MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 23, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Griffin Canning
Chris Sale
48.5%
51.5%
+193
-215
+200
-220
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-105
4.14
4.29
8.43
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Taj Bradley
Gavin Williams
47.8%
52.2%
+115
-127
+115
-125
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.60
4.83
9.43
o8+110
u7½+100
o7½-115
u7½+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Ian Seymour
Shane Bieber
41.8%
58.2%
-103
-105
-105
+100


3.64
4.51
8.15
o8½-110
u8½-103
o8½-110
u8½-105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Pfaadt
Michael McGreevy
40.1%
59.9%
+113
-125
+118
-125
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.70
4.73
8.43
o8½+105
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-115
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Randy Dobnak
Troy Melton
46.7%
53.3%
+167
-185
+175
-190
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+105
4.37
4.71
9.08
o8-127
u8+107
o8-120
u8½-115
Games for Jul 22, 2026
Games for Jul 24, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
56.2%
43.8%
-124
+113
-120
+116
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
9.02
o10+100
u10-110
o9½-105
u9½+100
8th
TOP
5
3
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
47.8%
52.2%
+131
-144
+130
-125
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+162
9.17
o8-113
u8-105
o8-105
u8-105
7th
BOT
7
4
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
New York Yankees (69-52)
32.4%
67.6%
+161
-178
+161
-175
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
9.70
o9-115
u9-105
o8½-115
u9+100
7th
BOT
0
0
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
47.2%
52.8%
+100
-110
-105
-105
+1½-220
-1½+186
+1½-210
-1½+195
8.95
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-110
u8-115
6th
BOT
4
1
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
33.8%
66.2%
+139
-125
+115
-124
+1½-145
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
10.81
o9-110
u9½-110
o9-110
u9-110
6th
TOP
4
1
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
45.8%
54.2%
-103
-107
+102
-106

+1½-200
-1½+180
8.67
o9+100
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½+100
6th
BOT
0
1
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
59.3%
40.7%
-118
+107
-117
+110
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+142
+1½-155
10.59
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+105
4th
TOP
1
1
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
45.4%
54.6%
+112
-123
+115
-118
+1½-187
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+175
8.43
o8-105
u8-112
o8-105
u8-110
3rd
BOT
1
1
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Houston Astros (70-50)
39.0%
61.0%
-104
-106
+102
-105
+1½-220
-1½+186
+1½-210
-1½+190
8.21
o8-110
u8-105
o8-115
u8+100
3rd
BOT
0
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
46.0%
54.0%
-132
+128
-136
+130
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-132
13
1
-0.57146-0.56217-0.77681
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
30.2%
69.8%
+238
-235
+250
-260
+1½+115
-1½-115
+1½+115
-1½-120
4
3
-1.21520-1.26068-1.19683
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
47.6%
52.4%
+205
-225
+215
-230
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-110
3
4
-0.38769-0.37533-0.64674
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.8%
46.2%
+115
-123
+115
-120
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
2
9
-0.61153-0.61667-0.77184
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
49.9%
50.1%
-275
+265
-285
+260
-1½-170
+1½+155
-1½-162
+1½+155
2
3
-1.30203-1.29880-0.69051
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
49.0%
51.0%
+113
-118
+115
-120
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
7
9
-0.62452-0.61667-0.67338
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
53.4%
46.6%
-114
+106
-113
+107
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+144
+1½-155
0
1
-0.74068-0.74108-0.76402
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
44.9%
55.1%
+109
-114
+115
-115
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
1
0
-0.74828-0.76546-0.80129
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
36.7%
63.3%
+156
-154
+152
-159
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
0
8
-0.49730-0.49860-0.45711
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
50.1%
49.9%
-102
-104
+100
-105
-1½+150
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-170
2
5
-0.68838-0.68116-0.69527
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.3%
66.7%
+188
-190
+190
-195
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-105
-1½+100
3
4
-0.42524-0.41980-0.40552
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
52.5%
47.5%
-172
+163
-170
+165
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½+100
8
3
-0.47082-0.46959-0.64354
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
47.0%
53.0%
+141
-146
+144
-152
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
6
-0.53013-0.51849-0.63535
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
47.5%
52.5%
+155
-161
+153
-153
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+130
6
5
-0.94508-0.92821-0.74370
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
48.2%
51.8%
-125
+117
-125
+117
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
2
0
-0.60404-0.60404-0.72892
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
48.7%
51.3%
+115
-123
+115
-122
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
3
4
-0.61153-0.61323-0.66789
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.70277 
Sportsbooks116-5 (0.545)0-0.69966 
DRatings114-7 (0.364)0-0.76462
-0.06185
-0.06496

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.