MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedMilwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%

-102
-105

+1½-220
-1½+190
4.42
4.11
8.53

o7½-120
u8-110
PostponedNew York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-163
+137
-155
+145
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
5.20
5.54
10.74
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½-110
u10-110
Games for May 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.5%
66.5%
+195
-217
+195
-205
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½+100
3
0
-1.10506-1.09285-1.09327
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
35.8%
64.2%
+126
-139
+130
-135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
2
-0.83914-0.84211-1.02678
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
43.6%
56.4%
-205
+184
-210
+195
-1½-145
+1½+126
-1½-145
+1½+130
11
7
-0.42126-0.40573-0.83050
San Diego Padres
Minnesota Twins
53.7%
46.3%
-121
+110
-121
+114
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
4
7
-0.76535-0.77551-0.77040
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
44.8%
55.2%
+101
-111
+105
-114
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+170
5
3
-0.72144-0.73814-0.80323
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
38.6%
61.4%
+139
-154
+140
-150
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
0
2
-0.52479-0.52736-0.48851
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
47.7%
52.3%
-218
+195
-210
+196
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-135
+1½+126
10
2
-0.40178-0.40461-0.74064
Pittsburgh Pirates
Boston Red Sox
34.1%
65.9%
+103
-113
+105
-113
+1½-205
-1½+185

4
2
-0.73091-0.73601-1.07482
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Indians
47.1%
52.9%
-154
+139
-153
+140
-1½+110
+1½-124
-1½+115
+1½-125
4
5
-0.89570-0.89664-0.63639
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
42.4%
57.6%
+154
-171
+157
-165
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
9
19
-0.48485-0.48547-0.55146
Milwaukee Brewers
Toronto Blue Jays
37.0%
63.0%
+122
-135
+123
-133
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+165
7
2
-0.82212-0.82107-0.99425
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
54.8%
45.2%
-138
+125
-137
+127
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
4
1
-0.56900-0.56650-0.60102
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
49.1%
50.9%
+173
-192
+170
-184
+1½-120
-1½+101
+1½-115
-1½+110
1
2
-0.44281-0.45213-0.67519
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
44.1%
55.9%
+127
-140
+130
-140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+155
7
5
-0.84337-0.85085-0.81889
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
47.7%
52.3%
-165
+149
-170
+165
-1½-115
+1½-103
-1½-112
+1½+105
10
4
-0.49774-0.46959-0.74064
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
42.4%
57.6%
+227
-255
+235
-250
+1½+110
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-125
7
4
-1.20862-1.22166-0.85828
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.70776 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.71407 
DRatings137-6 (0.538)0-0.68574
0.02202
0.02833

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.