Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners (65-56) Houston Astros (70-50) | George Kirby Yusei Kikuchi | 39.5% 60.5% | -130 +120 | -1½+130 +1½-148 | 4.02 5.12 | 9.14 | o7-105 u7-115 | |||
| Chicago Cubs (54-69) Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) | Javier Assad Cristopher Sanchez | 42.1% 57.9% | +165 -180 +167 -180 | +1½-135 -1½+115 +1½-135 -1½+120 | 4.14 4.98 | 9.12 | o8-108 u8-112 o8-105 u8-105 | |||
| Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) | Freddy Peralta Luis Ortiz | 56.8% 43.2% | -145 +133 -144 +134 | -1½+115 +1½-135 -1½+112 +1½-125 | 5.07 4.36 | 9.43 | o7½-115 u7½-105 o7½-115 u7½-105 | |||
| Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Zack Littell Keider Montero | 58.4% 41.6% | +103 -113 +108 -115 | +1½-215 -1½+185 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 4.63 3.75 | 8.38 | o7½-115 u7½-105 o7½-115 u7½-105 | |||
| Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Jakob Junis Joey Cantillo | 50.7% 49.3% | +129 -140 +132 -140 | +1½-155 -1½+141 | 4.41 4.34 | 8.75 | o8-107 u8-113 o8+100 u8½-120 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Michael Lorenzen DJ Herz | 44.4% 55.6% | -120 +110 -115 +105 | -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+145 +1½-162 | 4.62 5.21 | 9.83 | o7½-122 u7½+102 o7½-115 u7½+100 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) New York Yankees (69-52) | Zach Eflin Nestor Cortes | 32.4% 67.6% | +135 -144 | +1½-165 -1½+146 | 4.05 5.87 | 9.92 | o7½-115 u8-115 | |||
| Boston Red Sox (69-54) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Richard Fitts Kevin Gausman | 42.6% 57.4% | +122 -133 +124 -131 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-170 -1½+150 | 4.51 5.28 | 9.79 | o7½-130 u7½+110 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | David Peterson Chris Sale | 44.1% 55.9% | +160 -175 +160 -173 | +1½-145 -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+125 | 4.11 4.73 | 8.84 | o7½-105 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-115 | |||
| Los Angeles Angels (61-61) Chicago White Sox (71-50) | Jose Suarez Davis Martin | 37.1% 62.9% | -112 +102 -112 +107 | -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+136 +1½-145 | 4.63 5.99 | 10.62 | o8½+100 u8½-120 o8½+105 u8½-115 | |||
| Miami Marlins (51-70) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | Edward Cabrera Simeon Woods-Richardson | 44.8% 55.2% | +165 -180 +170 -175 | +1½-132 -1½+112 +1½-128 -1½+110 | 4.63 5.18 | 9.81 | o8-115 u8-105 o8-115 u8-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Erick Fedde Austin Gomber | 48.7% 51.3% | -118 +108 -120 +115 | -1½+118 +1½-138 -1½+127 +1½-145 | 4.89 5.03 | 9.92 | o10½-105 u10½-115 o10-115 u10+100 | |||
| San Francisco Giants (78-43) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Mason Black Zac Gallen | 55.5% 44.5% | +188 -208 +195 -210 | +1½-120 -1½+100 +1½-113 -1½-105 | 4.00 3.43 | 7.43 | o8½-105 u8½-115 o8½-105 u8½+100 | |||
| Texas Rangers (42-78) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Cody Bradford Brady Basso | 35.8% 64.2% | -113 +103 -113 +105 | -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+140 +1½-159 | 4.53 6.02 | 10.55 | o7½-103 u7½-117 o7½-110 u7½-105 | |||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Dylan Cease Jack Flaherty | 36.0% 64.0% | +120 -130 +126 -130 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-173 -1½+155 | 3.48 4.94 | 8.42 | o7½-115 u7½-105 o7½-115 u7½-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals New York Mets | 43.4% 56.6% | +126 -137 +132 -137 | +1½-169 -1½+149 +1½-170 -1½+150 | 5 7 | -0.56840-0.55713 | -0.56951 | |
| New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays | 47.1% 52.9% | -113 +103 -112 +105 | -1½+143 +1½-160 -1½+141 +1½-155 | 3 5 | -0.73091-0.73382 | -0.63665 | |
| Cleveland Indians Detroit Tigers | 50.4% 49.6% | -132 +121 -130 +126 | -1½+118 +1½-135 -1½+125 +1½-130 | 9 8 | -0.58515-0.57821 | -0.68508 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Philadelphia Phillies | 56.2% 43.8% | +143 -156 +147 -152 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+135 | 1 10 | -0.51601-0.51355 | -0.82522 | |
| Chicago Cubs Baltimore Orioles | 53.2% 46.8% | +159 -172 +170 -183 | +1½-130 -1½+112 +1½-120 -1½+105 | 9 2 | -0.96993-1.01011 | -0.63079 | |
| Atlanta Braves Arizona Diamondbacks | 58.6% 41.4% | -108 -102 -108 +101 | -1½+143 +1½-163 -1½+145 +1½-155 | 5 4 | -0.67930-0.67201 | -0.53409 | |
| Texas Rangers Los Angeles Angels | 39.3% 60.7% | -149 +137 -145 +138 | -1½+110 +1½-121 -1½+105 +1½-115 | 9 4 | -0.53363-0.53645 | -0.93372 | |
| Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox | 39.6% 60.4% | -207 +190 -205 +185 | -1½-130 +1½+115 -1½-125 +1½+115 | 8 6 | -0.41305-0.42006 | -0.92685 | |
| Colorado Rockies Cincinnati Reds | 42.1% 57.9% | +147 -160 +150 -158 | +1½-140 -1½+120 +1½-130 -1½+120 | 0 6 | -0.50556-0.50269 | -0.54659 | |
| Cleveland Indians Detroit Tigers | 50.4% 49.6% | -136 +125 -136 +130 | -1½+115 +1½-130 -1½+112 +1½-130 | 0 1 | -0.83144-0.84390 | -0.70128 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals | 47.9% 52.1% | +105 -115 +105 -113 | +1½-190 -1½+170 +1½-175 -1½+170 | 6 0 | -0.74028-0.73601 | -0.73539 | |
| New York Mets Pittsburgh Pirates | 58.5% 41.5% | +107 -117 +114 -118 | +1½-178 -1½+158 +1½-180 -1½+170 | 2 8 | -0.63974-0.62235 | -0.87834 | |
| Boston Red Sox New York Yankees | 44.8% 55.2% | +113 -123 +113 -122 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 3 0 | -0.77696-0.77499 | -0.80238 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Seattle Mariners | 53.8% 46.2% | +130 -142 +132 -140 | +1½-166 -1½+146 +1½-165 -1½+150 | 5 4 | -0.85426-0.85583 | -0.61904 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers | 43.9% 56.1% | +160 -175 +155 -167 | +1½-130 -1½+115 +1½-130 -1½+115 | 9 2 | -0.97625-0.95355 | -0.82330 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks San Diego Padres | 36.1% 63.9% | +154 -168 +155 -158 | +1½-139 -1½+120 +1½-139 -1½+130 | 9 1 | -0.95254-0.94063 | -1.01769 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 7-7 (0.500) | 1 | -0.68969 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 7-8 (0.467) | 0 | -0.68956 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.71361 | -0.02392 -0.02405 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.