0.59220-0.59314-0.64930
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
51.1%
48.9%
-135
+127
-137
+138
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-135
2
3
-0.83466-0.86531-0.71550
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
50.7%
49.3%
-115
+110
-115
+108
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
11
0
-0.63673-0.64124-0.67867
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
43.8%
56.2%
+240
-260
+240
-255
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+120
-1½-126
4
3
-1.23998-1.23612-0.82451
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
29.9%
70.1%
+136
-143
+138
-142
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
5
7
-0.54235-0.54003-0.35539
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
63.0%
37.0%
-128
+120
-125
+120
-1½+135
+1½-149
-1½+135
+1½-140
4
0
-0.59314-0.59784-0.46196
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
39.7%
60.3%
+165
-175
+168
-175
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+120
2
13
-0.46561-0.46143-0.50547
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
52.9%
47.1%
-263
+245
-275
+247
-1½-165
+1½+147
-1½-160
+1½+150
3
7
-1.25264-1.26546-0.75366
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
37.3%
62.7%
+283
-310
+280
-310
+1½+140
-1½-158
+1½+140
-1½-150
2
4
-0.29664-0.29866-0.46759
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
62.2%
37.8%
-200
+185
-200
+197
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+130
7
1
-0.42286-0.40883-0.47461
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.68753 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.68794 
DRatings136-7 (0.462)0-0.70665
-0.01912
-0.01871

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.