MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedMilwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%

-102
-105

+1½-220
-1½+190
4.42
4.11
8.53

o7½-120
u8-110
PostponedNew York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-163
+137
-155
+145
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
5.20
5.54
10.74
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½-110
u10-110
Games for May 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
43.6%
56.4%
+146
-161
+157
-168
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-125
-1½+110
4
19
-0.50620-0.48287-0.57334
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
39.7%
60.3%
-103
-107
+102
-110
+1½-225
-1½+195

3
4
-0.68389-0.66532-0.50567
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
38.9%
61.1%
+106
-117
+106
-113
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-200
-1½+175
1
4
-0.64204-0.64972-0.49328
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
36.4%
63.6%
+213
-239
+215
-237
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-115
3
4
-0.37375-0.37254-0.45292
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
34.3%
65.7%
+134
-148
+140
-148
+1½-150
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+135
6
4
-0.87397-0.88882-1.07131
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
59.8%
40.2%
-185
+167
-190
+180
-1½-123
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+115
3
2
-0.45552-0.43510-0.51333
Detroit Tigers
Oakland Athletics
35.8%
64.2%
-127
+115
-122
+115
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
0
7
-0.78975-0.78001-0.44384
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
38.1%
61.9%
-123
+112
-127
+120
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
3
12
-0.77442-0.80236-0.47957
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.7%
62.3%
+147
-162
+160
-160
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+125
1
5
-0.50367-0.48552-0.47300
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
36.9%
63.1%
+238
-268
+240
-262
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+125
-1½-130
0
4
-0.34093-0.34101-0.46099
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
54.5%
45.5%
+148
-164
+144
-155
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+126
3
20
-0.50023-0.51537-0.78684
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
38.9%
61.1%
+150
-166
+155
-166
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+123
2
1
-0.94007-0.95218-0.94320
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
35.4%
64.6%
-127
+115
-130
+121
-1½+130
+1½-146
-1½+126
+1½-140
12
1
-0.60506-0.58810-1.03719
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
34.3%
65.7%
+116
-128
+123
-131
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
2
-0.79418-0.81742-1.07131
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
47.2%
52.8%
+136
-150
+137
-150
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-152
-1½+135
0
6
-0.53428-0.53253-0.63923
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
40.2%
59.8%
+162
-180
+165
-175
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+115
8
9
-0.46608-0.46561-0.51405
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.70776 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.71407 
DRatings137-6 (0.538)0-0.68574
0.02202
0.02833

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.